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Who is the enemy?
Britain's Channel 4 Sticks
Its Neck Out
With Ahmadinejad TV Broadcast
Chaos Amongst Abrahamic Faiths
Offers Unstable Platform For Middle East Peace
www.nlpwessex.org/docs/watabrahamic.htm
Will Obama's Reported Support For Saudi Peace
Initiative Survive The Israeli Elections
And Where Are The Plans For A Nuclear-Free Middle East?
"Barack Obama is to pursue an ambitious peace
plan in the Middle East involving the recognition of
Israel by the Arab world in exchange for its withdrawal to pre-1967 borders, according to
sources close to Americas president-elect. Obama intends to throw his support behind
a 2002 Saudi peace initiative endorsed by the Arab League and backed by Tzipi Livni, the Israeli foreign minister and
leader of the ruling Kadima
party. The proposal gives Israel an effective veto
on the return of Arab refugees expelled in 1948 while requiring it to restore the Golan Heights to Syria and allow the Palestinians to
establish a state capital in east Jerusalem.'"
Barack Obama links Israel peace plan to 1967 borders deal
Sunday
Times, 16 November 2008
"The conflict in
Gaza should not be seen or judged in isolation. Its purpose is to stop Hamas attacks
but its timing is linked to three elections. Israel faces a general election in February; Iran will choose its next president in June; and Barack Obama, the victor of the US elections, becomes president in 16 days. As well as an attempt to stop missiles being launched against its own
citizens, the Israelis have a wider, strategic objective. They are seeking to create
conditions on the ground that will enable a negotiated peace between Israel and the
Palestinians and the creation of a Palestinian state. No Israeli government can negotiate
withdrawal from the West Bank without the consent of its citizens. Tzipi Livni and her moderate coalition must, therefore, win the
election. But the politician who leads the opinion polls in Israel is Benyamin Netanyahu, the hardline leader of
the opposition, who is strongly opposed to the creation of a
Palestine state....If that election results in Tzipi
Livni as prime minister with Ehud Barak, the Labour leader and former prime minister, as
her deputy, the peace process has a serious prospect of getting somewhere. The attacks on
Hamas are already helping Livni and Barak in the opinion polls. The international
community might not approve, but if we wish to see a Palestinian state in the foreseeable
future this is likely to be the best route. An
Israeli government re-elected just 21 days after President Obama takes office would create
an unprecedented opportunity to relaunch the peace process....Iran may not be a proper democracy but no one can predict whether Ahmadinejad
will get a second term in June or be ousted by a moderate opponent. If he goes, much of his rhetoric on
liquidating Israel will go with him. A peaceful resolution of Iran's nuclear aspirations
would also be more likely, especially as Obama has promised a serious dialogue with Iran
to try to meet its security concerns. If the United States, under Bush, has been able to
do a deal with Gadaffi's Libya then a new
relationship with Iran, brokered by Obama, is not inconceivable."
Sir Malcolm Rifkind, British Foreign Secretary, 1995-7
Hamas rockets block the birth of a Palestinian state
Daily
Telegraph, 3 January 2009
The Israeli Government's Deadly Pre-Election Gaza Gamble |
In the last week of 2008, and in the build up to national elections on 10 February, the Israeli government declared an 'all-out war' against Hamas, the Gaza based Islamic resistance movement intensely hostile towards Israel which won democratically held Palestinian parliamentary elections in 2006. Gaza has been under Israeli blockade since Hamas routed forces from rival Palestinian group Fatah in Gaza in June 2007, with Israel declaring the strip a 'hostile entity' in September 2007. The ultimate aim of the new confrontation that exploded in December was to completely destroy Hamas, according to an early statement made by the Israeli ambassador to the United Nations at the end of December. This 'all-out war' came just weeks before the start of a new US presidency. It also came just a few days after a Christmas 'goodwill' message from the President of Iran to all Abrahamic faiths. The broadcasting of the Iranian message by Britain's Channel 4 television on Christmas day caused controversy in the UK despite its moderate tone. So what does this chaotic picture portend for the Middle East peace process as US President-elect Obama takes office? And why was he reluctant to comment during this particularly intense Arab-Israeli escalation despite being quick to comment on the Mumbai attacks in India in November? Much of the equation is domestic Israeli politics. Elections are due in February following the decision of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert to stand down as a result of corruption allegations which became particularly intense in July 2008. That month Olmert announced his intention to resign as leader of his Kadima party. Kadima's subsequent failure to form a new coalition government has precipitated the forthcoming general election. There are strong indications that the attacks on Gaza were launched by Israel's governing Kadima-Labour coalition to boost its 'national security' credentials in an effort to prevent ultra-hawk Binyamin Netanyahu emerging as the winner for Likud in February. A victory for Netanyahu would represent a major challenge to Obama's recently reported support for the 2002 Saudi peace initiative (also backed by Israeli moderates) based on returning to Israel's pre-June 1967 borders. Olmert had been pursuing similar proposals, including a more conciliatory attitude towards Iran (as, crucially, intends Obama). In June 2007 it was reported that Olmert had also been conducting secret discussions with Syria through Turkish and German officials over the possible return of the Golan Heights, provided Damascus was prepared to "gradually dissolve its alliances with Iran, Hizbullah and the Palestinian terror organisations". Discussions with Syria via Turkey were officially acknowledged in May 2008. It would be difficult to establish the degree to which the softening of Olmert's approach to the Middle East peace process was a factor influencing the vigour with which corruption allegations (all of which he refutes) have been pursued against him. However, given that all the allegations relate to matters pre-dating his premiership, the 'Why now?' question must be asked. This is particularly so given that the legal process pursued against Olmert has overlapped with a period during which Hamas had also shown signs of softening its own position. In May an American witness, Morris Talansky, gave testimony against Olmert in an Israeli court as part of the ongoing investigations that Olmert has described as a "police campaign" against him. The previous month former US President Jimmy Carter (who facilitated the Camp David accords which led to the peace agreement between Israel and Egypt in 1979) had held a meeting with Hamas in Damascus, which included its exiled leader Khaled Meshaal. At the meeting Hamas indicated it was potentially prepared to accept a pre-67 border solution to the sixty year old Israeli-Palestinian conflict if it was endorsed by the Palestinian people. This emerging position within Hamas was also confirmed by French diplomatic sources. However, Binjamin Netanyahu is vigorously opposed to Middle East peace talks which focus on such core issues intended to move matters towards the creation of a Palestinian state. The popularity of Prime Minister Olmert had already sunk heavily following his unsuccessful war against Hezbollah in Lebanon in 2006. His government's intensified confrontation with Hamas launched at the end of 2008 now represents a high stakes gamble aimed at demonstrating that the ruling Kadima-Labour coalition is capable of acting effectively against the country's enemies. There are different accounts as to how the new conflict started. However, Israel's Prime Ministerial spokesman, Mark Regev, has acknowledged in an interview with David Fuller of Britain's Channel 4 TV that Hamas did not break the cease-fire until Israel launched an attack that killed six Hamas fighters (which Israel says were building a tunnel to try and kidnap an Israeli soldier) on the 4th November - the day of the US Presidential election. This situation was also reported by CNN and some print media . Prior to that a bilateral cease-fire established in June had been largely effective. In May there had been 149 rocket attacks on Israel from Gaza. Yet only 15 rockets were fired from Gaza during the whole of July, August, September and October (when there was just one), and Israel agrees that none of these rockets were fired by Hamas. So this scenario also clearly raises the question 'Why now?'. According to the Israeli newspaper Haaretz the attacks on Gaza had been planned months in advance. The renewed fighting against Hamas produced popularity gains for the ruling Israeli coalition. These were followed by the declaration of an Israeli unilateral cease-fire commencing 18 January (soon reciprocated by a cease-fire of its own from Hamas), just fractionally ahead of Barack Obama's Presidential inauguration on the 20th. Nonetheless, an Israeli poll published 15 January showed Likud (led by Netanyahu) still in the stronger position to form a new coalition. Whilst the attack on Gaza has proved popular within Israel, this high risk strategy, which has inflicted severe and extensive casualties on non-combatant Palestinian civilians, has done heavy damage to Israel's reputation abroad. In an indication of how badly things could get out of control if cool heads do not prevail hereon, Iran put its air force on full alert after the Gaza escalation began, and 20,000 Iranian students were reported to have registered a willingness to go to Gaza to fight on behalf of the Palestinians. Iran supports both Hamas in Gaza, and Hezbollah in Lebanon. Rhetoric aside, however, the response of the Iranian government has so far been relatively subdued, mostly likely in hopeful anticipation of improved international relations under an Obama presidency. Nonetheless on 17 January the London Times reported concerns that Lebanon's Hezbollah's '1800 Unit' is "working on possible attacks inside Israel", although the paper noted that triggering "a fresh war with Israel for the sake of Hamas could backfire at the polls". Just as important as the Israelis and Palestinians coming to terms with each other, however, is the need for America and Iran to also bury the hatchet. The tensions embodied in each dispute provide heat to the other. The flare up in Gaza has taken place in what is traditionally called the 'Holy Land'. Yet this place at the heart of Abrahamic culture continues to struggle to live up to its name. It has come to be symbolised by death, destruction, and division. Regardless of any cease-fire declared as the Obama Presidency begins, and even if Netanyahu does not prove victorious in February, it is clear that a major change in the climate is going to be necessary before any real progress can be made towards restoring the region's 'holiness'. But how is Obama going to achieve that now? |
With
Obama's Middle East Peace Ambitions Already Under Threat |
"Ehud Olmert
became Prime Minister in the April 2006 election after the Kadima party - which he
leads - won the most seats.... He caused uproar in political circles in December 2003,
when he suggested Israel should pull out of the West Bank and Gaza Strip. He said in a
Yediot Aharonot newspaper article, that a withdrawal was the only way for Israel to stay
democratic and Jewish. He warned that the high
Palestinian birth-rate meant Arabs would soon outnumber Jews in Israeli-controlled
territories. For Israel to remain a Jewish state, he said, a new border would have to be
created, with as many Jews as possible on the Israeli side. At the time, cabinet colleagues from parties representing Israeli
settlers accused him of giving in to terrorism. Despite the initial controversy, the idea
of disengagement became government policy, with a
majority of Israelis backing the process. Mr Olmert is a long-standing rival of Benjamin
Netanyahu, whom he replaced as finance minister in August
2005 when the latter stood down in protest at the Gaza pull-out plan."
Profile: Ehud Olmert
BBC Online, 8 May 2008
"Former Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said
Thursday that a Palestinian state must never be
established and that [PLO leader] Yasser Arafat must
be overthrown."
Netanyahu Rejects Palestinian State
Associated Press, 17 January 2002
Binyamin Netanyahu Wants War With Iran As Well - Click Here |
Holding A Gun To The Head Of
Obama's Middle East Peace Aspirations
If Netanyahu Wins The Israeli Election The Peace Process 'Gets It'
"Israel's right-of-centre Likud party has elected a list of candidates
dominated by hardliners for next February's general election. Polls
show that if a vote were held now, Likud would defeat the governing Kadima Party....Likud Party leader Binyamin Netanyahu said: 'We chose a
new leadership for Israel. This is the best team that any party could have in our
country.' .... Moshe Feiglin, a settler who advocates withdrawing
the vote from non-Jewish Israeli citizens, came 20th
in the party list. The party list is also dominated by supporters of Jewish settlement
expansion in the occupied West Bank. Mr Netanyahu, who was Israel's prime minister from 1996 to 1999, has said he will
focus on strengthening the Palestinian economy rather than on territorial issues and
statehood that are at the centre of current Israeli-Palestinian talks....The Israeli general election is scheduled for 10 February."
Hawks dominate Likud party vote
BBC Online, 9 December 2008
In This Bulletin |
Abrahamic
Chaos Overview Elections, Israel's Demographic Time Bomb, Pre-67 Borders, And Iran |
Lid Blows
Off In The Holy Land |
Playing
Russian Roulette With The Peace Process As The Incumbent Israeli Government Tries To Stop Extremist Netanyahu Winning Elections |
After 60
Years Of Continuing Conflict |
The US/Iranian
Dimension - Time To Bury The Hatchet |
'Say No To Nuclear
Power And Weapons' |
A Deadly Cocktail
Of Religion And Oil |
Avoiding
Abrahamic Mayhem In The Middle East |
With Obama's Middle East Peace Ambitions Already Under Threat |
4 November 2008 - The Day Of The US Presidential Election
"A four-month ceasefire between Israel and Palestinian militants in
Gaza was in jeopardy today after Israeli troops killed six
Hamas gunmen in a raid into the territory. Hamas
responded by firing a wave of rockets into southern Israel, although no one was injured.
The violence represented the most serious break in a ceasefire agreed in mid-June, yet
both sides suggested they wanted to return to atmosphere of calm. Israeli troops crossed
into the Gaza Strip late last night [4 November] near the
town of Deir al-Balah....The attack comes shortly before a key meeting this Sunday in Cairo when Hamas and its political rival Fatah will hold
talks on reconciling their differences and creating a single, unified government. It will
be the first time the two sides have met at this level since fighting a near civil war
more than a year ago."
Gaza truce broken as Israeli raid kills six Hamas gunmen
Guardian, 5
November 2008
Will Obama's Reported Support For Saudi Peace Initiative Survive The Israeli Elections?
".... the Israeli offensive in the
Gaza Strip will almost certainly end within the next two weeks. International revulsion at
the carnage among Palestinian civilians will play a certain role. Any big loss of life
among Israeli soldiers, or the capture of even one or two soldiers, would turn Israeli
public opinion against the war overnight. And the
clincher is that the Israeli election is on February 10. The war is being fought now
largely to shift the opinion polls in favour of the ruling parties before the election.
However, it must be over, and somehow look like a success, before Israelis actually vote.
Good luck. The war against Hamas in Gaza looks more
and more like the three-week Israeli war against Hizbollah in Lebanon in 2006, which could
hardly be called a success. It will kill about as many Arabs, probably a thousand or so.
And it will end with Hamas, like Hizbollah, still able to fire rockets at Israel. This means that Benjamin Netanyahu, the Likud Party leader, who was already leading in the opinion polls, is
almost certain to form the next government. He is the ultimate rejectionist, the man who
sabotaged the Oslo Accords and effectively killed the 'peace process' during his last term
as Prime Minister in 1996-99. He rejects the very idea of a 'two-state
solution' to the conflict. Netanyahu is a glib ideologue who
does not understand strategy and sees no reason for Israel to seek peace with its
neighbours if the price is giving the Palestinians back their pre-1967
borders. In the long run, therefore, the war is more of a
disaster for the Israelis than it is for the Palestinians."
Conflict a matter of mistakes, not morals
New
Zealand Herald, 13 January 2009
'The Two State Solution' - Holy Land Borders Pre And Post 1967
"Outgoing Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said in remarks
published Monday that Israel would have to withdraw from East
Jerusalem and the Golan Heights if it was serious about
making peace with the Palestinians and Syria. In an
interview with the Yedioth Aharonoth daily, Olmert said that as a hard-line
politician for decades he had not been prepared to look at reality in all of its depth.
'Ariel Sharon spoke about painful costs and refused to elaborate,' Olmert told the daily.
'I say, we have no choice but to elaborate. In the end of the day, we will have to
withdraw from the most decisive areas of the territories. In exchange for the same
territories left in our hands, we will have to give compensation in the form of
territories within the State of Israel.' 'I think we are very close to an agreement,'
Olmert added. These comments were the clearest sign to date of Olmert's willingness
to meet key Palestinian demands in peace talks. With
regard to the Syria track, Olmert added that a future peace agreement required a pullout
from the Golan Heights, an area under Israeli control since the 1967 Six-Day War. 'First and foremost, we must make a decision. I'd like to see if there is
one serious person in the State of Israel who believes it is possible to make peace with
the Syrians without eventually giving up the Golan Heights.' 'It is true that an agreement
with Syria comes with danger,' he said. 'Those who want to act with zero danger should
move to Switzerland.' According to Western and Palestinian officials, Olmert has proposed in peace talks with the Palestinians an Israeli withdrawal from some 93 percent of the West Bank, plus all of
the Gaza Strip, from which Israel pulled out in 2005. ...Olmert has also engaged Syria in indirect negotiations with Turkish
mediation, but has not remarked publicly on the scope of an Israeli pullout from the Golan
Heights. Olmert has said repeatedly that Israel intends to keep major Jewish settlement
blocs in the West Bank in any future peace deal with the Palestinians. A peace agreement,
Olmert has said, would mean Israel would have to compensate the Palestinians for the land
it hopes to retain by 'close to a 1-to-1 ratio.' In exchange for the settlement enclaves,
Olmert has proposed about a 5 percent land swap giving the Palestinians a desert territory
adjacent to the Gaza Strip, as well as land on which to build a transit corridor between
Gaza and the West Bank. He has so far put off negotiations on sharing Jerusalem and ruled
out a so-called 'right of return' for Palestinian refugees, a central Palestinian demand.
On both issues, there is strong opposition in Israel to significant concessions."
Olmert: Israel must quit East Jerusalem and Golan
Haaretz (Israel), 1 October
2008
Maps Above |
The Iran Dimension
"Iranian
President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has made a remarkable announcement. He's admitted that
Iran might agree to the existence of the state of Israel. Ahmadinejad was asked: 'If the Palestinian leaders agree to a two-state
solution, could Iran live with an Israeli state?' This was his astonishing reply: 'If they
[the Palestinians] want to keep the Zionists, they can stay ... Whatever the people
decide, we will respect it. I mean, it's very much in correspondence with our proposal to
allow Palestinian people to decide through free referendums.' Since most Palestinians are
willing to accept a two-state solution, the Iranian president is, in effect, agreeing to
Israel's right to exist and opening the door to a peace deal that Iran will endorse.
Ahmadinejad made this apparently extraordinary shift in policy during an interview
last week when he was in New York to address the UN general assembly. He was interviewed
on September 24 by reporters Juan Gonzalez, writing for the New York Daily News, and Amy
Goodman for the current affairs TV programme, Democracy Now....Surprisingly, Ahmadinejad's sensational softening of his
long-standing, point-blank anti-Israeli stance was not even headlined by the two
reporters....Equally odd, the story wasn't picked up by the world's media....Many Israelis and their allies will no doubt say Ahmadinejad can't be
trusted; that his comments were part of a manipulative charm offensive during his visit to
the UN in New York. They may be right. But even if he is being disingenuous, that fact
that he's made this public concession on Israel at all is a softening of
sorts....Ahmadinejad's words were of major significance. He ought be pressed by world
leaders, and Israel, to repeat them and to clarify them....If Israel's leaders had any
sense, they would ignore past provocations by Iran and seize
this moment to have dialogue with the Palestinian and Iranian leaders on a two-state
solution."
Ahmadinejad accepts Israel's right to exist
Guardian,
29 September 2008
The Hamas Dimension
"Israel's offensive in the Gaza Strip
will push on as long as needed until it 'destroys
completely' the ruling Hamas militant group, the Israeli ambassador to the United Nations said
Monday....Ambassador Gabriela Shalev ....refused to discuss Israel's war strategy, but
said the operation would continue 'as long as it takes to dismantle Hamas
completely.'"
UN ambassador says Israel seeks to 'destroy' Hamas
Associated
Press, 29 December 2009
"The
claim that Hamas will never
accept the existence of Israel has proved equally misinformed, as Hamas leaders explicitly announce their intention to do just that in
the pages of the Los Angeles Times or to any international leader or journalist
who will meet with them."
Mark LeVine - Professor of Middle East history, University of
California
Who will save Israel from itself?
Aljazeera,
12 January 2009
Eric Margolis: Who And What Is Hamas? |
Want To Know What's Going On The World? Then Plug-In To The Real News Network |
"When one of the most powerful
militaries in the world unleashes on the most densely populated area in the world,
collateral carnage is inevitable. The weeks into Israel's onslaught against the
Palestinians in Gaza, Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni told Newsweek the Jewish state was 'not
going to show restraint'.These were typically bellicose words from a leadership that has
issued apocalyptic warnings about Hamas since it won free and fair elections
in 2006. The
fact the Islamist organisation has consistently offered to negotiate a two-state solution
on the 1967 borders is something
much of the West has conveniently ignored, including
the Australian Government."
Antony Loewenstein, co-founder of Independent Australian
Jewish Voices
Not all Jews agree with Israel's Gaza action
Courier Mail
(Australia), 13 January 2009
But Do The Most Formidable Borders
In The Holy Land Really Exist On The Ground Or In People's Minds?
Dealing With The Collective Mental Illness Of The Fear-Riven Holy Land
"Who will save Israel from herself?
Israelis are clearly incapable. Their addiction as a society to the illusion of
violence-as-power has reached the level of collective
mental illness. As Haaretz reporter Yossi Melman
described it on January 10, 'Israel has created an image of itself of a madman that has
lost it'. Not Palestinians, too many of whom have fallen prey to the same condition."
Mark LeVine - Professor of Middle East history, University of
California
Who will save Israel from itself?
Aljazeera,
12 January 2009
"Who thinks
seriously that if we sit on another hilltop, on another hundred meters, that this is
what will make the difference for the state of Israel's basic security?.... I am not
trying to justify retroactively what I did for 35 years. For a large portion of these
years, I was unwilling to look at reality in all its depth.... Part of our
megalomania and our loss of proportions is
the things that are said here about Iran. We are a country that has lost a sense of proportion
about itself."
Edud Olmert - Outgoing Prime Minister Of Israel
International Herald
Tribune, 29 September 2008
"Israel's attempt to wipe out
Hamas is understandable, but stupid....[part of the problem is] the fearful consciousness of Israelis who still see the world
more through the frame of the Holocaust and previous persecutions than through the frame
of their actual present power in the world. It breaks my heart to see the terrible
suffering in Gaza and in Israel. As a religious Jew I find it all the worse, because it
confirms to me how easy it is to pervert the loving
message of Judaism into a message of hatred and
domination. I remain in mourning for the Jewish people, for Israel and for the
world." |
How Israel
Can Bypass Its Fear-Based Model Of National Defense |
With Obama's Middle East Peace
Ambitions Already Under Threat
If There's No Plan B, Then What About Plan C?
Abrahamic Chaos Overview
Elections, Israel's Demograhic Time Bomb, Pre-67 Borders, And Iran
"We used terrorism to establish our state. Why should we expect the Palestinians to be any
different?"
Leah Rabin, late Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin's widow
Reuters, 11 September 1997
Nearly A Century After The 1917
British Balfour Declaration For
'The Establishment In Palestine Of A National Home For The Jewish People'
The World Is Still Waiting For Peace In The Holy Land As Abrahamic Extremists
Continue To Provide Obstacles
"Religion throughout the ages has
been the catalyst of numerous wars, conflicts, civil wars and ethno-political violence. In
all probability more people have been killed in the name of God than for any political
cause..... None of the three monotheistic religions, Judaism, Christianity or Islam - known as the Abrahamic religions as all three derive from Abraham, or Ibrahim in Arabic - are immune to having been at one time or another
responsible for the deaths of tens of thousands of people, if not more. In a special
report published by the U.S. Institute of Peace (USIP), Susan Thistlethwaite professor of
theology and former president of the Chicago Theological Seminary, and Glen Stassen
professor of Christian ethics at Fuller Theological Seminary in Pasadena, Calif., shed
greater insight on both views: religion as a cause of war and peace. The scholars note
that 'Jewish, Muslim and Christian sacred texts all contain sections that support and
justify warfare as a means to achieve certain goals.' They add: '
these texts have
served as the basis to legitimate violent campaigns against other faith communities.'...if
certain elements within Islam today are resorting to extreme violence to achieve their
political goals, it is by no means the first time in
history that religious dogma leads to killing on a large scale, and in so doing abuse the
name of God. In
these instances religion is used to convince both themselves as well as their followers
that the violence they are resorting to is justifiable and even sanctioned by their God. While much of the world today struggles to understand the violence
deriving from Takfiri Salafists within Islam, Christianity and Judaism have had their share of violence, too.... Religious Zionists enjoy strong
support among Orthodox Jews and Evangelical Christians in the United States. One can find
a similarity with the Palestinians, too. The Palestinian resistance which began as a
secular movement has turned more and more toward religion.... 'The whole world could blow up because of this issue,' said [Robert] Eisen [professor of religion and director of the Judaic
studies program at George Washington University]..... However, as the USIP special reports
states, 'Many of the passages from sacred texts in all three religious traditions that are
misused in contemporary situations to support violence and war are taken out of context,
interpreted in historically inaccurate ways.'. The report continues: 'There are also a
great many teachings and ethical imperatives within Jewish, Christian and Muslim
scriptures that promote peace and present the means to achieve it. 'These include mandates
to strive for political, social and economic justice; tolerant intercommunal coexistence;
and nonviolent conflict resolution.'... The USIP report was the result of the work of eight Muslim, six Jewish and eight Christian scholars who were surprised to discover just how much overlap existed in their
conclusions on the use of Abrahamic religions' peacemaking programs. That, of course, was the easy part. The
hard work begins now, trying to convince the masses as many turn more and more toward
religion, as has been the case in with religious
Zionism, politicized Islam and Evangelical Christian fundamentalism." |
Election Gamble
"The airstrikes in Gaza appear to have
Israeli voters approval, with polls showing a strong surge in support for the
governing parties...With parliamentary elections due on February 10, opinion polls
indicate that the Gaza raids have hurt the prospects of Binyamin
Netanyahu, the hawkish leader of the right-wing Likud party,
who had been favourite to emerge as the new prime minister. Kadima, the centrist party led
by Tzipi Livni, the Foreign
Minister, climbed in the polls from 25 to 28 projected seats in the 120-member Knesset.
The number of seats projected for Labour, led by Ehud Barak, the Defence Minister, jumped +from 11 to 16 seats. In the current Knesset, Kadima has 29, Labour 19 and Likud 12 seats.
'Last week I didnt think that either of them, Livni or Barak, were capable of
running the country. I would have said that they were spineless and only [Netanyahu] knew
how to order the troops in,' said Yoni Tabibian, 34, a shopkeeper whose home town of
Ashkelon was hit by Hamas rockets throughout the day yesterday. 'Im pleasantly
surprised that I might have other options come election day... I am willing to suffer
weeks, months, until they are begging us to stop. I wouldnt have supported Barak and
Livni last week, but what they have done now is genius.'.... For the moment, the offensive
is backed by the electorate. 'The support of the people is important. There is no better
way to turn public favour than success in a war,' one defence official told The Times.
Political experts have warned, however, that the slightest mistake in Gaza could turn the
tide against Ms Livni and Mr Barak, who have gambled their careers by launching the
attacks on Hamas."
Surge of support for genius of politicians who took a gamble
London
Times, 30 December 2008
"Israeli
Defense Minister Ehud Barak's Labor Party, largely written off in opinion polls ahead of a
February 10 election, has gained ground during the Gaza war he helped to direct but
apparently not enough to beat its rivals. Although recent surveys predicted center-left
Labor would win 17 of the 120 seats in parliament -- double what previous polls had
forecast -- former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's
right-wing Likud party was still the front-runner. Likud
looks set to win 29 seats, with the ruling centrist Kadima party led by Foreign Minister
Tzipi Livni taking 27, according to the most recent polls, published on January 9. The party that captures the largest number of seats is usually tapped to
try to put together a government. Kadima's popularity has been hit by public discontent
over the 2005 Gaza pullout it led and corruption scandals that forced Ehud Olmert to
resign as the party's leader and prime minister. Olmert has been serving as caretaker
prime minister until a new government is formed after next month's election. Israeli
public support for the offensive Israel launched in the Gaza Strip on December 27 has been
strong, although Hamas continued to fire rockets during the air and ground operation.
'It's not enough to make Barak prime minister, but it almost guarantees him a top spot in
the next government,' said political scientist Hani Zubida of Israel's Interdisciplinary
Center....The Likud's Netanyahu, popularly known by his childhood nickname, 'Bibi,' has
been a favorite in polls since Israel's 2006 Lebanon war against Hezbollah guerrillas, a
conflict many Israelis regarded as a failure....Like other Israeli political leaders, he
suspended campaigning during the conflict and said nothing in criticism of the way it was
conducted. 'Bibi played his cards right. The Gaza
offensive was the last thing he wanted before the elections, but he stayed quiet and handled it well,' Zubida said. Much could depend
on the public perception in Israel over whether the Gaza campaign has achieved its goals.
Continued Hamas rocket fire or failure to stop the Islamist group from rearming could bite
into Barak's newfound popularity, political commentators said."
Israel's Barak gains in polls, Netanyahu stays ahead
Reuters, 17
January 2009
Right On Cue
Israeli Government Election 'War Game' Goes On Hold As Obama Prepares To Be Sworn
In
"Israel began sending army reservists
into Gaza last night in a further escalation of its war against Hamas....Many commentators believe that Israel faces a de facto deadline of January 20 the day of Barack
Obamas inauguration as US President. Mr Obama
yesterday promised to make the Middle East a priority for his Administration."
Israel reinforces army before third phase of war in Gaza
London
Times, 12 January 2009
"Prime Minister Ehud
Olmert of Israel
announced late Saturday night [17 January] that the Israeli military would begin a unilateral cease-fire in Gaza
within hours while negotiations continued on how to stop the resupply of Hamas
through smuggling from Egypt."
Israel Declares Cease Fire; Hamas Says It Will Fight On
New
York Times, 17 January 2009
"Israel is expected to announce a
unilateral ceasefire tonight [17 January] that will end its three-week war in Gaza.
Officials said that the Israeli Security Cabinet will be asked to approve the surprise
move after Israel secured commitments from Egypt and the US to stop Hamas re-arming by
smuggling weapons into Gaza. If the Cabinet agrees, Israeli troops will halt Operation
Cast Lead but if Hamas continues to fire rockets into southern Israel they will
resume the action. The plan would allow Israel to
stop fighting before Barack Obamas inauguration on Tuesday, and avoid direct dealings with Hamas, which it regards as a terrorist
group....Israels offensive has killed 1,100 Palestinians half of them
civilians wounded more than 5,000 and forced tens of thousands from their homes. It
has prompted international condemnation but proved popular domestically, with most Israelis believing that the action has been entirely
justified. The Israeli leadership argues that it has now established
the principle of deterrence, restored the prestige of its military after its failure to crush Hezbollah in Lebanon in 2006..."
Gaza war 'in final act' as ceasefire looms
London
Times, 17 January 2009
Loose Criteria To Ensure Cease-fire By 20 January
"Asked on Israel's Channel 10 TV
station if the country would act unilaterally to end the conflict, Foreign Minister Tzipi
Livni said it was down to the security cabinet to make that decision. 'I have said the end
doesn't have to be in agreement with Hamas but rather in arrangements against Hamas,' Ms Livni said. Asked on
Israel's Channel 10 TV station if the country would
act unilaterally to end the
conflict, Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni said it was
down to the security cabinet to make that decision. 'I have said the end doesn't have to be in agreement with Hamas but rather in arrangements against Hamas,' Ms Livni said. The cabinet is
expected to meet on Saturday [17th], according to reports."
Israel 'set for ceasefire vote'
BBC Online, 16 January
2009
Religion, Extremism, Pre-67 Borders, And The Demographic Timebomb
"If I were a Palestinian, I'd also
join a terror
group."
Ehud Barak, Chairman of Israel's Labour Party and later Israeli
Prime Minister
Haaretz (Israel), 3
June 1998
"Israel's population of 7.1 million is
today divided into 5.4 million Jews and 1.6 million Arabs. But if you include Arabs in
Gaza and the West Bank, they may already have a slender majority; and given their higher
birthrate, the gap will widen quickly. This tectonic shift in demographics is what scared
even hawkish Israelis like former Prime Minister Ariel Sharon into abandoning the biblical
dreams of a Greater Israel stretching all the way
from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean. As
Olmert recently warned, 'If we are determined to
preserve the Jewish and democratic character of the state of Israel, we must inevitably
relinquish, with great pain, parts of our homeland.' In other words, if
Israelis cling to the West Bank and Gaza, as many religious
Zionists insist, Jews will find themselves a shrinking
minority in their own state. Not only would Israel cease to be a Jewish state, it would no
longer be a democratic one either, unless Arabs are given a fair share of power....the population shift underscores a plain fact: for Israel, the status
quo won't be good enough for much longer....Israel's
leaders need to recognize that if Hamas cannot be beaten militarily, then it must be engaged politically. That
means accepting the idea of dealing with some kind of Palestinian unity government that
includes Hamas. A coalition
between Hamas and Abbas is essential for the future of a Palestinian state and for
moderating Hamas' extremism.... A new Administration in Washington has a chance to be both supportive of
Israel and honest with it. Over the past three years, many Israelis have told me that
President George W. Bush was too good a friend of theirs. He gave Israelis all they wanted
but didn't rein them in when they needed it. Israel
eventually will have to pull back to the 1967 borders and dismantle many of the settlements on the Palestinian side, no
matter how loudly its ultra-religious parties protest. Only then will the Palestinians and the other Arab states agree
to a durable peace. It's as simple as that. But for
60 years, in the Holy Land, there has been a yawning gap between what was simple and what could be
achieved."
Tim McGirk - Can Israel Survive Its Assault on Gaza?
TIME, 8 January
2008
Can The Moderates Prevail In This Climate?
"Israeli President Shimon Peres has praised the king of Saudi
Arabia for his Middle East peace initiative. At an
interfaith meeting at the United Nations, Mr Peres told King Abdullah he hoped his would
be the 'prevailing voice of the whole region'. The Saudi plan, proposed in 2002, calls for
Israel to withdraw from occupied land in exchange for
Arab recognition....King Abdullah organised the
two-day conference in New York to promote a dialogue
on religion and culture. He told the meeting of world leaders that it was time to learn the
lessons of the past. 'Terrorism and criminality are
the enemies of each and every religion and civilisation,' he said,
speaking through an interpreter. 'They wouldn't have
appeared had it not been for the upset of the principles of tolerance.'"
Peres lauds Saudi king peace plan
BBC Online, 13 November 2008
And What Prospects For Finally
Burying The Hatchet With Iran
Including The Anglo-American
Legacy Of 1953?
"[MI6]
also made short work of Mohammed Mossadeq, the democratically-elected prime
minister of Iran, overthrown in 1953 in a coup cooked up with the CIA."
Psst! Want to join MI6?
Daily
Telegraph, 7 January 2009
"Who thinks seriously that if we sit
on another hilltop, on another hundred meters, that this is what will make the difference
for the state of Israel's basic security?.... I am not trying to justify
retroactively what I did for 35 years. For a large portion of these years, I was unwilling
to look at reality in all its depth.... Part of our megalomania and our loss of
proportions is the things that are said here
about Iran. We are a country that has lost a
sense of proportion about itself."
Edud Olmert - Outgoing Prime Minister Of Israel
International Herald
Tribune, 29 September 2008
"President-elect
Barack
Obama addressed some of the most delicate foreign policy issues over the weekend,
confirming that he intended to pursue a clear policy of engagement with Iran
and to press immediately for peace in the Middle East. Speaking on the ABC News program
'This Week,' Mr. Obama reiterated that he wanted to work directly with Iran a
country whose president has called for Israels destruction to improve
relations and halt a nuclear program that Tehran describes as peaceful, but that the West believes is not. 'We
are going to have to take a new approach,' he told the programs host, George
Stephanopoulos. 'My belief is that engagement is the place to start.' Mr. Obama said
he wanted to adopt 'a new emphasis on respect and a
new willingness on being willing to talk' to the
Iranians, while making it clear 'that we also have certain expectations.'
In Interview, Obama Talks of New Approach to Iran
New York Times, 11
January 2009
"Barack
Obama signalled a new era in relations with Iran yesterday...Mr Obama said that the
US had to take a 'new approach' with Iran, with a 'new emphasis on being willing to talk'.
He added: 'We anticipate that we're going to have to move swiftly in that area.'
Talks on Iran, a delay on Guantánamo: Barack Obama's agenda for his first 100 days
London
Times, 12 January 2009
"Barack Obama, the US president-elect,
yesterday promised to focus on Middle East peace from the start of his administration and
to treat Iran with 'respect' as he set out his foreign policy thinking in greater detail."
Obama Vows to Focus on Gaza and Iran From Start
Financial Times, 12 January 2009
"Iran as a nation represents absolutely no threat to the national security of
the United States, or of its major allies in the region, including Israel. The media hype
concerning alleged statements made by Irans President Ahmadinejad has created and
sustained the myth that Iran seeks the destruction of the State of Israel. Two points of
fact directly contradict this myth. First and foremost, Ahmadinejad never articulated an
Iranian policy objective to destroy Israel, rather noting that Israels policies
would lead to its 'vanishing from the pages of time.' Second, and perhaps most important,
Ahmadinejad does not make foreign policy decisions on the part of the Islamic Republic of
Iran. This is the sole purview of the 'Supreme Leader,' the Ayatollah Khomeini. In 2003 Khomeini initiated a diplomatic outreach to the United
States inclusive of an offer to recognize Israels right to exist. This initiative
was rejected by the United States, but nevertheless
represents the clearest indication of what the true policy objective of Iran is vis-à-vis
Israel. The fact of the matter is that the 'Iranian Threat' is derived solely from the
rhetoric of those who appear to seek confrontation between the United States and Iran, and
largely divorced from fact-based reality. A recent request on the part of Iran to allow
President Ahmadinejad to lay a wreath at 'ground zero' in Manhattan was rejected by New
York City officials. The resulting public outcry condemned the Iranian initiative as an
affront to all Americans, citing Irans alleged policies of supporting terrorism.
This knee-jerk reaction ignores the reality that Iran was violently opposed to
al-Qaedas presence in Afghanistan throughout the 1990s leading up to 2001, and
that Iran was one of the first Muslim nations to condemn the terror attacks against the
United States on September 11, 2001."
Scott Ritter, former US marine and UN weapons inspector
The Big Lie: Iran Is a Threat
Common Dreams, 8
October 2007
"Barack
Obama's campaign promise to consider talks to end 30 years of hostility [with Iran] is astute...
Mr Obama should simultaneously entertain overtures to Syria with the aim of breaking the
Iranian axis. There will be no swift breakthrough. But just as Richard Nixon's secret
diplomacy paved the way for his coup in China, so Mr
Obama now has a chance to end one of the region's longest and most destructive quarrels."
Thirty years on
London
Times, 3 January 2009
"U.S. President-elect Barack Obama
said on Friday he views Iran as a 'genuine threat' but still favors
initiating a dialogue with the Islamic republic.
Asked about Iran at a news conference, Obama said he would not go into detail on
his policy toward Tehran because of the principle that there is only one president at a
time. But he said, 'I have said in the past during the course of the campaign that Iran is
a genuine threat to U.S. national security.' "But I have also said that we should be willing to initiate diplomacy as a mechanism to
achieve our national security goals, and my national security team, I think, is reflective
of that practical, pragmatic approach to foreign policy,' said Obama, who takes over from President George W. Bush on Jan."
Obama views Iran as a 'threat' to US security
AlArabiya Channel, 9
January 2009
"The anti-Israeli anger swelling in
the region [resulting from the attack on Gaza] has made it more difficult for Arab
governments to join Israel in its efforts to deal with Iran, the patron of both Hamas and Hizballah..."
Tim McGirk - Can Israel Survive Its Assault on Gaza?
TIME, 8 January
2008
Lid Blows Off In The Holy Land
As Obama Wins US Presidency And Elections Near In Israel
Inching Towards Peace
"After visiting Sderot last April and seeing the
serious psychological damage caused by the rockets that had fallen in that area, my wife,
Rosalynn, and I declared their launching from Gaza to be inexcusable and an act of
terrorism. Although casualties were rare (three deaths in seven years), the town was
traumatized by the unpredictable explosions. About 3,000 residents had moved to other
communities, and the streets, playgrounds and shopping centers were almost empty.... Hamas
wanted a comprehensive cease-fire in both the West Bank and Gaza, and the Israelis refused
to discuss anything other than Gaza. We knew that the 1.5 million inhabitants of Gaza were
being starved, as the U.N. special rapporteur on the right to food had found that acute
malnutrition in Gaza was on the same scale as in the poorest nations in the southern
Sahara, with more than half of all Palestinian families eating only one meal a day.
Palestinian leaders from Gaza were noncommittal on all issues, claiming that rockets were
the only way to respond to their imprisonment and to dramatize their humanitarian plight.
The top Hamas leaders in Damascus, however, agreed to consider a cease-fire in Gaza only,
provided Israel would not attack Gaza and would permit normal humanitarian supplies to be
delivered to Palestinian citizens. After extended
discussions with those from Gaza, these Hamas leaders also agreed to accept any peace agreement that might be negotiated
between the Israelis and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, who also heads the
PLO, provided it was approved by
a majority vote of Palestinians in a referendum or by an elected unity government....there was an increase in supplies of food, water, medicine and fuel.
Yet the increase was to an average of about 20 percent of normal levels. And this fragile
truce was partially broken on Nov. 4, when Israel launched an attack in Gaza to destroy a
defensive tunnel being dug by Hamas inside the wall that encloses Gaza.....[In December]
The Israeli government informally proposed that 15 percent of normal supplies might be
possible if Hamas first stopped all rocket fire for 48 hours. This was unacceptable to
Hamas, and hostilities erupted."
Jimmy Carter - An Unnecessary War
Washington
Post, 8 January 2009
Cease-fire Ends 4 November 2008 - Day Of American Presidential Election
"A
four-month ceasefire between Israel and Palestinian militants in Gaza was in jeopardy
today after Israeli troops killed six Hamas gunmen in a raid into the territory. Hamas responded by firing a wave of rockets into southern Israel,
although no one was injured. The violence represented the most serious break in a
ceasefire agreed in mid-June, yet both sides suggested they wanted to return to atmosphere
of calm. Israeli troops crossed into the Gaza Strip late last night [4 November] near the
town of Deir al-Balah....The attack comes shortly before a key meeting this Sunday in Cairo when Hamas
and its political rival Fatah will hold talks on reconciling their differences and
creating a single, unified government. It will be the first time the two sides have met at
this level since fighting a near civil war more than a year ago."
Gaza truce broken as Israeli raid kills six Hamas gunmen
Guardian, 5
November 2008
Chronology: Which Side Violated the Israel-Gaza Ceasefire? - Click Here
Middle East Temperature Rises As
Obama Prepares To Take The Reins
And Israeli Elections Approach
"When Hamass six-month
ceasefire expired a few days ago, there were fears that a new cycle of attack and reprisal
would begin. From the perspective of the
Israeli Government the ideal moment to strike was now. George W. Bush, who has supported
Israel throughout his eight years in office, is still in power for three more weeks. Better to finish this operation before Barack Obama arrives at the White House promising to take a fresh look at
Middle East peacemaking. Israels domestic politics are also a factor. The ruling Kadima party and its Labour ally are lagging behind the right-wing opposition Likud
party in the polls ahead of elections on
February 10. Launching a big military
operation is risky as the Prime Minister, Ehud Olmert, learnt to his cost after the
disastrous Lebanon war in 2006 but a
victory of any sort in Gaza could help the coalition to revive its electoral fortunes."
Hamas has precipitated this confrontation
London Times, 29 December 2008
"Nour Odeh, Al Jazeera's correspondent
in Ramallah, reported that senior figures had supported Abbas in his call on Hamas not to
abandon the truce. She added that during an Israeli election year, a hardline position towards
Palestinians has always won more seats, making the
timing particularly risky for Hamas."
Abbas blames Hamas for bloodshed
Al-Jazeera,
28 December 2008
"The conflict in
Gaza should not be seen or judged in isolation. Its purpose is to stop Hamas attacks
but its timing is linked to three elections. Israel faces a general election in February; Iran will choose its next president in June; and Barack Obama, the victor of the US elections, becomes president in 16 days. As well as an attempt to stop missiles being launched against its own
citizens, the Israelis have a wider, strategic objective. They are seeking to create
conditions on the ground that will enable a negotiated peace between Israel and the
Palestinians and the creation of a Palestinian state. No Israeli government can negotiate
withdrawal from the West Bank without the consent of its citizens. Tzipi Livni and her moderate coalition must, therefore, win the
election. But the politician who leads the opinion polls in Israel is Benyamin Netanyahu, the hardline leader of
the opposition, who is strongly opposed to the creation of a
Palestine state....If that election results in Tzipi
Livni as prime minister with Ehud Barak, the Labour leader and former prime minister, as
her deputy, the peace process has a serious prospect of getting somewhere. The attacks on
Hamas are already helping Livni and Barak in the opinion polls. The international
community might not approve, but if we wish to see a Palestinian state in the foreseeable
future this is likely to be the best route. An
Israeli government re-elected just 21 days after President Obama takes office would create
an unprecedented opportunity to relaunch the peace process....Iran may not be a proper democracy but no one can predict whether Ahmadinejad
will get a second term in June or be ousted by a moderate opponent. If he goes, much of his rhetoric on
liquidating Israel will go with him. A peaceful resolution of Iran's nuclear aspirations
would also be more likely, especially as Obama has promised a serious dialogue with Iran
to try to meet its security concerns. If the United States, under Bush, has been able to
do a deal with Gadaffi's Libya then a new relationship with Iran, brokered by Obama, is
not inconceivable."
Sir Malcolm Rifkind, British Foreign Secretary, 1995-7 - Hamas rockets block the birth of
a Palestinian state
Daily
Telegraph, 3 January 2009
The Race To 'Out Macho' Netanyahu
"Likud Chairman Benjamin
Netanyahu on Wednesday pledged to topple the Hamas leadership
in the Gaza Strip if elected prime minister in the February elections. Speaking to a group of Russian speakers, Netanyahu said that under
his leadership, Israel would move from a policy of absorbing blows to a policy of being on
the offensive. He said that apart from stopping the rocket fire from the Gaza Strip,
such a policy would also restore Israel's 'national honor.' It should be clear to the
Syrians and to the world, the Golan Heights will stay in our hands,' Netanyahu said....Kadima Chairwoman Tzip Livni made similar comments Monday to
Netanyahu's regarding Hamas. After a meeting with
the party's security forum, she said the forum had set the toppling of Hamas from its rule
in the coastal territory as a central goal for the long term. Until that target is
reached, Israel will work to regain its power of deterrence and to defend its citizens,
she said."
Netanyahu pledges to topple Hamas if elected prime minister
Haaretz, 24 December 2008
Who Is Ultra-Hawk Benjamin Netanyahu - Click Here
"Israel vowed
yesterday to sweep Hamas from power in Gaza, pledging 'all-out'
war and promising to smash every building linked to
the Islamist movement. 'The goal of the operation is to topple Hamas,' Haim Ramon, the
deputy to Ehud Olmert, the Prime Minister, said. It
was the first time since it launched its blistering offensive that Israel has openly stated that regime change is its
ultimate goal. 'We will stop firing immediately if
someone takes the responsibility of this government, anyone but Hamas,' Mr Ramon said. 'We
are favourable to any other government to take the place of Hamas.'
Israel vows to sweep Hamas from power
London
Times, 30 December 2008
Obama Waits In High Stakes Scenario
"Starting at the beginning of our
administration, we are going to engage effectively and consistently in trying to resolve
the conflicts that exist in the Middle East. On January 20, you will be hearing directly from me, and my opinions on the issue.
Until then, my job is to monitor the
situation..."
US President Elect Barack Obama
Guardian,
6 January 2009
"As Obama prepares for office, Israel
cannot afford to gloss over the Arab League initiative. It is the peace plan that refused
to die. While the Annapolis process has been and gone, the Road Map is a distant memory,
and Gaza is on fire, somehow the Arab League Initiative remains the perennial best-seller
of the jaded peace industry. First proposed by the Saudis in 2002, it presents an
apparently simple deal: Israel gets peace with 22 Arab states in return for a two-state
solution based on the 1967 borders. Neat and pleasingly symmetrical, it experienced
something of a revival in the latter months of 2008. Full-page advertisements in the
Israeli and international press gave details of the plan and called for support. Then, at
the Palestinian investment conference in London last month, Prime Minister Gordon Brown
gave it his strongest endorsement yet. David Miliband calls it 'our best hope for peace'
and, according to Israels President Shimon Peres, US
President-elect Barack Obama also sees it as a key part of his Middle East policy. So what could be wrong? Quite a lot, according to the Israelis. When the
plan was finessed at the Riyadh summit in 2007, a clause was inserted stating that the
Palestinian refugee issue should be resolved 'in accordance with UN General Assembly
Resolution 194', crucially adding that the Arab states would refuse to allow any form of
resettlement within their own borders. The plans sponsors are refusing to accept
that refugees and their families some of whom have been resident in Syria, Lebanon
or Jordan for several generations can have a permanent future there. Israel, too,
is clearly not going to accept the return of millions of Palestinian refugees. At best, it
will take in a very limited, symbolic number for 'family reunification'. The rest, say the
Israelis, will need to settle in a future Palestine or be resettled in a third
country....As the world waits for Obama, the UK is tightening up its demands over West
Bank goods and settlement expansion. And so long as Israel cannot counter the Arab League
with a credible plan of its own (while fearing the possibility of others filling the
vacuum), the Saudi initiative will remain the sexiest peace plan for the worlds most
popular conflict."
Saudi peace plan: still the only show in town
Jewish
Chronicle, 30 December 2008
"Despite the indirect pressure from
both sides, the Obama transition team wasnt tipping its hand about how it might respond
to the Gaza conflict if it is still raging on January 20. Obama political adviser David Axelrod, speaking on Meet the Press, was
mostly noncommittal."
Gaza War Surges As Questions Mount
The Jewish
Week, 30 December 2008
"The
incoming Obama administration is prepared to abandon George Bush'sdoctrine of isolating
Hamas by establishing a channel to the Islamist organisation, sources close to the
transition team say. The move to open contacts with Hamas, which could be initiated
through the US intelligence services, would represent a definitive break with the Bush
presidency's ostracising of the group..... There
is no talk of Obama approving direct diplomatic negotiations with Hamas early on, but he
is being urged by advisers to initiate low-level or clandestine approaches, and there is
growing recognition in Washington that the policy of ostracising Hamas is
counter-productive....one Middle East expert close to the transition team said: 'It is
highly unlikely that they will be public about it.' He adopted a strongly pro-Israel
position during the election campaign, as did his erstwhile opponent and choice for
secretary of state, Hillary Clinton. But it is widely thought Obama would adopt a more
even-handed approach once he is president. His main priority now, in the remaining days
before his inauguration, is to ensure the crisis does not rob him of the chance to set his
own foreign policy agenda, rather than merely react to events....Obama has defined himself
in part by his willingness to talk to America's enemies. But the president-elect would be
wary of being seen to give legitimacy to Hamas as a consequence of the war in
Gaza....there is growing agreement, among Republicans as well as Democrats, on the need
to engage Hamas to achieve a sustainable peace in the Middle East even among
Obama's close advisers."
Obama camp 'prepared to talk to Hamas'
Guardian, 9
January 2009
"Barack Obama's chances of making a
fresh start in US relations with the Muslim world, and the Middle East in particular,
appear to diminish with each new wave of Israeli attacks on Palestinian targets in Gaza. That seems hardly fair, given the
president-elect does not take office until January 20. But foreign wars don't wait for
Washington inaugurations.....evidence is mounting that Obama is already losing ground
among key Arab and Muslim audiences that cannot understand why, given his promise of
change, he has not spoken out. The Al-Jazeera satellite television station recently
broadcast footage of Obama on holiday in Hawaii, wearing shorts and playing golf,
juxtaposed with scenes of bloodshed and mayhem in Gaza. Its report criticising 'the
deafening silence from the Obama team' suggested Obama is losing a battle of perceptions
among Muslims that he may not realise has even begun....The
danger is that when he finally peers over the parapet on January 21, the battle of
perceptions may already be half-lost."
Obama is losing a battle he doesn't know he's in
Guardian,
Comment Is Free, 4 January 2009
"Israel's
assault on the Gaza Strip is boosting the popularity of Hamas and other Islamic groups in
the Arab world where people are dismayed by the passiveness of their regimes, analysts said on Sunday. Israel's military offensive on the
Hamas-controlled territory has killed at least 875 Palestinians, including 275 children,
and left 3,620 wounded, since it began on December 27. Media coverage shows an imbalance
between a modern force, armed to the teeth with the most sophisticated weapons, and a
militia equipped only for guerrilla warfare, analysts said. 'Opposition in the Arab world
has become led by Islamist movements... Public opinion is led by these movements, at the
expense of Arab nationalists and liberal oppositions who are losing ground.' Meanwhile,
'the gap between Arab regimes and their people is being widened all the time,' Rashwan
added. Abdul Aziz al-Sager, head of the Dubai-based Gulf Research Centre (GRC), agreed
that Islamists are reaping a windfall of popularity from the Gaza war. 'Injustice serves
the Islamist movements, putting them in the vanguard through their support for jihad' or
holy war, in the Arab world, he told AFP....Jordan's Princess Haya, a UN messenger of
peace, also warned that growing Arab anger and frustration over Israel's war in the Gaza
Strip, could spiral out of control."
Israel's Gaza onslaught boosts Islamists' popularity: analysts
Agence
France Presse, 11 January 2009
"In
November, Ahmed Yousef, the speechwriter and aide of Gaza's prime minister, Ismail Haniyeh
of Hamas, claimed that U.S.
President-elect Barack Obama's
team had been in contact with the group during the U.S. election campaign. The Obama camp
denied it, and Yousef now says the talks are on ice. But many of the incoming president's
former and current foreign policy advisers favor some degree of U.S. engagement with the
group. And if the United States were to stop
boycotting Hamas, Israel could suddenly find itself internationally isolated on this
point. But conservative and brutal as its politics can be, what is so frightening about
talking to Hamas? The group does remain committed to
the dream of a united Islamic Palestine, but its political leadership, including Khaled
Meshal, has accepted the principle of a two-state solution, based
on the 1967 borders, in return for a long-term hudna, or
truce. When I spoke to Yousef last May, while researching a book about Palestinian
identity, he told me such a situation could be extended 'to infinity.' "
Arthur Neslen - Bringing Hamas in from the cold
Haaretz (Israel), 2 January
2009
Where Will It End?
"Israel is to halt its three-week military offensive
against Hamas militants in the Gaza Strip, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has said. He
said Israel had achieved its aims and the unilateral
ceasefire would start at 0200 (2400 GMT). But he
said troops would remain in Gaza for now. A Hamas spokesman said it would not accept one
Israeli soldier in Gaza. Nearly 1,200 Palestinians have been killed since the violence
began on 27 December. Thirteen Israelis have died. The Israeli prime minister's
announcement came in a televised address following a late-night cabinet
meeting....Israel's 'goals have been achieved, and even more', Mr Olmert said....But the
success of the ceasefire depended on Hamas, he said. Troops would remain in Gaza for the
time being and if Hamas held fire, the military would 'consider pulling out of Gaza at a
time that befits us'. If militant rocket fire into Israel continued, Israel would respond
with force, the Israeli leader added. A Hamas
spokesman, Fawzi Barhum, condemned the move. Hamas could not 'accept the presence of a
single [Israeli] soldier in Gaza', he said."
Israel declares ceasefire in Gaza
BBC Online, 17 January 2009
"Israel believes Operation Cast Lead
has re-established its fearsome deterrent capability, which was eroded by Hizbullah's
successes in the 2006 Lebanon war. Its losses three civilians and 10 soldiers, four
of those killed by friendly fire kept the Israeli Jewish public firmly behind the
offensive, setting the stage for elections on February 10. But the Palestinian death toll
of 1,200 or more the majority civilians, including hundreds of children was
a terrible price. The sheer scale of the killing, allegations of war crimes by the UN,
mass demonstrations and calls for boycotts of Israel underline global as well as Arab
outrage at the human cost of this most asymmetric of wars. Even those with no love for
Hamas, who criticise it for a recklessness that played straight into Israel's hands, warn
that the slaughter will fuel hatred and radicalisation and will motivate a new generation
of 'martyrs' and suicide bombers. Iran and Syria, its principal backers, will not end
their support. Israel's offensive was seen as a war against the whole Palestinian people,
not just the Islamist movement that rules Gaza. Olmert's apology will be neither believed
nor accepted. In the short term, Hamas may be able to carry on firing a few rockets and
risk attacks on the ground. It will certainly continue to claim victory simply by having
resisted the might of the Israeli army. Its 'military' gains, though, are close to
zero....The immediate political issue is whether governments will now be prepared to deal
with Hamas, bypassing and therefore weakening the internationally recognised,
western-backed Palestinian Authority in the West Bank, which has been negotiating with
Israel. That touches in turn on the thorny question of internal Palestinian
reconciliation. Beyond all that, Operation Cast Lead
may be effectively over, but the question of how to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict remains unanswered, just as it was before."
Israeli ceasefire offers precious respite, but little has changed
Guardian,
18 January 2009
Israel Must First Overcome Its Own Fear "Israel's attempt to wipe out Hamas is
understandable, but stupid....Hamas can harass, but
it cannot pose any threat to the existence of Israel....Hamas had respected the previously negotiated ceasefire except
when Israel used it as cover to make assassination raids. Hamas argued that these raids were hardly a manifestation of a ceasefire,
and so as symbolic protest it would allow the release of rocket fire (usually hitting no
targets). But when the issue of continuing the ceasefire came up, Hamas wanted a guarantee
that these assassination raids would stop. And it asked for more. With hundreds of
thousands of Palestinians facing acute malnutrition, Hamas insists that the borders be
opened so that food can arrive unimpeded. And in return for the captured Israeli soldier
Gilad Schalit, it asks for the release of 1,000 Palestinians imprisoned in Israel. Hamas has made it clear that it would accept the terms of the Saudi
Arabian peace agreement, though it would never formally
recognise Israel. It would live peacefully in a two-state arrangement, but it would never
acknowledge Israel's 'right to exist'. This position
is unnecessarily provocative, and is deeply self-destructive for Palestinians who believe
it is the only symbolic weapon they have left....[part of the problem is] the fearful consciousness of Israelis who still see the world
more through the frame of the Holocaust and previous persecutions than through the frame
of their actual present power in the world. It breaks my heart to see the terrible
suffering in Gaza and in Israel. As a religious Jew I find it all the worse, because it
confirms to me how easy it is to pervert the loving
message of Judaism into a message of hatred and
domination. I remain in mourning for the Jewish people, for Israel and for the
world." |
How Israel
Can Bypass Its Fear-Based Model Of National Defense |
"While we debate the gap between Israeli policy intentions and their outcomes, it is worth stopping for a moment to consider what the calculations of
Hamas may have been in recent months.... This is the great lacuna in our conversation
about Gaza and Palestine. We simply have no idea what
the arguments inside Hamas are, and how they are affected by
Israeli actions. It is as possible to believe that
the bombing of Gaza will strengthen hardliners as it is that they will be sufficiently
weakened to allow a ceasefire. We just don't know."
That's enough pointless outrage about Gaza
London
Times, 30 December 2008
"A former prime minister
during the 1990s, Netanyahu has been a hawk throughout most of his career he opposed the
Israeli pullout from Gaza in 2005 and, unlike Livni, has ruled out negotiations on
Jerusalem as part of the peace process. A survey released Sunday night by Israel's Channel
10 television showed that 81% of Israelis backed the assault, Reuters reported. The same poll showed Livni and Barak rising in the polls since the war
started, though they still trail Netanyahu."
War may propel Israeli election
USA Today, 29
December 2008
"...the large majority
of Israelis [are] still undeterred from their support for the war by a Palestinian death
toll in Gaza which could, after only two and a half weeks, overtake the one incurred in
Lebanon in five weeks in 2006, and included by Monday night 292 boys and girls under 18,
and 75 women.... Mr Netanyahu's task is to retain his
appeal to just that supportive majority when unlike two of his political rivals, Ms
Livni and Ehud Barak, the Defence Minister he is not actually running the war most
of them so approve of. But the long shadow of his own popularity, as the leading
politician who has most consistently advocated the removal of Hamas, certainly hangs over
this bloody campaign. For now he is choosing his
words carefully...Which leaves, as Ms Livni, Mr Barak and Ehud Olmert, the outgoing Prime
Minister, know only too well, plenty of room in the interval assuming there is one
between the end of the war and the election to criticise the basis on which it ends
if it fails to meet his requirements, and to take some of the credit if it does. Towards
the end of his news conference yesterday, he was asked if he thought the government might
not have embarked on the operation if he hadn't been advocating
it from an electorally threatening position. 'I
haven't any idea,' he said crisply. It was a reply that strictly adhered to the ban on
electioneering imposed during Operation Cast Lead. But it was hardly a denial."
Netanyahu casts himself as player on a world stage
Independent,
14 January 2009
"The offensive against Hamas is hugely popular: a poll in
the Maariv newspaper showed 91 per cent of Israelis supporting it."
Gaza: international plan hatched to bring back Fatah
London
Times, 10 January 2009
"Extremist Muslims are using internet
forums to collect names and addresses of prominent European Jews with the goal, it seems
clear, of assassinating them in retaliation for Israel's actions in Gaza. Al-Qaeda is
attempting to exploit this crisis to gain a foothold in Gaza and Palestinian refugee camps
in Lebanon and Syria, as well as through attacking Jewish communities globally. Iran's
defiance of both Israel and its main sponsor, the US, is winning it increasing sympathy
with each passing day....Israel is succeeding in
doing little more than creating another generation of Palestinians with hearts filled with
rage and a need for revenge....Who will save Israel from
herself?"
Mark LeVine, professor of Middle East history, University of
California
Who will save Israel from itself?
Aljazeera,
12 January 2009
"Iran's
Air Force is on alert after the country's president envisaged major
regional developments in the wake of the Israeli raids on
Gaza. The chief Iranian Air Force Commander
Brigadier General Hassan Shah-Safi said on Wednesday that the ongoing critical situation
in the Middle East has prompted the Iranian military to take necessary measures to ensure
readiness in the event of the country becoming the target of an offensive."
Iran on full alert in wake of Israeli raids
Press TV
(Iran), 31 December 2008
"In the first newspaper interview by a
serving MI5 director general, Evans warns that Israeli
attacks on Gaza give extremists in Britain more ideological ammunition....Evans predicted that the Israeli invasion of Gaza would see
'extremists try to radicalise individuals for their own purposes'."
MI5 chief - al-Qaida threat diminished, but not yet over
Guardian, 7
January 2009
"For the most obvious reasons Egypt,
controlling Gaza's only land border that is not with Israel, is intimately involved in any
immediate progress....The dilemma Hosni Mubarak faces as its President is no secret, and
not new: he does not want to inflame the Muslim
Brotherhood within Egypt, of which Hamas is a Palestinian offshoot. He wants to be a broker, without provoking protests at home that he is
complicit with Israel."
Egypt is best placed to broker a deal
London
Times, 7 January 2009
"The world isn't just watching the
Israeli government commit a crime in Gaza; we are watching it self-harm. This morning, and tomorrow morning, and every morning until this
punishment beating ends, the young people of the Gaza Strip are going to be more filled
with hate, and more determined to fight back, with
stones or suicide vests or rockets. Israeli leaders have convinced themselves that the
harder you beat the Palestinians, the softer they will become. But when this is over, the
rage against Israelis will have hardened, and the same old compromises will still be waiting by the roadside of history, untended and
unmade."
Johann Hari: The true story behind this war is not the one Israel is telling
Independent,
29 December 2008
"It took Fintan O'Toole, The Irish
Times's resident philosopher-in-chief, to speak the unspeakable. 'When does the mandate of victimhood expire?' he asked. 'At what point does the Nazi genocide of Europe's Jews cease
to excuse the state of Israel from the demands of international law and of common
humanity?'"
Robert Fisks World: Wherever I go, I hear the same tired Middle East comparisons
Independent,
10 January 2009
"Israeli ground forces are battling
Hamas fighters in the Gaza Strip, after Israel stepped up its operation to try to halt
rocket attacks by militants. Clashes were reported in Gaza City, the northern town of Beit
Lahiya and the Jabaliya refugee camp. Both sides have reported casualties in the fighting.
As dawn broke on Sunday, a large plume of black smoke
could be seen rising from part of the northern part of the Gaza Strip. Correspondents say
there was a constant sound of machine-gun fire and explosions, as Israeli forces pounded
Gaza from land and sea. The shelling went on throughout the night. Witnesses say the attack began when Israeli military convoys supported by
attack helicopters crossed into northern Gaza at four separate points after nightfall on
Saturday...An Israeli military spokeswoman said the objective of the ground operation was
'to destroy the Hamas terror infrastructure in the area of operations'....The move into
Gaza had been preceded by some of the heaviest Israeli air and artillery attacks on the
territory in more than a week of bombardment....The BBC's Paul Wood in Jerusalem says this
is probably just the first wave of the assault, since there are said to be some 10,000
Israeli troops and hundreds of tanks massed on the border with Gaza. The government has
also announced the urgent call-up of 'tens of thousands' of extra military
reservists....Israeli warplanes and naval vessels have carried out more than 800 strikes
on the Gaza Strip since the offensive started eight days ago, including 40 on Saturday....Around the world, demonstrations were held against Israel's
military operations, with 20,000 in Paris and 10,000 in London. In Israel itself, tens of
thousands of Israeli Arabs gathered in the town of Sakhnin to protest against their
government's actions. Peace groups held a demonstration in Tel Aviv."
Israeli troops clash with Hamas
BBC Online, 4 January 2009
After 60 Years Of Continuing Conflict
Who Is Prepared To Compromise And Who Isn't?
Historical Context |
From: World Encyclopedia | Date: 2005 | © World Encyclopedia 2005, originally published by Oxford University Press 2005. Palestine Territory in the Middle East, on the e shore of the Mediterranean Sea; considered a Holy Land by Jews, Christians and Muslims. Palestine has been settled continuously since 4000 bc. The Jews moved into Palestine from Egypt c.2000 bc but were subjects of the Philistines until 1020 bc, when Saul, David, and Solomon established Hebrew kingdoms. The region was then under Assyrian and, later, Persian control before coming under Roman rule in 63 bc. In succeeding centuries, Palestine became a focus of Christian pilgrimage. Muslim Arabs conquered the region in 640. In 1099, Palestine fell to the Crusaders, but in 1291 they in turn were routed by the Mamluks. The area was part of the Ottoman Empire from 1516 to 1918, when British forces defeated the Turks at Megiddo. The Balfour Declaration encouraged Jewish immigration. After World War I, the British held a League of Nations mandate over the land w of the River Jordan (now once again called Palestine). Tension between Jews and the Arab majority led to an uprising in 1936. World War II and Nazi persecution brought many Jews to Palestine, and in 1947 Britain, unable to satisfy both Jewish and Arab aspirations, consigned the problem to the United Nations. The UN proposed a plan for separate Jewish and Arab states. This was rejected by the Arabs, and in 1948 (after the first of several Arab-Israeli Wars) most of ancient Palestine became part of the new state of Israel; the Gaza Strip was controlled by Egypt and the West Bank of the River Jordan by Jordan. These two areas were subsequently occupied by Israel in 1967. From the 1960s, the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) led Palestinian opposition to Israeli rule, which included acts of terrorism and the Intifada in the occupied territories. In 1993, Israel reached an agreement with the PLO, and in 1994 the Palestine National Authority took over nominal administration of the Gaza Strip and West Bank. Failure to find a peaceful settlement saw the resurgence of the Intifada in November 2000. The death of Yasir Arafat led to the election in January 2005 of Mahmoud Abbas (also known as Abu Mazen) as Palestinian leader. |
60 Years Of Arab-Israeli Conflict
"The blood-splattering has its own
routine. Yes, Hamas provoked Israel's anger, just as Israel provoked Hamas's anger, which
was provoked by Israel, which was provoked by Hamas, which ... Yes, Israel deserves
security. But these bloodbaths will not bring it. Not
since 1948 have air raids
protected Israel. Israel has bombed Lebanon thousands of times since 1975 and not one has
eliminated 'terrorism'."
Leaders lie, civilians die, and lessons of history are ignored
Independent,
29 December 2008
"What we shouldn't do is fall into the
easy analytical trap of designating Hamas as an al-Qaeda equivalent, however much its
anti-Jewish propaganda and dedication to martyrdom disgusts us. In any long-term solution a large section of Hamas's current
support, and a not insignificant part of its membership, would have to be won over to the
side of peace. The historian Tom Segev, writing in
the Israeli newspaper, Haaretz, yesterday reminded readers that 'all of Israel's wars have
been based on yet another assumption that has been with us from the start: that we are
only defending ourselves', but that 'no military operation has ever advanced dialogue with
the Palestinians'. He wasn't saying that Israel hadn't the right to stop the rockets from
being fired from Gaza, but that it would get the larger process precisely nowhere....it is
hard not to see Western and Israeli policy towards Gaza since Israel's unilateral
withdrawal in 2005 as one huge strategic error. There was the refusal to deal with the
Hamas Government elected in January 2006, the siding with Fatah in the subsequent internal
dispute, the imposition of an effective blockade on Gaza that amounted to collective
punishment....the failure of Israel to proceed in any substantial way with easing the
conditions for Palestinians on the Fatah-controlled West Bank, or the commencement of a
policy of dismantling West Bank settlements before an agreement, meant that no
encouragement was given to the opponents of Hamas either. The
message that has been given out to Palestinians, time and again, is that there is no clear
advantage to be gained from being moderate. It has
been all stick and no carrot..."
That's enough pointless outrage about Gaza
London
Times, 30 December 2008
"Like the West Bank, the Gaza Strip
has been - and continues to be - illegally occupied by Israel since 1967. Despite the
withdrawal of troops and settlements three years ago, Israel maintains complete control of
the territory by sea, air and land. And since Hamas won the Palestinian elections in 2006,
Israel has punished its 1.5 million people with an inhuman blockade of essential supplies,
backed by the US and the European Union.... During the last seven years, 14 Israelis have
been killed by mostly homemade rockets fired from the Gaza Strip, while more than 5,000
Palestinians were killed by Israel with some of the most advanced US-supplied armaments in
the world.... Hamas is likewise blamed for last month's breakdown of the six-month
tahdi'a, or lull. But, in a weary reprise of past ceasefires, it was in fact sunk by
Israel's assassination of six Hamas fighters in Gaza on 5 November and its refusal to lift
its siege of the embattled territory as expected under an Egyptian-brokered deal. The truth is that Israel and its western sponsors have set their face
against an accommodation with the Palestinians' democratic
choice and have instead thrown their political weight, cash
and arms behind a sustained attempt to overthrow it....The
complete failure of that approach has brought us to this week's horrific pass. Israeli
leaders believe they can bomb Hamas into submission with a 'decisive blow' that will
establish a 'new security environment' - and boost their electoral fortunes in the process
before Barack Obama comes to office."
Israel's onslaught on Gaza is a crime that cannot succeed
Guardian,
30 December 2008
"Barack Obama promised during his
election campaign that he would pursue a settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict
from Day One of his presidency. The Gaza crisis has
now turned that interest into an urgent requirement while making progress even more
difficult.....Islamic extremists--from al-Qaeda to
Hizballah to Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad--have gained great advantage from the
anti-American anger in the Arab and Muslim world that the Gaza crisis has brought to a
boil....A commitment to resolve the Palestinian problem also takes on new urgency because
the potential Arab partners in this effort--from Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to
the leaders of Egypt, Jordan and Saudi Arabia--need to demonstrate to their irate
populations that pro-American moderation and reconciliation can actually provide a better
future for the Palestinians."
Martin Indyk, former US Ambassador to Israel
Obama's Options
TIME, 8 January
2009
Into The Election Melting Pot
"Senior Jerusalem officials dismissed
on Sunday a sudden surge of interest both here and abroad in the Arab Peace Initiative,
saying it was a function of both a diplomatic process that has stalled and the transition
periods in Israel, the US and the Palestinian Authority....The
Arab Peace Initiative, based on the Saudi peace plan of February 2002, calls for a full
Israeli withdrawal from all territories taken in the Six Day War, including east
Jerusalem, in exchange for normalizing ties with the Arab world. It also calls for the return to Israel of Palestinian refugees and their
descendents. The plan seems to be all the rage in recent days. President Shimon Peres
reportedly talked with Shas spiritual leader Rabbi Ovadia Yosef about the need to go for a
regional agreement, not just a bilateral one with Syria or the Palestinians, while King
Abdullah II of Jordan told Spain's El Pais daily that the plan provided a genuine
opportunity for a peace settlement....Labor Party head Ehud Barak also got into the fray,
telling Army Radio on Sunday he discussed the plan recently with Foreign Minister Tzipi
Livni during their coalition negotiations. Barak, like Peres, said that with little
movement on the separate bilateral tracks with the Palestinian Authority and Syria, it
could be beneficial to go after a wider regional settlement. 'There is definitely room to
introduce a comprehensive Israeli plan to counter the Saudi plan, that would be the basis
for a discussion on overall regional peace,' he said. The
Saudi plan was 'relaunched' in March 2007 in Riyadh, and shortly afterward the Arab League
tasked Egypt and Jordan, because of their diplomatic ties with Israel, with bringing the
plan to Jerusalem. Amid no small amount of fanfare, Egypt's Foreign Minister Ahmed Abul
Gheit and Jordan's Foreign Minister Abdelelah al-Khatib came, but after a press conference
with Livni in which their
arrival as an Arab League delegation was hailed as a historic development, nothing was
heard of the working group again. The official
warned against expecting to see any new diplomatic initiatives launched or picked up at
this time - Arab League initiatives or otherwise - because it
isn't clear what the next Israeli government will look like, or when it will be sworn in; no one knows who
will be in control of the Palestinian Authority on January 10, the day Hamas has said it
will no longer recognize Mahmoud Abbas as PA president. In addition, the makeup of the next US administration is unclear."
Israeli officials reject Saudi peace plan revival
Jerusalem
Post, 20 October 2008
Some Want To Find A Compromise
"Israel's attempt to wipe out
Hamas is understandable, but stupid....Hamas can
harass, but it cannot pose any threat to the existence of Israel....Hamas had respected the
previously negotiated ceasefire except when Israel used it as cover to make assassination
raids. Hamas argued that these raids were hardly a
manifestation of a ceasefire, and so as symbolic protest it would allow the release of
rocket fire (usually hitting no targets). But when the issue of continuing the ceasefire
came up, Hamas wanted a guarantee that these assassination raids would stop. And it asked
for more. With hundreds of thousands of Palestinians facing acute malnutrition, Hamas
insists that the borders be opened so that food can arrive unimpeded. And in return for
the captured Israeli soldier Gilad Schalit, it asks for the release of 1,000 Palestinians
imprisoned in Israel. Hamas has made it clear that it
would accept the terms of the Saudi Arabian peace agreement,
though it would never formally recognise Israel. It would live peacefully in a two-state
arrangement, but it would never acknowledge Israel's 'right to exist'. This position is unnecessarily provocative, and is deeply
self-destructive for Palestinians who believe it is the only symbolic weapon they have
left....[part of the problem is] the fearful consciousness of Israelis who still see the world more through the frame of the Holocaust and
previous persecutions than through the frame of their actual present power in the world.
It breaks my heart to see the terrible suffering in Gaza and in Israel. As a religious Jew
I find it all the worse, because it confirms to me how easy it is to pervert the loving message of Judaism
into a message of hatred and domination. I remain in mourning for the Jewish people, for
Israel and for the world." |
How To Bypass
The Fear-Based Model Of Defense |
"Presumptive Democratic presidential
nominee Barack Obama did not rule out Palestinian sovereignty over parts of Jerusalem when
he called for Israel's capital to remain 'undivided,' his campaign told The Jerusalem
Post Thursday. 'Jerusalem will remain the capital of Israel, and it must remain
undivided,' Obama declared Wednesday, to rousing applause from the 7,000-plus attendees at
the American Israel Public Affairs Committee policy conference. But a campaign adviser
clarified Thursday that Obama believes 'Jerusalem is a final status issue, which means it
has to be negotiated between the two parties' as part of 'an agreement that they both can
live with.' 'Two principles should apply to any outcome,' which the adviser gave as:
'Jerusalem remains Israel's capital and it's not going to be divided by barbed wire and
checkpoints as it was in 1948-1967.' He refused,
however, to rule out other configurations, such as the city also serving as the capital of
a Palestinian state or Palestinian sovereignty over Arab neighborhoods. 'Beyond those principles, all other aspects are for the two parties to
agree at final status negotiations,' the Obama adviser said. Many on the right of the
political spectrum among America's Jews welcomed Obama's remarks at AIPAC, but the
clarification of his position left several cold. 'The Orthodox Union is extremely
disappointed in this revision of Senator Obama's important statement about Jerusalem,'
said Nathan Diament, director of public policy for the Union of Orthodox Jewish
Congregations. He had sent out a release Wednesday applauding Obama's Jerusalem remarks in
front of AIPAC. 'In the current context, everyone understands that saying 'Jerusalem...
must remain undivided' means that the holy city must remain unified under Israeli rule, as
it has been since 1967,' Diament explained."
Obama clarifies united J'lem comment
Jerusalem
Post, 6 June 2008
"Barack Obama has appeared to soften comments he made on
Jerusalem that provoked a wave of anger among Arabs. The presumptive US Democratic
presidential nominee had said during a speech to the American Israel Public Affairs
Council (Aipac), a pro-Israeli US lobby group, Jerusalem 'will remain the capital of
Israel and it must remain undivided'. But
he later told CNN, the US broadcast network, that the Israelis and Palestinians had to
negotiate over the future of the city. 'Well, obviously, it's going to be up to the
parties to negotiate a range of these issues. And Jerusalem will be part of those
negotiations,' Obama said on Thursday. Obama's remarks to Aipac days
earlier appalled Palestinians, who see occupied East Jerusalem as part of a future
Palestinian state. Israel has occupied Palestinian
East Jerusalem since the 1967 war, a move considered
illegal under international law. Jerusalem's status as part of Israel is also
not internationally recognised and remains a central issue in peace negotiations.
Obama told CNN that dividing Jerusalem 'would be very difficult to execute'. 'And I think
that it is smart for us to - to work through a system in which everybody has access to the extraordinary religious sites in Old Jerusalem, but that Israel has a legitimate claim on that city.' The US Congress
passed a law in 1995 describing Jerusalem as the capital of Israel that said it should not
be divided. Successive US presidents have maintained the US embassy in Tel Aviv and have
publicly backed negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians. Arabs have consistently
condemned the US as being biased in favour of Israel. Obama claimed victory in the
Democratic nomination race late on Tuesday after a gruelling six-month primary election. Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian president, rejected the statement
to Aipac, saying: 'We will not accept an independent Palestinian state without having
Jerusalem as the capital.'"
Obama 'softens' Jerusalem stance
Al
Jazeera, 24 July 2008
"Barack Obama is to pursue an ambitious peace plan in the Middle East involving the
recognition of Israel by the
Arab world in exchange for its withdrawal to pre-1967 borders, according to sources close to Americas president-elect. Obama
intends to throw his support behind a 2002 Saudi
peace initiative endorsed by the Arab League and backed by Tzipi Livni, the Israeli foreign minister and leader of the ruling Kadima party. The proposal gives Israel an effective veto on the return of Arab
refugees expelled in 1948 while requiring it to restore
the Golan Heights to Syria and allow the Palestinians to establish a state capital in east
Jerusalem. On a visit to the Middle East last July,
the president-elect said privately it would be 'crazy' for Israel to refuse a deal that
could 'give them peace with the Muslim world', according to a senior Obama adviser. The
Arab peace plan received a
boost last week when President Shimon Peres, a Nobel peace laureate and
leading Israeli dove, commended the initiative at a
Saudi-sponsored United Nations conference in New York.
Peres was loudly applauded for telling King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia, who was
behind the original initiative: 'I wish that your voice will become the prevailing voice
of the whole region, of all people.'" |
"Most Israelis seem prepared to withdraw to the pre-1967 borders
and abandon Gaza (as they did in 2005) and most of the West Bank..."
Gaza is more than a simplistic morality play
London
Times, 29 December 2008
"Who thinks
seriously that if we sit on another hilltop, on another hundred meters, that this is what
will make the difference for the state of Israel's basic security?.... I am not
trying to justify retroactively what I did for 35 years. For a large portion of these
years, I was unwilling to look at reality in all its depth.... Part of our
megalomania and our loss of proportions is
the things that are said here about Iran. We are a country that has lost a sense of proportion
about itself." |
"Outgoing Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said in
remarks published Monday that Israel would have to withdraw from East Jerusalem and the
Golan Heights if it was serious about making peace with the Palestinians and Syria. In an interview with the Yedioth Aharonoth daily, Olmert said that
as a hard-line politician for decades he had not been prepared to look at reality in all
of its depth. 'Ariel Sharon spoke about painful costs and refused to elaborate,' Olmert
told the daily. 'I say, we have no choice but to elaborate. In the end of the day, we will
have to withdraw from the most decisive areas of the territories. In exchange for the same
territories left in our hands, we will have to give compensation in the form of
territories within the State of Israel.' 'I think we are very close to an agreement,'
Olmert added. These comments were the clearest sign to date of Olmert's willingness
to meet key Palestinian demands in peace talks. With regard to the Syria track, Olmert
added that a future peace agreement required a pullout from the Golan Heights, an area
under Israeli control since the 1967 Six-Day War. 'First and foremost, we must make a
decision. I'd like to see if there is one serious person in the State of Israel who
believes it is possible to make peace with the Syrians without eventually giving up the
Golan Heights.' 'It is true that an agreement with Syria comes with danger,' he said.
'Those who want to act with zero danger should move to Switzerland.' According to Western
and Palestinian officials, Olmert has proposed in
peace talks with the Palestinians an Israeli withdrawal from some 93 percent of the West
Bank, plus all of the Gaza Strip, from which Israel pulled out in 2005. ...Olmert has also engaged Syria in indirect negotiations with Turkish
mediation, but has not remarked publicly on the scope of an Israeli pullout from the Golan
Heights. Olmert has said repeatedly that Israel intends to keep major Jewish settlement
blocs in the West Bank in any future peace deal with the Palestinians. A peace agreement,
Olmert has said, would mean Israel would have to compensate the Palestinians for the land
it hopes to retain by 'close to a 1-to-1 ratio.' In exchange for the settlement enclaves,
Olmert has proposed about a 5 percent land swap giving the Palestinians a desert territory
adjacent to the Gaza Strip, as well as land on which to build a transit corridor between
Gaza and the West Bank. He has so far put off negotiations on sharing Jerusalem and ruled
out a so-called 'right of return' for Palestinian refugees, a central Palestinian demand.
On both issues, there is strong opposition in Israel to significant concessions."
Olmert: Israel must quit East Jerusalem and Golan
Haaretz (Israel), 1 October
2008
"Prime
Minister Ehud Olmert on Monday used a Jerusalem memorial ceremony for former prime
minister Yitzhak Rabin to reiterate that Israel must be willing
to cede parts of the capital. 'If we want to keep
Israel Jewish and democratic, we need to give up parts of the homeland we have dreamed
about for generations and [mentioned] in our prayers, even Arab neighborhoods of
Jerusalem, and to return to a 1967 Israel with
certain amendments,' he said, at the state ceremony
on Mount Herzl, where Rabin is buried. 'The decision must be made now. The moment of truth
has arrived. There is no escaping it, but [the opportunity] can be missed. If, God forbid,
we dither, we will lose the support for the idea of two states. There is no need to expand
on the alternative
Rabin will win,' he continued."
Olmert: We must cede parts of Jerusalem
Jerusalem
Post, 11 November 2008
But Others Don't
"Israel's
right-wing Likud party chairman Benjamin
Netanyahu thinks Middle East peace talks should
focus on improving Palestinian daily life and not on
core issues, his spokeswoman said Thursday. The
hawkish former premier, who polls say is likely to return to power after February
elections, has been a staunch critic of the US-backed peace talks with the Palestinians
that were relaunched in November 2007.... Earlier
this week, Likud elected a candidate list dominated by hardliners, raising fears that a
victory in the February elections could derail the peace process relaunched by interim
Prime Minister Ehud Olmert. Foreign Minister Tzipi
Livni, head of the centrist Kadima party and Netanyahu's chief rival, has been leading the
talks with the Palestinians. Polls released earlier this week predicted Likud would win
well over 30 seats in the 120-member assembly, putting Netanyahu on track to become
Israel's next prime minister at the head of a coalition government."
Netanyahu wants to postpone core issues in Mideast talks
Agence
France Presse, 11 December 2008
What About Hamas?
Are They Completely Implacable Or Not?
"US secretary of state Hillary Clinton
has ruled out negotiations with the Palestinian Islamist militant group Hamas unless it drops its
extremist stance, saying her position is 'absolute'. 'On Israel, you cannot negotiate with
Hamas until it renounces violence, recognises Israel and agrees to abide by past
agreements. That is just for me an absolute,' Mrs Clinton told a Senate confirmation
hearing. 'That is the United States government's position. That is the president-elect's
position,' she said after a senator suggested it is 'naive and illogical' to pursue
diplomacy with governments opposed to Israel."
US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton rules out talks with Hamas
Courier
Mail (Australia), 14 January 2009
"Ever since Hamas militants seized
control of Gaza from the Palestinian Authority 18 months ago, a full-scale military
confrontation with Israel had been inevitable. Hamas is committed ideologically to
the destruction of the Jewish state and its
replacement with an Islamic alternative over the full territory of the British Mandate of
Palestine."
Hamas has precipitated this confrontation
London Times, 29 December 2008
"The
claim that Hamas will never
accept the existence of Israel has proved equally misinformed, as Hamas leaders explicitly announce their intention to do just that in
the pages of the Los Angeles Times or to any international leader or journalist
who will meet with them."
Mark LeVine - Professor of Middle East history, University of
California
Who will save Israel from itself?
Aljazeera,
12 January 2009
"When one of the
most powerful militaries in the world unleashes on the most densely populated area in the
world, collateral carnage is inevitable. The weeks into Israel's onslaught against
the Palestinians in Gaza, Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni told Newsweek the Jewish state was
'not going to show restraint'.These were typically bellicose words from a leadership that
has issued apocalyptic warnings about Hamas since it won free and fair elections in 2006. The fact the Islamist organisation has consistently offered to
negotiate a two-state solution on the 1967 borders is something much of the West has
conveniently ignored, including the Australian
Government."
Antony Loewenstein, co-founder of Independent Australian
Jewish Voices
Not all Jews agree with Israel's Gaza action
Courier Mail
(Australia), 13 January 2009
"Who or what is Hamas, the movement
that Ehud Barak, the Israeli Defence Minister, would like to wipe out as though it were a
virus? Why did it win the Palestinian elections and why does it allow rockets to be fired
into Israel? The story of Hamas over the past three years reveals how the Israeli, US and
UK governments' misunderstanding of this Islamist movement has led us to the brutal and
desperate situation that we are in now. The story
begins nearly three years ago when Change and Reform - Hamas's political party -
unexpectedly won the first free and fair elections in the Arab world, on a platform of
ending endemic corruption and improving the almost non-existent public services in Gaza
and the West Bank. Against a divided opposition this ostensibly religious party impressed
the predominantly secular community to win with 42 per cent of the vote. Palestinians did
not vote for Hamas because it was dedicated to the destruction of the state of Israel or
because it had been responsible for waves of suicide bombings that had killed Israeli
citizens. They voted for Hamas because they thought that Fatah, the party of the rejected
Government, had failed them. Despite renouncing violence and recognising the state of
Israel Fatah had not achieved a Palestinian state. It is crucial to know this to
understand the supposed rejectionist position of Hamas. It won't recognise Israel or
renounce the right to resist until it is sure of the world's commitment to a just solution
to the Palestinian issue....The political leadership
of Hamas is probably the most highly qualified in the world. Boasting more than 500 PhDs
in its ranks, the majority are middle-class professionals - doctors, dentists, scientists
and engineers. Most of its leadership have been educated in our universities and harbour
no ideological hatred towards the West. It is a grievance-based movement, dedicated to
addressing the injustice done to its people. It has consistently offered a ten-year
ceasefire to give breathing space to resolve a conflict that has continued for more than
60 years. The Bush-Blair response to the Hamas victory in 2006 is the key to today's
horror. Instead of accepting the democratically elected Government, they funded an attempt
to remove it by force; training and arming groups of Fatah fighters to unseat Hamas
militarily and impose a new, unelected government on the Palestinians. Further, 45 Hamas
MPs are still being held in Israeli jails. Six months ago the Israeli Government agreed to
an Egyptian- brokered ceasefire with Hamas. In return for a ceasefire, Israel agreed to
open the crossing points and allow a free flow of essential supplies in and out of Gaza.
The rocket barrages ended but the crossings never fully opened, and the people of Gaza
began to starve. This crippling embargo was no reward for peace. When Westerners ask what
is in the mind of Hamas leaders when they order or allow rockets to be fired at Israel
they fail to understand the Palestinian position. Two months ago the Israeli Defence Forces broke the ceasefire by entering
Gaza and beginning the cycle of killing again. In the Palestinian narrative each round of
rocket attacks is a response to Israeli attacks. In the Israeli narrative it is the other
way round....It is said that this conflict is
impossible to solve. In fact, it is very simple. The top 1,000 people who run Israel - the
politicians, generals and security staff - and the top Palestinian Islamists have never
met. Genuine peace will require that these two groups sit down together without
preconditions. But the events of the past few days seem to have made this more unlikely
than ever. That is the challenge for the new administration in Washington and for its
European allies."
We must adjust our distorted image of Hamas
London
Times, 31 December 2008
"The
United States said on Monday it saw no change in Hamas's positions after former U.S. President Jimmy Carter said the Islamist group would accept a peace deal with Israel if the
Palestinians voted for one. Speaking in Jerusalem
after he met the group's top official on Friday and Saturday, Carter said Hamas leaders told him they would
'accept a Palestinian state on the 1967 borders if approved by Palestinians.' He was referring to the West Bank and Gaza Strip, which Israel occupied
the 1967 Middle East War, and to a referendum on a peace deal Washington hopes to clinch
this year. But some of Hamas's commitments to Carter, in
talks he held with its leader Khaled Meshaal in Damascus, were short on details and remarks by a Gaza-based Hamas official
suggested the movement was not abandoning its long-held positions. Hamas, which is viewed
as a terrorist organization by the United States, the European Union and Israel and whose
charter calls for the destruction of Israel, has refused to accept that the international
community has laid down for dealing with it. These include recognizing Israel's right to
exist, respecting previous peace deals and renouncing the use of violence. 'I can't see
that anything's fundamentally changed here,' State Department spokesman Tom Casey told
reporters. 'I think you can take it with a grain of salt. We have to look at the public
comments and we also have to look at actions, and actions speak louder than words,' White
House spokeswoman Dana Perino said. Hamas Islamists, who won a 2006 election and formed a
unity government with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, seized control of Gaza from his
secular Fatah faction in fighting last June. The State Department has said U.S. Assistant
Secretary of State David Welch, the top U.S. diplomat for the Middle East, urged Carter
not to meet with Hamas. Carter appeared to deny this in an interview with National Public
Radio on Monday. 'He (Welch) was quite positive. He never asked me, or even suggested,
that I not come,' Carter said. 'Subsequently I saw all kind of statements out of the State
Department that said they begged not to come, they urged me not to come. All of that is
absolutely false. They never once asked me not to come.' Casey insisted that Welch urged
Carter not to meet Hamas officials. 'We encouraged him, and urged him, not to in fact have
such meetings. Why he understood or took that conversation differently I don't know,'
Casey told reporters."
Carter: Hamas to accept peace, under conditions
France
24, 21 April 2008
"French
Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner has broken with a general taboo and for the first
time acknowledged that France has had 'contacts' with
Hamas, a radical Palestinian movement, which seized
control of the Gaza Strip mid last year. 'It would be difficult to deny this fact,' the
foreign minister, who appeared to be responding to an article published by the daily Le
Figaro, said Monday during an interview with France's
Europe 1 radio... According
to Le Figaro, Yves Aubin de La Messuziere, a senior retired French diplomat who once
served as ambassador to Iraq, had visited Gaza over a month ago to hold discussions with
Ismael Haniyeh and Mahmoud Zahar, two prominent leaders of the movement. While insisting on the fact that his visit was not 'official,' the foreign minister said that the Hamas leadership had indicated
that it was 'ready to accept a Palestinian state within the 1967 borders, which is an
indirect recognition of Israel.' In addition,
said the minister, the Hamas leaders had 'expressed their willingness to stop suicide
attacks' and 'recognize the legitimacy of Mahmoud Abbas as the overall presidentof the
Palestinian Authority.' France suspended its official relations with Hamas in June
2007,after the radical movement wrestled control of the Gaza Strip from the Abbas-led
moderate Palestinian movement Fatah. However, in March this year, Kouchner had suggested a
shift in the position of Paris, saying that 'at some point, we will have to speak' with
Hamas."
France admits to having 'contacts' with radical Palestinian group
Xinhua (China), 20 May
2008
"A four-month ceasefire between Israel
and Palestinian militants in Gaza was in jeopardy today after Israeli troops killed six
Hamas gunmen in a raid into the territory....The attack comes shortly before a key meeting this Sunday in Cairo when Hamas
and its political rival Fatah will hold talks on reconciling their differences and
creating a single, unified government. It will be the first time the two sides have met at
this level since fighting a near civil war more than a year ago."
Gaza truce broken as Israeli raid kills six Hamas gunmen
Guardian, 5
November 2008
The Final Concession?
"A British intellectual told me that
the issue today is not about reaching an agreement with the Hamas movement which does not
recognize the rights of Jews and Christians to exist in Palestine; the issue is that there
are Palestinians being killed daily, and the Israelis are living in fear of rocket
attacks, and the Christians are migrating. Many countries in the world are demanding that
Hamas relinquish its position of not recognizing Israels right to exist. Those who
know Hamas say that it has not done this after witnessing the Fatah
experience. Fatah signed the Oslo Accords which stated that they must recognize
Israels [right to exist], but the result [of the Oslo Accords] was chaos and a
divided state where people are not free to run their lives. A source revealed to me that during meetings with the Hamas leadership,
the source realized that [officially] recognizing Israel
would come at the end of negotiations, not at the beginning.
It gave the following example; if the former British Prime Ministers Tony Blair or John
Major engaged in a dialogue with Sinn Fein and the IRA [and demanded they recognize
British sovereignty] at the beginning of negotiations, they would not have achieved
anything in Northern Ireland. When Blair spoke with the moderates there he did not achieve
anything, but when he spoke with the militants on both the Protestant and Catholic sides,
together they entered a successful peace process.
People argue that the British had lived under the terror of IRA bombs for more than twenty
years and yet never launched devastating air strikes on Northern Ireland."
- Theyre
All With Gaza
Who is With Hamas?
Asharq Alawsat,
17 January 2009
The Problem Extremists
From Armadinejad To Netanyahu
"Before it falls down the memory hole,
we should remember that last week, Hamas offered a ceasefire in return for basic and
achievable compromises. Don't take my word for it. According to the Israeli press, Yuval
Diskin, the current head of the Israeli security service Shin Bet, 'told the Israeli
cabinet [on 23 December] that Hamas is interested in continuing the truce, but wants to
improve its terms.' Diskin explained that Hamas was requesting two things: an end to the
blockade, and an Israeli ceasefire on the West Bank. The
cabinet high with election fever and eager to appear tough rejected these terms. The core of the situation has been starkly laid out by Ephraim Halevy,
the former head of Mossad. He says that while Hamas militants like much of the
Israeli right-wing dream of driving their opponents away, 'they have recognised
this ideological goal is not attainable and will not be in the foreseeable future.'
Instead, 'they are ready and willing to see the
establishment of a Palestinian state in the temporary borders of 1967.' They are aware that this means they 'will have to adopt a path that could
lead them far from their original goals' and towards a long-term peace based on
compromise. The rejectionists on both sides
from Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran
to Bibi Netanyahu of Israel
would then be marginalised. It is the only
path that could yet end in peace but it is the Israeli government that refuses to choose
it. Halevy explains: 'Israel, for reasons of its own, did not want to turn the ceasefire
into the start of a diplomatic process with Hamas.'"
Johann Hari: The true story behind this war is not the one Israel is telling
Independent,
29 December 2008
The Move To Oust Compromiser Olmert Triggers Election Hiatus
"Israel
could be forced into an early election as a result of corruption allegations against Ehud Olmert, the prime minister, sources in
the government conceded. He is alleged to have
failed to account for hundreds of thousands of pounds in private donations he allegedly
received from wealthy businessmen. Sources within the Labour party, the second largest in
the ruling coalition after Mr Olmert's Kadima party, said that he could be forced to stand
down this summer, forcing an autumn poll. Benjamin
Netanyahu, the leader of the opposition Likud party,
who, according to the latest polls, stands to benefit most from an early election, called
for the prime minister to go to the country soon. Mr Olmert, who denies any wrong-doing,
has said he will resign as prime minister and leader
of Kadima if the Israeli police charge him with a criminal offence."
Ehud Olmert corruption allegations could force early Israeli election
Daily
Telegraph, 22 May 2008
"Israels
Attorney General announced today that he was planning to bring criminal charges against
Ehud Olmert, the outgoing Prime Minister, for fraud,
abuse of confidence and falsification of documents. Menachem Mazuz, the Attorney General
who investigated the Prime Minister on several corruption cases, said that Mr Olmert could
be indicted over allegations that he submitted duplicate billing of travel expenses. The
case was one of several scandals that forced Mr Olmert to submit his resignation. No date
has yet been set to formally charge the Prime Minister, said the Justice Ministry. Mr
Olmert will first be offered a hearing to defend himself, after which the Attorney General
will make his final decision on the indictment....Mr Olmert tendered his resignation in
September to fight the graft allegations against him. He remains at the head of a
caretaker administration, but an indictment against him could increase pressure to leave
office before the February 10 election. Though Mr Olmert has maintained his innocence on
all the charges, public opinion has turned against
him as police questioned him on 10 separate occasions in recent months. Mr Olmert is also suspected of steering tens of millions of pounds
worth of state funds towards a company owned by his former law partner, Uri Messer, and
unlawfully accepted cash-stuffed envelopes from a US businessman. Mr Olmert has
consistently maintained his innocence of all of the accusations against him. There are
fears that an indictment against Mr Olmert could also affect his partys showing in
the upcoming elections. Recent polls show the Kadima
Party, now led by Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni, slipping behind Binyamin Netanyahu, head of the right-wing
Likud Party. Polls published earlier this week showed Likud would gain 34 seats in the
120-seat parliament, up from its current 12, followed by Kadima with 28. Kadima currently
has 29 seats. The poll forecast the once-dominant Labour, headed by Defence Minister Ehud
Barak, winning just 10 seats. In internal party
elections, Tzipi Livni was elected head of the party. Ms Livni was unable, however, to
form a coalition, triggering early elections for February 10. The announcement came after
Mr Olmert wrapped up a visit to Washington where he held out hope for a last-minute peace
deal with the Palestinians. The Prime Minister returned from White House talks with
President Bush just hours before the justice ministry announcement."
Olmert 'to be charged' with corruption
London
Times, 26 November 2008
"Hamas accuses Israel of not complying
with the terms of the six-month Egyptian-mediated truce under which Israel was expected to
end its siege and blockade of the Gaza Strip, reopen the commercial border crossing
between Gaza and Israel and halt its military activities against Gazans. Israel holds
Hamas and other Palestinian groups responsible for not respecting their part of the truce.
Israel claims that the firing of Qassam rockets and mortar shells did not stop and accuses
Hamas of exploiting the truce by conducting more training and building better
fortifications along the border between Gaza and Israel. Israel has also said straight out
that the border crossings would not be fully reopened without the release of Israeli
soldier Gilad Shalit, captured by Hamas in 2006. In the knowledge that Israel had sent its
envoy Amos Gilad to Egypt to renew the truce a week before it expired, Hamas felt it could
hold out for better conditions. The Islamist movement seemed convinced that the political
leadership in Israel was not interested in a new war in Gaza. Hamas also felt that Israel
wanted to exploit the political divide between the West Bank and Gaza as long as possible
and therefore was not in a hurry to start a war with Hamas. But, to the contrary, the
Israeli security establishment was busy with the long-term preparation of a major military
operation and was carefully gathering intelligence, engaged in secret discussions,
operational deception and spreading disinformation to mislead the public. Ehud Barak, the Israeli defense minister,
reportedly instructed the Israeli armed forces to prepare for the operation over six
months ago, even as Israel was beginning to negotiate a new truce agreement with Hamas. Hamas fell into the trap. Israel is
in the middle of an election campaign and the governing coalition is looking for excuses to justify a military
attack on Hamas and its infrastructure in Gaza. Some of the right-wing parties in Israel,
mainly the Likud headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, were accusing the government of not doing
enough to stop the firing of missiles from Gaza and even called on Barak to resign from
his position. According to Israeli public opinion polls, the
Labor party headed by Barak will be the main loser in the
coming elections while the Likud stands to become the biggest party in Parliament. In
other words, this was Barak's golden opportunity to launch a military strike against Hamas
and improve his standing with the Israeli electorate.
As a result, Israel launched the largest Israeli offensive on the Gaza Strip since it last
captured the territory in June 1967, leaving almost 400 people dead and hundreds more
wounded at the time of writing."
Israel's goal, and Hamas': a cease-fire on better terms
Daily
Star (Lebanon), 31 December 2008
"This crippling embargo was no reward
for peace. When Westerners ask what is in the mind of Hamas leaders when they order or
allow rockets to be fired at Israel they fail to understand the Palestinian position. Two months ago the Israeli Defence Forces broke the
ceasefire by entering Gaza and beginning the cycle of killing again. In the
Palestinian narrative each round
of rocket attacks is a response to Israeli attacks. In the Israeli narrative it is the other way round....It is said that
this conflict is impossible to solve. In fact, it is very simple. The top 1,000 people who
run Israel - the politicians, generals and security staff - and the top Palestinian
Islamists have never met. Genuine peace will require that these two groups sit down
together without preconditions. But the events of the past few days seem to have made this
more unlikely than ever. That is the challenge for the new administration in Washington
and for its European allies."
We must adjust our distorted image of Hamas
London
Times, 31 December 2008
"IDF troops have completed their
operation in the Gaza Strip, and are currently preparing to leave the Hamas-ruled
Palestinian territory. Two soldiers were moderately wounded and four others sustained
light injuries from a mortar shell, they were evacuated to the Soroka Medical Center in
Beersheba for treatment. For the first time since the
ceasefire
took effect in June, IDF forces operated deep in the Gaza Strip Tuesday night [4 November] in a bid to collapse a tunnel located 250 meters (273 yards) from the
border and which terror groups intended to use for kidnapping Israeli
soldiers. Palestinian sources reported that six gunmen were killed in the clashes that
ensued during the operation, and that several others, including a female bystander were
injured...As for the chances of the operation
effectively ending the ceasefire, the sources said
that while that was taken into consideration, the defense establishment believed the
chances of that happening were slim but that risking a kidnapping attempt 'was not an
option.'"
IDF leaves Gaza after op, 6 gunmen killed
Ynetnews, 5 November
2008
"A four-month ceasefire between Israel and Palestinian militants in
Gaza was in jeopardy today after Israeli troops killed six
Hamas gunmen in a raid into the territory. Hamas
responded by firing a wave of rockets into southern Israel, although no one was injured.
The violence represented the most serious break in a ceasefire agreed in mid-June, yet
both sides suggested they wanted to return to atmosphere of calm. Israeli troops crossed
into the Gaza Strip late last night [4 November] near the
town of Deir al-Balah....The attack comes shortly before a key meeting this Sunday in Cairo when Hamas and its political rival Fatah will hold
talks on reconciling their differences and creating a single, unified government. It will
be the first time the two sides have met at this level since fighting a near civil war
more than a year ago."
Gaza truce broken as Israeli raid kills six Hamas gunmen
Guardian, 5
November 2008
"There
will now be a war over the story of this war. The
Israeli government says, 'We withdrew from Gaza in 2005 and in return we got Hamas and
Qassam rockets being rained on our cities. Sixteen civilians have been murdered. How many
more are we supposed to sacrifice?' It is a plausible narrative, and there are shards of
truth in it, but it is also filled with holes. If we want to understand the reality and
really stop the rockets, we need to rewind a few years and view the run-up to this war
dispassionately. The Israeli government did indeed withdraw from the Gaza Strip in 2005
in order to be able to intensify control of the West Bank. Ariel Sharon's senior
adviser, Dov Weisglass, was unequivocal about this, explaining: 'The disengagement [from
Gaza] is actually formaldehyde. It supplies the amount of formaldehyde that is necessary
so that there will not be a political process with the Palestinians... this whole package
that is called the Palestinian state has been removed from our agenda indefinitely.' Ordinary Palestinians were horrified by this, and by the fetid
corruption of their own Fatah leaders, so they voted for Hamas. It certainly wouldn't have been my choice an Islamist party is
antithetical to all my convictions - but we have to be honest. It was a free and
democratic election, and it was not a rejection of a two-state solution. The most detailed polling of Palestinians, by the University of
Maryland, found that 72 per cent want a two-state solution on the 1967 borders, while
fewer than 20 per cent want to reclaim the whole of historic Palestine. So, partly in response to this pressure, Hamas offered Israel a long,
long ceasefire and a de facto acceptance of two states, if only Israel would return to its
legal borders. Rather than seize this opportunity and test Hamas's sincerity, the Israeli
government reacted by punishing the entire civilian population. It announced that it was
blockading the Gaza Strip in order to 'pressure' its people to reverse the democratic
process. The Israelis surrounded the Strip and refused to let anyone or anything out. They
let in a small trickle of food, fuel and medicine but not enough for survival.
Weisglass quipped that the Gazans were being 'put on a diet'. According to Oxfam, only 137
trucks of food were allowed into Gaza last month to feed 1.5 million people. The United
Nations says poverty has reached an 'unprecedented level.' When I was last in besieged
Gaza, I saw hospitals turning away the sick because their machinery and medicine was
running out. I met hungry children stumbling around the streets, scavenging for food. It
was in this context under a collective
punishment designed to topple a democracy
that some forces within Gaza did something immoral: they fired Qassam rockets
indiscriminately at Israeli cities. These rockets have killed 16 Israeli citizens. This is
abhorrent: targeting civilians is always murder. But it is hypocritical for the Israeli
government to claim now to speak out for the safety of civilians when it has been
terrorising civilians as a matter of state policy. The American and European governments
are responding with a lop-sidedness that ignores these realities. They say that Israel
cannot be expected to negotiate while under rocket fire, but they demand that the
Palestinians do so under siege in Gaza and violent military occupation in the West Bank.
"
Johann Hari: The true story behind this war is not the one Israel is telling
Independent,
29 December 2008
"Contrary
to Israel's argument that it was forced to launch its air and ground offensive against
Gaza in order to stop the firing of rockets into its territory, Hamas proposed in
mid-December to return to the original Hamas-Israel ceasefire arrangement, according to a
U.S.-based source who has been briefed on the proposal. The proposal to renew the ceasefire was presented by a high-level Hamas
delegation to Egyptian Minister of Intelligence Omar Suleiman at a meeting in Cairo Dec.
14. The delegation, said to have included Moussa Abu Marzouk, the second-ranking official
in the Hamas political bureau in Damascus, told Suleiman that Hamas was prepared to stop
all rocket attacks against Israel if the Israelis would open up the Gaza border crossings
and pledge not to launch attacks in Gaza....The readiness of Hamas to return to the
ceasefire conditionally in mid-December was confirmed by Dr. Robert Pastor, a professor at
American University and senior adviser to the Carter Centre, who met with Khaled Meshal,
chairman of the Hamas political bureau in Damascus on Dec. 14, along with former President
Jimmy Carter. Pastor told IPS that Meshal indicated Hamas was willing to go back to the
ceasefire that had been in effect up to early November 'if there was a sign that Israel
would lift the siege on Gaza'. Pastor said he passed Meshal's statement on to a 'senior
official' in the Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) the day after the meeting with Meshal.
According to Pastor, the Israeli official said he would get back to him, but did not.
'There was an alternative to the military approach to stopping the rockets,' said Pastor.
He added that Israel is unlikely to have an effective ceasefire in Gaza unless it agrees
to lift the siege. The Israeli Embassy in Washington declined to comment Thursday on
whether there had been any discussion of a ceasefire proposal from Hamas in mid-December
that would have stopped the rocket firing. Abu Omar, a spokesman for Hamas leader Khaled
Meshal in Syria, told CBS news Wednesday that Hamas could only accept the ceasefire plan
now being proposed by France and Egypt, which guarantees an end to Israel's blockade of
Gaza as soon as hostilities on both sides were halted. Israeli government spokesman Mark
Regev said Israel would only support the proposal if it also included measures to prevent
Hamas from re-arming. "
Israel Rejected Hamas Ceasefire Offer in December
Inter Press Service, 9 January 2009
"Islamic
Jihad - the extremist group behind many of the
rocket attacks on Israeli towns - has got the war it wished for at least. Amid reports of
heavy losses among their allies in Hamas as Israeli troops poured in Gaza, the question is
whether they have bitten off more than they can chew. Abu Bilal, commander of Islamic Jihad's forces in
the Rafah Refugee Camp in southern Gaza admitted that his
group's rocket attacks are mostly ineffectual against Israel, except psychologically, and that the group, which operates independently of the dominant Hamas
movement, was literally praying for an invasion. 'We can't do anything (to hurt the
Israelis) but fire the rockets and hope they enter Gaza,' he said. 'We are praying for the
tanks to come so we can show them new things. We have made many preparations for the
coming battle and all of our fighters wait for the chance to kill them.' Now his men will
get that chance and their bravado will be tested by an Israeli military that not only
wants to redeem its image after the bruising battle for south Lebanon in 2006, but has
also been training almost exclusively for this mission for two years. When pressed for an
explanation about the surprises his group claims to have prepared, Abu Bilal refused to
elaborate. But in the past two years, numerous
Islamic Jihad and Hamas members have slipped out of Gaza through tunnels to Egypt to train
alongside Hezbollah members in Iran and Lebanon, according to numerous
sources close to both groups....for the past week, Israeli officials have implied the
long-term goal is to damage Hamas' military capability so completely that it is forced to
accept a ceasefire on Israeli terms. Thus they are under no political pressure to do
anything more than kill more fighters and end the rocket firing capabilities of the
militants, not end Hamas as an entity as they tried to do to Hezbollah in Lebanon in 2006.
In the past few days, it had become clear that while the air campaign had badly damaged
the Hamas military units in the early days, the air force has run out of targets. In the
words of one Gaza resident, who has no love for Hamas, the recent strikes have been
'rearranging already crumbled bricks' to little effect.As a result, Israeli commanders
began to debate the need to send troops inside to further damage not only Hamas, but also
its allies in Islamic Jihad and other groups."
Analysis: Who will come out on top?
Guardian,
3 January 2009
"Sources
in the defense establishment said Defense Minister Ehud Barak instructed the Israel
Defense Forces to prepare for the operation over six months ago, even as Israel was
beginning to negotiate a ceasefire agreement with Hamas.... The plan of action that was implemented in Operation Cast Lead
remained only a blueprint until a month ago, when tensions soared after the IDF carried
out an incursion into Gaza during the ceasefire to take out a tunnel which the army said
was intended to facilitate an attack by Palestinian militants on IDF troops. On November
19, following dozens of Qassam rockets and mortar rounds which exploded on Israeli soil,
the plan was brought for Barak's final approval. Last Thursday, on December 18, Prime
Minister Ehud Olmert and the defense minister met at IDF headquarters in central Tel Aviv
to approve the operation."
Disinformation, secrecy and lies: How the Gaza offensive came about
Haaretz, 31 December 2008
"The
claim that Hamas will never
accept the existence of Israel has proved equally misinformed, as Hamas leaders explicitly announce their intention to do just that in
the pages of the Los Angeles Times or to any international leader or journalist
who will meet with them."
Mark LeVine - Professor of Middle East history, University of
California
Who will save Israel from itself?
Aljazeera,
12 January 2009
"The Western media has been bombarded
with Israeli disinformation. Take the Jewish state's
bombing of a UN school in Gaza last week that killed
40 people: An Israeli PR spokesman told The Australian newspaper that there was an initial
'sense of horror, but as information filtered in that Hamas fighters had been in there,
that changed'. This was a blatant lie. Israel's excessive force caused the massacre. When
one of the most powerful militaries in the world unleashes on the most densely populated
area in the world, collateral carnage is inevitable. Imagine the global outcry if a
Palestinian had threatened the Jews with another Holocaust. Israel's Deputy Defence
Minister Matan Vilnai said last year that: 'The more Qassam fire intensifies and the
rockets reach a longer range, they (Palestinians) will bring upon themselves a bigger holocaust because we will
use all our might to defend ourselves.' Vilnai's comment was just the latest example of
the Jewish state's attempt to convince the world that it is in an existential battle for
its survival against an Iranian-backed proxy. In this twisted logic, overwhelming
firepower is therefore justified, no matter the cost....A new generation of Jews is
increasingly sceptical of the Jewish state's belligerence, threatening
the country's future diaspora support."
Antony Loewenstein, co-founder of Independent Australian Jewish Voices
Not all Jews agree with Israel's Gaza action
Courier Mail
(Australia), 13 January 2009
"Israel's election authorities have voted to ban two of the three
main Arab political parties from running in next month's general elections. The Central Election Committee (CEC)voted overwhelmingly to ban the
United Arab List-Ta'al (UAL-Ta'al) and Balad, accusing them of supporting terrorism. An MP
for UAL-Ta'al said the move was racist and he would appeal against it. Arabs make up about
a fifth of Israel's population and hold 12 of 120 seats in the Knesset, or parliament.
Israeli Arabs have full citizenship but often complain they suffer from
discrimination....The 30-member panel voted 26-3 with one abstention to disqualify Balad,
and voted 21-3 with eight abstentions to disqualify UAL-Ta'al. The committee is composed of representatives from Israel's major
political parties. The measure was proposed by the National Union and Israel Beiteinu, two
ultra-nationalist parties. The motion claimed the
two Arab parties supported terrorism and 'did not recognise Israel's existence as a Jewish
and democratic state', Knesset spokesman Giora Pordis told the AFP news agency. The
Israeli high court has until Friday to rule on the decision - the deadline for submitting
Knesset lists. The Arab members of the committee walked out of the session before the vote
was held, after a stormy debate about the Israeli military's operations in Gaza. 'This
racist government want us out of the Knesset during the war on Gaza,' Mr Tibi told the
BBC's Fouad Abu-ghosh. 'They are accusing us of supporting the terror while they are
killing children in Gaza,' he added."
Israel disqualifies Arab parties
BBC Online, 12 January 2009
"Two
Arab political parties that were disqualified on Monday from running in February's
elections plan to file an appeal with the High Court
of Justice on Sunday, representatives of the parties said Tuesday. Balad and United Arab
List-Ta'al were disqualified by the Knesset central elections committee after petitions
filed last week claimed that their political platform aimed to undermine Israel's
existence as a Jewish, democratic state and that the party was supporting armed struggle
against Israel. 'We say there is no legal basis for [Monday's] decision to disqualify
UAL-Ta'al, and I hope that the High Court of Justice will cancel the decision for
UAL-Ta'al and Balad,' said UAL-Ta'al chairman Ahmed Tibi. 'We are opposed to war, we are
opposed to violence, but we are also opposed to the occupation and we want the occupation
to end so that a Palestinian state will be established next to the State of Israel,' he
said."
Balad, UAL to appeal ban in High Court
Jerusalem
Post, 13 January 2009
"Every few years, we see the
establishment of a commission here in Israel
to look into the grave state of the Arab community. The learned conclusions of such
commissions point to 'gaps,' 'discrimination' and 'alienation.' The recommendations refer
to a policy that would defuse this ticking bomb. Heres a suggestion on where we can
start: Allow Arab Israelis to cast their votes and to
be elected to the Knesset. This is the elementary right reserved to citizens in a
democratic state, unless we decide to adopt within
the Green Line too the sort of apartheid regime that Avigdor Lieberman and the delusional
figures of the National Union party wish to perpetuate in the West Bank. Israels
Basic Laws grant us the possibility of preventing parties from running for elections in
cases where they constitute a danger to the State and its democratic character. In rare
cases it was done in the past, on both ends of the political spectrum. Yet we are talking
about an unusual step, which requires solid evidence in order to be utilized. Such
evidence does not exist in Balads
case, and certainly not in the case of United
Arab List-Taal. Therefore, the High Court of Justice is expected to soon discard
the shameful decision
made by the Elections Committee."
Shameful, irresponsible decision
Ynetnews, 14 January
2009
"Today on page 17 of the NY Times, a
group of prominent liberal rabbis and other religious and cultural leaders called for a
cease-fire in Gaza. They were backed by over 2,800 American citizens. Because they could
not get their opinion presented in the major media they had to buy this full page ad.
Haaretz considered it news. So far no U.S. media have
considered it news. Why not?....This is a story
about Gaza but also about the way that liberal Jewish voices (shared by many other
interfaith and secular people) are being shut out of the US media. No American rabbi has a
longer or more substantial track record as a liberal on Israel/Palestine than Rabbi
Michael Lerner, who convened the group and raised the money for the ad from 1200 people,
mostly in small donations (he started Tikkun magazine 23 years ago as a counter to
Commentary and the Jewish right), but he could not get his views into any oped pages of
major newspapers despite valiant efforts since the Gaza invasion."
Why Isn't This News? U.S. Rabbis Call for Gaza Cease-Fire
Huffington
Post, 14 January 2009
"A veteran British Jewish lawmaker
compared the Israeli offensive in Gaza Thursday to the Nazis who forced his family to flee
from Poland. Gerald Kaufman, a member of the Jewish Labour movement linked to Prime Minister Gordon
Browns ruling party, also called for an arms embargo against Israel. 'My grandmother
was ill in bed when the Nazis came to her home town . . . a German soldier shot her dead
in her bed,' Kaufman said during a parliamentary debate on the 20-day-old war which has
left over 1,000 dead. 'My grandmother did not die to provide cover for Israeli soldiers
murdering Palestinian grandmothers in Gaza. 'The present Israeli government ruthlessly and
cynically exploit the continuing guilt from gentiles over the slaughter of Jews in the
Holocaust as justification for their murder of Palestinians.' Israels claim that
many of the Palestinian victims were militants 'was the reply of the Nazi,' he said,
adding: 'I suppose the Jews fighting for their lives in the Warsaw ghetto could have been
dismissed as militants.' Kaufman, a well-known critic of Israel, said Hamas was a
"deeply nasty" organization, but said it was democratically elected. He urged
Britain to impose an arms embargo on the Jewish state. 'It is time for our government to
make clear to the Israeli government that its conduct and policies are unacceptable and to
impose a total arms ban on Israel,' he said. 'It is time for peace - but real peace, not
the solution by conquest which is Israels real goal but which is impossible for them
to achieve. They are not simply war criminals, they are fools,' he added."
Jewish British lawmaker likens Israel to Nazis
Agence
France Presse, 15 January 2009
"Different groups
representing Iran's Jewish community on Tuesday gathered in front of the United Nations office in
Teheran in order to protest 'Israeli war crimes and the slaughter of the innocent people
in Gaza Strip,' the Iranian IRNA news agency reported. The
protesters, led by the Jewish representative in Parliament, Siamak Mara-Sedq, carried
placards with anti-Israel slogans in both Farsi and Hebrew, the report said. 'We are
here to express our support and sympathy with the Palestinian nation,' Rahmatollah Rafi,
the chairman of Iran's Jewish community was quoted as saying
at the rally. Hinting mainly at Egypt and Saudi Arabia, the report said that Rafi
went on to criticize 'certain Arab governments for their inaction and silence towards
Israeli inhuman acts and war crimes in Gaza and the entire Palestinian territories.'"
'Iranian Jews protest Gaza slaughter'
Jerusalem
Post, 31 December 2008
Desperately Trying To Stop Netanyahu?
Either Olmert Or The State Department Is Lying
"The U.S. State Department fiercely
denied claims made by Ehud Olmert about his influence over President George W. Bush, in an
incident that has stirred up old debates about the role of the Israeli government and the
so-called 'Israel lobby' in formulating Middle East policy in Washington. On Monday,
Olmert claimed that he demanded and received an immediate conversation with President
Bush, during which he convinced the president to overrule the wishes of Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice and abstain from a United Nations resolution calling for an immediate
ceasefire in Gaza. In response, State Department spokesman Sean McCormack on Tuesday
called Olmert's claims 'wholly inaccurate as to describing the situation, just
100-percent, totally, completely not true'. The State Department did not respond to an IPS
request for further elaboration. Olmert's comments
were made in Ashkelon, a southern Israeli city that has been the target of rocket attacks
from the Gaza Strip. According to Olmert, he called
the White House upon hearing of the upcoming U.N. Security Council resolution. 'I said,
'Get me President Bush on the phone'. They said he was in the middle of giving a speech in
Philadelphia. I said I didn't care: 'I need to talk to him now'. He got off the podium and
spoke to me,' Olmert said, according to multiple media reports. As a result of his
conversation with President Bush, Olmert claimed, the president called Rice and forced her
to abstain from voting on the measure, which she herself had helped author. 'He gave an
order to the secretary of state and she did not vote in favour of it -- a resolution she
cooked up, phrased, organised and maneuvered for. She was left pretty shamed and abstained
on a resolution she arranged,' Olmert said. The Security Council resolution passed
by a vote of 14 to 0, with the U.S. the only abstention. The U.S. government was quick to
counter Olmert's remarks. In addition to the State Department's rebuttal, a White House
spokesman also denounced 'inaccuracies' in the story. Regardless of the truth of Olmert's
claims, the story comes as an embarrassment to the Bush administration, which has faced
criticism for its alleged unquestioning support for Israeli positions."
Olmert's Claims Revive Spectre of 'Israel Lobby'
Inter Press Service, 13 January
2009
"U.S. officials are denying Ehud
Olmert's claim that he persuaded President Bush to abstain from a U.N. Security Council
call for a cease-fire, leaving Condoleezza Rice 'shamed.' 'She was left shamed,' the Israeli prime minister told an audience in Ashkelon on Monday, referring to the U.S. secretary of state. 'A resolution that she
prepared and arranged, and in the end she did not vote in favor.'...Olmert said he learned
on the day of the vote that the United States would line up behind the resolution. 'I said
'get me President Bush on the phone,' ' Olmert said. 'They said he was in the middle of
giving a speech in Philadelphia. I said I didn't care, I need to talk to him now. He got
off the podium and spoke to me. I told him the United States could not vote in favor. It
cannot vote in favor of such a resolution. He immediately called the secretary of state
and told her not to vote in favor.' There is an inconsistency in the Olmert story.
According to the Los Angeles Times, Bush returned to the White House from Philadelphia
hours before the U.N. vote, according to the president's schedule. A report last week in
the conservative Weekly Standard said Rice favored the resolution but was overruled by
Bush. Several Jewish organizations criticized the U.S. failure to veto the
resolution."
U.S. denies Olmerts claim of shaming Rice
Jewish
Telegraph Agency, 13 January 2009
'Fight Smart' Update - 26 June 2005 Bush, Cheney And Rumsfeld Foul Up Big Time In Persian Gulf US Covert And Overt Operations Precipitate Victory For Mullahs In Iran www.btinternet.com/~nlpwessex/Documents/WATIran2005.htm Scott Ritter Provides 'Heads Up' Analysis Of US Covert War In Iran As Bungling White House Plays Into Hands Of Rivals In Tehran And Beijing |
The Bush-Cheney Legacy
"Over 20,000 Iranian university students have pledged to fully support the Palestinian people, who are currently facing merciless Israeli attacks. The students have registered their names on a website to announce they are ready to be sent to the Gaza Strip and are prepared to be martyred there, the Fars news agency reported. The huge number of university students registered their names on the website on its first day online and the figure is expected to rise. The students plan to hold gatherings in Tehran and other Iranian cities next week. Meanwhile, Iranian university students stormed a British embassy compound in Tehran on Tuesday to protest against the British support for the Israeli attacks on Gaza. ""Saeed Jalily, Secretary of the Iranian Supreme National Security Council, met here [in Damascus] Saturday with exiled Hamas Politburo chief Khaled
Meshaal and Secretary General of the Islamic Jihad Ramadan Abdullah Shallah over the
situation in the Gaza Strip. They discussed 'the serious situations in Gaza Strip due to
the continuing Israeli aggression on the Palestinian people, and the Arab and Islamic
movements needed to stop this aggression and lift the siege,' said Syria's official SANA
news agency. According to SANA, Jalily told reporters after the meeting that his visit to
Syria is for discussing the serious situations in Gaza and ways to reach an effective Arab
and Islamic stance to support the Palestinian people."
Iran's security chief meets Hamas, Jihad leaders in Damascus over Gaza
Xinhua, 4
January 2009
"Iran's open support for Hamas, coupled with US and
Israeli accusations that Tehran
has supplied it with weapons, could harden Israeli public opinion in favour of military
strikes against Iran whose nuclear programme is seen as an 'existential' threat to the
Jewish state. The Gaza assault has provided a
reminder that behind the Middle East conflict lies Barack Obama's
biggest international challenge in 2009: curbing Iranian nuclear ambitions which, if left unchecked, could change the global strategic balance
within months. With Israeli elections looming, and leading contenders for prime minister
refusing to rule out force to stop Iran gaining a bomb, international attention will soon
return to Tehran's defiance of the UN by continuing to enrich
uranium."
Turmoil could spark air strike against Iran
Independent
(Ireland), 3 January 2009
Obama Needs To Avoid Messing Up The June Iranian Elections Bush-Cheney-Style
"Iran may not be a proper democracy but no one can predict whether Ahmadinejad
will get a second term in June or be ousted by a moderate opponent. If he goes, much of his rhetoric on
liquidating Israel will go with him. A peaceful resolution of Iran's nuclear aspirations
would also be more likely, especially as Obama has promised a serious dialogue with Iran
to try to meet its security concerns. If the United States, under Bush, has been able to
do a deal with Gadaffi's Libya then a new relationship with Iran, brokered by Obama, is
not inconceivable."
Sir Malcolm Rifkind, British Foreign Secretary, 1995-7 - Hamas rockets block the birth of
a Palestinian state
Daily
Telegraph, 3 January 2009
"President Shimon Peres warned US
President-elect Barack Obama against opening direct negotiations with the current Iranian
government when he takes his seat at the White House. Speaking with Japanese news agency Kyodo
on Friday, Peres rejected the notion that Israel would go to war with the Islamic
Republic. Peres said he hoped the Obama administration would hold off on talks with senior
Teheran officials at least until after 'the [Iranian]
elections, because it may affect the results of the elections.'"
'No talks with Iran before elections'
Jerusalem
Post, 28 December 2008
"One of the tallest telecommunications
towers in the world looms above this sprawling city, a symbol of Iran's desire for global
respect. City officials leave no question about who should get credit for completing it: A
pie chart in an official brochure shows that Tehran's mayor, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf,
made far more progress on the Milad Tower than his predecessor, Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad. It's a sign that the battle for Iran's
presidency has already begun, with Ghalibaf - who has advocated better ties with the West
- hoping to be Ahmadinejad's main rival in the June 12 elections. During his 3 1/2-year tenure, Ahmadinejad's bombastic style has made him
the face of Iranian intransigence in the West - refusing to suspend Iran's nuclear program
and calling for Israel's demise. His defeat, even by a onetime hard-liner like Ghalibaf,
would be welcomed by many in the West. 'Whoever wins
the Iranian presidency is hugely consequential,' said Suzanne Maloney, senior fellow at
the Brookings Institution, a Washington-based think tank. 'This is a chance to either perpetuate very negative trends or
potentially for Iranians to crack open their own politics and create some new environment
for change.' Iran has more political freedom than many countries in the region. Although
Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, wields great influence and appoints a
12-member council that must approve all candidates, Iranian presidents are elected by
popular vote to a four-year term, during which they set the tone for policies at home and
abroad. For many Iranians, the question is not whether to change, but how quickly.
Although Ahmadinejad is still popular with the rural poor, his reputation has soured among
some conservatives because of the country's ailing economy. He has long been despised by
Iranian liberals for rolling back social freedoms and cultivating a confrontational image
in the West. This has prompted an unusual effort to
unite both conservatives and liberals behind a compromise candidate to try to unseat him. 'For the first time, the far-leftists and the far-rightists are gathering
together in party offices,' said a politician with direct knowledge of the meetings who
asked not to be identified. 'They figure, if they want to make a change, they have to
communicate.'"
Iran election raises hope for change
Boston
Globe, 22 December 2008
Why Interfering In Iran's Internal Affairs Is A Mistake
"Fifty years ago this week, the CIA and the British SIS orchestrated a coup d'etat that toppled the democratically elected government of Mohammad Mossadegh. The prime minister and his nationalist supporters in parliament roused Britain's ire when they nationalised the oil industry in 1951, which had previously been exclusively controlled by the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company [later renamed as BP]. Mossadegh argued that Iran should begin profiting from its vast oil reserves. The British government tried to enlist the Americans in planning a coup... The crushing of Iran's first democratic government ushered in more than two decades of dictatorship under the Shah... The author of All the Shah's Men, New York Times reporter Stephen Kinzer, argues that the coup planted the seeds of resentment against the US in the Middle East, ultimately leading to the events of September 11.... The coup and the culture of covert interference it created forever changed how the world viewed the US, especially in poor, oppressive countries. For many Iranians, the coup was a tragedy from which their country has never recovered."The spectre of Operation Ajax Guardian, 20 August 2003 |
Time To Bury The Hatchet With Iran
"Who thinks seriously that if we sit
on another hilltop, on another hundred meters, that this is what will make the difference
for the state of Israel's basic security?.... I am not trying to justify
retroactively what I did for 35 years. For a large portion of these years, I was unwilling
to look at reality in all its depth.... Part of our megalomania and our loss of
proportions is the things that are said here
about Iran. We are a country that has lost a
sense of proportion about itself."
Edud Olmert - Outgoing Prime Minister Of Israel
International Herald
Tribune, 29 September 2008
"Barack
Obama's campaign promise to consider talks to end 30 years of hostility [with Iran] is astute...
Mr Obama should simultaneously entertain overtures to Syria with the aim of breaking the
Iranian axis. There will be no swift breakthrough. But just as Richard Nixon's secret
diplomacy paved the way for his coup in China, so Mr
Obama now has a chance to end one of the region's longest and most destructive quarrels."
Thirty years on
London
Times, 3 January 2009
Iran Should Consider That It May
Soon Not Have The Means To Run The Nuclear Power Plant It Is Building
So Why Not Abandon It?
"An impending
shortfall in the supply of uranium will become apparent in the next two years, within
which time production of the mineral from African resources will rise to significant
levels, predicts resource consultant and contractor MSA Geoservices associate Richard
Wadley. 'The forecasted uranium consumption
up to 2015 exceeds the forecasted uranium production up to the same period. In the short
term, by 2015 or 2020, there will not be enough uranium production from primary sources to
meet the committed expansion in nuclear generating capacity,' he explains....in Australia, which contains about a quarter of the
worlds known resources, prohibitive environmental and political legislation towards
uranium-mining inhibits the mining of the resource. An example is that existing mines,
like resources giant BHP Billitons Oympic Dam mine, are allowed to expand, but not
permitted to open new mines. Africa, however, with its large resources of uranium is more
likely to be allowed to develop these resources, and is already becoming an increasingly
signifi- cant uranium producer. Currently, South Africa, Namibia and Niger are the only
three uranium producing countries in Africa. By the end of this year, new uranium producer
Paladin Energys Kayelekera mine, in Malawi, will be coming on line, making Malawi
the next uranium producer to come on line in Africa.... Currently, there are about 440
operating nuclear plants around the world, with another 130 plants under construction.
These are expected to be completed and to come on line over the next five years. World
uranium production has to supply these operating plants, as well as the new ones that will
be coming on line. Current global
consumption of uranium from the 440 operating plants is about 170-million pounds of
triuranium octoxide (U3O8) a year, with production at about 110-million pounds of U3O8 a
year. The deficit of 60-million pounds of U3O8 is being made up from the reprocessing of
US and Soviet nuclear warheads. U3O8 is the
most stable form of uranium oxide and is the form most commonly found in nature. Wadley says that consumption will definitely increase to
over the 200-million pounds of U3O8 a year required, by as soon as 2015. The nuclear warheads are being reprocessed under a 20-year
agreement between the countries, which will come to an end in 2013. Currently, about 60%,
or about 400-million pounds of uranium, has been reprocessed. 'Although both countries
still possess nuclear warheads, there is no indication of a new agreement to continue this
repro-cessing. Each of these countries wants to keep a small nuclear arsenal. Each country
will, however, continue to reprocess from its own stockpile, but not under any agreement,
and not in the same amounts currently being reprocessed. The current shortfall in primary production that is being met by the
reprocessing of the warheads will, therefore, most likely not happen after 2013,' says Wadley. In
2015, when demand will most likely increase to 200-million pounds a year of U3O8, primary
production would have increased to only 160-million pounds a year of U3O8. This increase in production will come from a number of the
worlds uranium mines increasing their production. Increased production will come
from projects such as uranium producers Cameco, Areva, Idemitsu Canada Resources and the
Tepco Resources joint venture at Cigar Lake
mine, in Canada. The mine had flooded and has been restored, with com- missioning to start
in 2009. This project should bring about 10-million pounds a year of U3O8 into production. In Australia, resource giant BHP Billitons Olympic Dam
mine is looking at a huge expansion of its current operations. In Niger, Areva will be
opening a new mine within the next two years. These
and other projects will bring in a likely 50-million pounds of U3O8 a year of new
production, that will take primary production to 160-million pounds a year, which is still
short of the projected required consumption for 2015. An additional challenge for uranium
production is that several current operations in places such as Canada, Niger and
Kazakhstan, as well as diversi- fied miner Rio Tintos Rössing mine, in Namibia,
will be reaching end-of-mine-life between now and 2015. New greenfield uranium mines take
at least eight to ten years to come into production. 'New explorers have been searching for uranium deposits and collecting funds
from investors, and by the time these speculative explorations are proven, the shortfall
gap would have passed. The most likely candidates to fill in some of the production
shortfall will be the uranium-miners who are currently developing known deposits,' says
Wadley....Wadley says that the spot price of uranium has very little relevance to the real
uranium market. 'About 85% of uranium is not sold on the spot market it is sold
under contract,' he says. The spot price is based on the few transparent public sales of
uranium that are surplus to contractual requirement sales....Wadley says that the uranium
spot price will probably turn and rise again within the next year, because there is a genuine shortage looming, which cannot
be easily resolved. Contract prices will
remain steady at current levels, which will continue to be profitable for producers. In
the long run, however, there will be a shortfall in uranium production, which will lead to
investments in the development of new deposits."
Impending shortfall leads to rising African uranium production
Mining Weekly, 7 November
2008
Nuclear Facilities In The Middle East Are A Hazard To All
"There
were growing fears in Israel last night that Hamas missiles could threaten its top-secret
nuclear facility at Dimona. Rocket attacks from Gaza have forced Israelis to flee in ever greater
numbers and military chiefs have been shaken by the size and sophistication of the
militant groups arsenal....Israeli officials say that Hamas has also acquired dozens
of Iranian-made Fajr-3 missiles with an even longer range. Many fear that as the group
acquires ever more sophisticated weaponry it is only a matter of time before the nuclear
installation at Dimona, 20 miles east of Beersheba, falls within its sights. Dimona houses Israels only nuclear
reactor and is believed to be where nuclear warheads are stored."
Gaza rockets put Israels nuclear plant in battle zone
London
Times, 2 January 2009
BBC Documentary - Israel's Secret Nuclear Weapons Pragramme - Click Here
And So Is Dependence On Middle East Oil
"Israel's finance minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, predicted yesterday that the British-era oil pipeline from Iraq's northern oilfields through Jordan to the Israeli port city of Haifa would be reopened. 'It won't be long when you will see Iraqi oil flowing to Haifa,' Mr Netanyahu told a group of British investors in London. 'It is just a matter of time until the pipeline is reconstituted and Iraqi oil will flow to the Mediterranean.'"Israel And Oil - Click Here
It's Time For Both Israel And Iran To Focus On
More Creative Solutions
To National Security
"As a strong supporter of broadening
and deepening the U.S.-Israel relationship, Barack Obama cosponsored the U.S.-Israel
Energy Cooperation Act. This bill would establish a grant program to support joint
U.S.-Israeli research and development efforts in the areas of alternative
and renewable energy sources a key step
toward energy independence, which is very much in the national security interests of the
U.S. and Israel. Looking for innovative ways to enhance U.S. and Israeli security through
energy independence, Obama has pushed a number of initiatives from E-85 to CAFE
reform to biofuels. The purpose of these initiatives
is to reduce U.S. dependence on oil from the Middle East, limiting the influence of
oil-producing nations and strengthening U.S. and Israeli national security."
BARACK OBAMA AND JOE BIDENS PLAN TO STRENGTHEN THE U.S.-ISRAEL RELATIONSHIP
Obama-Biden Election
Campaign Fact Sheet 2008
Don't Waste Taxpayers Money On Nuclear
"...some
little-noticed rain has fallen on the nuclear parade. It turns out that new plants would
be not just extremely expensive but spectacularly expensive. The first detailed cost
estimate, filed by Florida Power & Light (FPL) for a large plant off the Keys, came in
at a shocking $12 billion to $18 billion. Progress Energy announced a $17 billion plan for
a similar Florida plant, tripling its estimate in just a year. 'Completely mind-boggling,'
says Charlie Beck, who represents ratepayers for Florida's Office of Public Counsel. 'A
real wake-up call,' says Dale Klein, President Bush's chairman of the Nuclear Regulatory
Commission (NRC). 'I'll admit, the costs are daunting,' says Richard Myers, NEI's vice
president for policy development. The math gets ugly in a hurry. McCain called for 45 new
plants by 2030; given the nuclear industry's history of 250% cost overruns, that could
rise to well over $1 trillion. Ratepayers would take
the main hit, but taxpayers could be on the hook for billions in loan guarantees, tax
breaks, insurance benefits and direct subsidies--not to mention the problem of storing
radioactive waste, if Congress can ever figure out where to put it. And those 45 new
plants would barely replace the existing plants scheduled for decommissioning before 2030.
This sticker shock has unnerved Wall Street. A Warren
Buffett--owned company has scrapped plans for an Idaho nuclear plant; banks and
bond-rating agencies are skeptical as well. In fact, renewables attracted $71 billion
globally in private capital during 2007 while nukes got zero. The reactors under construction around the world are all
government-financed. 'I have to keep explaining: France and China are not capitalist
countries!' says Congressman Ed Markey, an antinuclear Massachusetts Democrat. 'Nobody
wants to put their own money into this so-called renaissance--just ours.'...Industry
officials argue that if you disregard capital costs, nuclear plants are the cheapest
source of power. But you can't disregard capital costs--they're out of control. The
world's only steelworks capable of forging containment vessels is in Japan, and it has a
three-year waiting list. The specialized workforce required for manufacturing reactors has
atrophied in the U.S., along with the industrial base. Steel, cement and other commodity
prices have stabilized, but the credit crunch has jacked up the cost of borrowing. FPL's
application concedes that new reactors present 'unique risks and uncertainties,' with
every six-month delay adding as much as $500 million in interest costs. Meanwhile,
radioactive waste languishes in temporary storage pools and casks at plants around the
country. Energy maven Amory Lovins has calculated
that, overall, new nuclear wattage would cost more than twice as much as coal or gas and
nearly three times as much as wind--and that calculation was made before
nuclear-construction costs exploded. So how should
we produce our juice? The answer may sound a bit unsatisfying: more wind, less coal but
mostly the same electricity sources we're using, until something better comes along. The
key will be reducing demand through energy efficiency and conservation. Most efficiency
improvements have been priced at 1¢ to 3¢ per kilowatt-hour, while new nuclear energy is
on track to cost 15¢ to 20¢ per kilowatt-hour. And no nuclear plant has ever been
completed on budget."
Going Nuclear
TIME, 31 December 2008
"Former Soviet Union President
Mikhail Gorbachev called for a renewed
commitment to eliminate the worlds nuclear weapons Tuesday (Dec. 4), saying the current generation of world leaders
cannot coast on disarmament treaties of the past. 'Theres a law of politics that if
you dont move forward, you begin to move backward,' Gorbachev said. 'We cannot live
on old capital for an indefinite period of time.' Gorbachev said the world missed an
opportunity for greater global cooperation in the Cold Wars wake, describing the
past 18 years as ones of 'stagnation and regression,' where even avoiding a war in the
middle of Europe was beyond the worlds leaders. 'After the Cold War, we lost our
way, the world lost its way,' Gorbachev said. 'We
should be moving toward the goal of ridding the world of nuclear weapons.' Gorbachev spoke to a packed John F. Kennedy Jr. Forum at the
John F. Kennedy School of Government. He delivered the Albert H. Gordon Lecture as the
kickoff to a conference Wednesday, sponsored by the Belfer Center for Science and
International Affairs, that drew 45 arms control experts to Harvard to discuss the future
of nuclear disarmament....The arms race was in full swing when Gorbachev and U.S. President Ronald Reagan met in Geneva
for a series of one-on-one talks. The talks subsequently led to the signing of the INF
treaty and the destruction of thousands of nuclear warheads. But Gorbachev said he and
Reagan viewed that treaty as just a start toward the ultimate goal of ridding the world of
nuclear weapons. Further progress stalled
over the United States insistence on pursuing its 'star wars' missile defense
system, and Gorbachev said the slow, difficult work of eliminating nuclear weapons still
remains. Gorbachev acknowledged that the world has changed significantly since the Cold
Wars end, but said the recent re-militarization particularly that of the
United States is puzzling. 'I really dont know who the U.S. wants to go to
war with, nobody wants to go to war with the U.S.,' Gorbachev said....Gorbachev called on the leaders of the United States and
Russia, together with the leaders of other nations, to begin talks about how to solve some
of these problems. Russia, he said, is
eager to be a partner with the United States, but will never accept the role of 'kid
brother,' merely doing the bidding of the United States. 'I think the United States of
America has the potential to be a world leader, but it should be a leadership based on
cooperation rather than force and imposition,' Gorbachev said. 'The world will not be a
follower to the United States, but just about every country wants to be a partner with the
United States,' Gorbachev said."
Gorbachev calls for new move to eliminate nukes
Harvard
University Gazette, 5 December 2007
Jews, Christians, And Muslims
Three Abrahamic Faiths Living Under A Single Shared Sun
"In the beginning God created the
heaven and the earth. And the earth was without form, and void; and darkness was upon the
face of the deep. And the Spirit of God moved upon the face of the waters. And God said,
Let there be light: and there was light. And God saw the light, that it was good..." "See you not how Allah has created the
seven heavens one above another, and made the moon a light in their midst, and made the sun as a (glorious)
lamp?" |
"Former Soviet President Mikhail
Gorbachev on Wednesday urged the world's biggest industrialised nations to set up a
50-billion-dollar (44-billion-euro) fund to support solar
power, warning that oil or nuclear energy were not viable energy sources for
the future. Gorbachev -- who chairs an
environmental thinktank, Green Cross International -- called on leaders of the Group of
Eight (G8) industrialised nations to invest in renewable energy sources, in a statement
marking the 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl nuclear disaster.....Rising oil prices and
supply concerns, as well as the growing need to combat global warming caused by greenhouse
gas emissions, have raised the profile and economic viability of some renewable energy
sources."
Gorbachev urges G8 to back solar power
Agence France Presse, 26
April 2006
"Abu
Dhabi's Masdar said on Thursday it is building the Middle East's largest solar power plant
for the carbon-neutral Masdar City. Half of the 10
megawatt photovoltaic plant's solar panels will be supplied by First Solar Inc (FSLR.O), the
U.S.-based company said in a statement. Its shares rose 6.5 percent following the
announcement. The $22 billion Masdar City -- the green city in the desert -- will be home
to 50,000 people and 1,500 businesses. No cars will be allowed...The $50 million solar
plant will begin producing power in 2009 and will supply any excess energy to the Abu
Dhabi power grid, Masdar said....Masdar was set up by the Abu Dhabi government to develop
sustainable and clean energy. "
First Solar to help power Masdar, UAE's green city
Reuters,
15 January 2009
"Vast greenhouses that
use sea water for crop cultivation could be combined with solar
power plants to provide food, fresh water and clean
energy in deserts, under an ambitious proposal from a team of architects and engineers.
The Sahara Forest Project, which is already running demonstration plants in Tenerife, Oman and the United Arab Emirates, envisages
huge greenhouses with concentrated solar power (CSP), a technology that uses mirrors to
focus the sun's rays, creating steam to drive turbines to generate electricity....The solar farm planned by the
project runs seawater evaporators, pumping damp, cool air through the greenhouses. This
reduces the warmth inside by about 15C, compared with the temperature outside. At the
other end of the greenhouse from the evaporators, water vapour is condensed. Some of this
fresh water is used to water the crops, some for
cleaning the solar mirrors. 'So we've got conditions in the greenhouse of high humidity
and lower temperature,' said Paton. 'The crops sitting in this slightly steamy, humid
condition can grow fantastically well.'....Paton said the greenhouse produced more than
five times the fresh water needed to water the plants inside, so some of the water could
be released to the outside, creating a microclimate for hardier plants such as jatropha, a
crop that can be turned into biofuel. The cost of the Sahara Forest Project could be
relatively low as both CSP and Seawater Greenhouses are proven technologies. The designers
estimate that building 20 hectares (nearly 50 acres) of greenhouses combined with a 10MW
CSP scheme would cost about 80m (£65m).... Neil Crumpton, an energy specialist at
Friends of the Earth, said the potential of these desert technologies was huge.
'Concentrated solar power mirror arrays covering just 1% of the Earth's deserts could
supply a fifth of all current global energy consumption. And 1 million tonnes of sea water
could be evaporated every day from just 20,000ha of greenhouses.' Governments should
invest in the technologies and 'not be distracted by lobbyists promoting dangerous nuclear power or
nuclear-powered desalination schemes', Crumpton added."
Solar plant yields water and crops from the desert
Guardian,
3 September 2008
"Iran has announced the opening of
its first ever solar power plant in the town of Shiraz in the Southwest of the country. Energy Minister
Parviz Fattah told reporters that the facility was constructed using Iranian materials and
expertise. Speaking to the Iranian News Agency he said, 'The country backs the use of
alternative and renewable energy sources. In future
alternative energy sources will be greatly developed in the country. The growth of investments in this sphere is expected.' According to
Fattah, the Shiraz solar plant employs parabolic mirrors to direct energy
from the suns rays into its solar receivers. At this stage, it appears that the
plant is a pilot project intended to test the viability of future larger-scale projects. Any movement towards the development of domestic renewable energy supply
is likely to be welcomed by many of the countries suspicious of Irans ambitions to
develop nuclear power."
Iran Opens its First Solar Power Plant
CleanTechnica,
29 December 2008
"An
electric transport company is to install thousands of recharging points for electric cars
across Israel ready for
commercial use by 2011 in the first such nationwide network. The firm, Better Place, showed off its first charging spot yesterday at a
car park above a shopping centre in Ramat Hasharon, near Tel Aviv. In a pilot project, it
will install 500 of the charging points by the end of this year in cities, including Tel
Aviv, Haifa and Jerusalem. It expects to have 500,000
charging points by the time the first cars are marketed. Moshe Kaplinsky, head of Better Place Israel, said the firm believed it
presented a fundamental challenge to petrol-driven cars. 'This vision is to stop this
addiction to oil,' he said....It expects a lithium-ion car battery to last for 106 miles.
Given Israel's small size, the company expects relatively little need for changing
batteries. A return trip from Jerusalem to Tel Aviv, for example, covers 75 miles. For
longer journeys, battery changing stations will be set up across the country and would
replace a car battery within minutes. Payment for the service would be through a monthly
account, similar to a mobile phone bill. No prices have been announced, but Kaplinsky said
the cost of buying the car and paying for recharging would be less than the costs incurred
with petrol-driven cars. 'We intend that by 2020
almost all the cars in Israel will be electric vehicles,' he said."
Israel pilots electric car network
Guardian,
9 December 2008
"A team of Americans and Israelis launched an experimental solar technology plant Thursday in Israel's
Negev Desert, a prototype designed to drastically cut
the cost of energy produced from the sun. Israeli
company Luz II, Ltd. and its American parent, Brightsource Energy, Inc., plan to use the
Israeli solar array to test new technology for the three new solar plants they are
building for California utility Pacific Gas and Electric Company. Arnold Goldman, founder
of the Oakland, California-based company, called the array 'the highest performance,
lowest cost thermal solar system in the world.' His previous company built the first
commercial solar plants in the 1980s. The new technology uses fields of computer-guided
flat mirrors called heliostats to track the sun and focus its rays on a boiler at the top
of a 200-foot tower. Water inside the boiler turns to steam, which powers a turbine and
produces electricity. The steam is then captured and cooled naturally so the water, scarce
in the desert, can be reused."
'Israeli technology may offer cheap solar power'
Associated
Press, 12 June 2008
"A researcher at Israel's Bar-Ilan
University has created a solar cell 100 times bigger than previous designs using
nano-based methods. Professor Arie Zaban, head of the university's Nanotechnology
Institute, had already developed a method of using metallic wires mounted on conductive
glass to form the basis of solar cells. This method produces electricity with an
efficiency similar to that of conventional silicon-based cells, but which are much cheaper to produce."
Boffin boosts solar cell size 100-fold
Vnunet,
8 January 2008
"The latest project comes from an
Israeli who wants to use Israel's 'gift of enterprising' to help humanity wean off of oil.
Shai Agassi, former executive at German software enterprise company SAP AG, is leading a
new team of minds into not-so-charted territory. Agassi completed military service in
Israel as a programmer for the IDF, and then earned his bachelors degree in computer
science from The Technion in Haifa. Venturing into the business world, he later sold the
most successful of his software startups for over $400 million to SAP, where he continued
working until March 2007. What he was up to next was first reported in August by Reuters -
holding company Israel Corporation agreed to invest $100 million in Agassi's new electric vehicle venture,
pending due diligence, with several other investors; the first round funding is $200
million, bringing the total value of the venture to $300 million. The company is
stealthily named BetterPLC, a reference to an automated method of manufacturing. The electric car is a major component of the energy paradigm
shift: one where the world relies mainly on renewable sources of energy, thereby reducing the human effect of global warming, shifting the
currency balance away from Muslim terrorists, and declawing the menace of peak oil.
'Our goal is to get to 100,000 cars on the road in 2010,' said Agassi. He believes that
since Israel has an 89% tax on vehicles, and a 100% tax on fuel, if there were zero
emissions and zero fuel, there would be zero taxes on cars. 'You tell an Israeli that
Israel will be the first country to eliminate the use of oil, and they sign up,' Shai said
in a speech given at Stanford University. But he realizes that the electric car won't stop
in Israel, 'If we can do it Israel, and it works, we can create a repeatable model that
maybe then works in London... and then we can hopefully do it 50 times in China."
Riding an Israeli electric car to peace
Israel21C,
30 September 2007
"Israeli company Solel, which develops
and implements solar thermal technology, has signed a contract with Pacific Gas and
Electric Company to build the world's largest solar
plant in California's Mojave Desert. The project
will deliver 553 megawatts of solar power, the
equivalent of powering 400,000 homes, to
PG&Es customers in northern and central California. When fully operational in
2011, the Mojave Solar Park plant will cover up to 6,000 acres in the Mojave Desert. Solel
is working closely with URS Corporation in the development of the Mojave Solar Park, which
when commercial will rely on 1.2 million mirrors and 317 miles of vacuum tubing to capture
the desert suns heat."
Israeli company to build largest solar park in world in US
Ynetnews, 26 July 2008
Obama Knows What The Problem Is But How Far Will America Let Him Act? |
"In the 21st
century, we know that the future of our economy and national security is inextricably
linked with one challenge: energy. In the next few years, the choices that we make will
help determine the kind of country and world that we will leave to our children and our
grandchildren. All of us know the problems
that are rooted in our addiction to foreign oil. It constrains our economy, shifts wealth to hostile regimes, and leaves us
dependent on unstable regions.... For over three decades, we've listened to a growing
chorus of warnings about our energy dependence. We've heard president after president
promise to chart a new course. We've heard Congress talk about energy independence, only
to pull up short in the face of opposition from special interests. We've seen Washington
launch policy after policy, yet our dependence on foreign oil has only grown, even as the world's resources are disappearing. This time has to be different. This time we cannot fail, nor
can we be lulled into complacency simply because the price at the pump has for now gone
down from $4 a gallon. To control our own destiny, America must develop new forms of
energy and new ways of using it. And this is not a challenge for government alone; it's a
challenge for all of us. The pursuit of a new energy economy requires a sustained all-
hands-on-deck effort, because the foundation of our energy independence is right here in
America, in the power of wind and solar, in new crops and new technologies, in the
innovation of our scientists and entrepreneurs and the dedication and skill of our
workforce. Those are the resources that we have to harness to move beyond our oil
addiction and create a new hybrid economy. As we face this challenge, we can seize
boundless opportunities for our people. We can create millions of jobs, starting with a
21st- century economic recovery plan that puts Americans to work building wind farms,
solar panels, and fuel-efficient cars. We can spark the dynamism of our economy through a
long-term investment in renewable energy that will give life to new businesses and
industries with good jobs that pay well and can't be outsourced....The team that I have
assembled here today is uniquely suited to meet the great challenges of this defining
moment.....Dr. Steven Chu [nomination for Energy Secretary] is a Nobel Prize-winning
physicist who has been working at the cutting edge of our nation's efforts to develop new
and cleaner forms of energy. He blazed trails as a scientist, teacher, and administrator,
and has recently led the Berkeley National Laboratory in pursuing new alternative and
renewable energies. Steven is uniquely suited to be our next secretary of energy as we
make this pursuit a guiding purpose of the Department of Energy, as well as a national
mission. The scientists at our national labs will have a distinguished peer at the
helm." |
"This coming 2 November marks the 90th
anniversary of the Balfour Declaration, which promised the Jews a 'national home' in Palestine. As a result, the
state of Israel was formed in 1947. This article, written by the Middle East expert Peter
Mansfield half a century after the Balfour
Declaration, provides an insightful analysis of a
fateful document that provoked the most insoluble
problem in contemporary international politics....An
important influence on the minds of the government was the Bible-reading Protestant belief
in the return of the Jews to Zion on which men like Lloyd George (and the agnostic
Churchill another enthusiastic Zionist) had been nourished. Imperialist motives
also played their part, but it was less the specific aims of balancing French influence in
Syria with a pro-British community in Palestine which would also help to protect the Suez
Canal (although this was in the back of their minds) than the general idea that the Jews,
as civilised Europeans, would carry the white mans burden in an area where Britons
were unlikely to do so themselves. Did they understand the implications of their
action?...being a philosopher more than a politician, Balfour could be unusually candid. In August 1919 he wrote a memorandum on Syria,
Palestine and Mesopotamia [now Iraq] in which he said: 'The contradiction between the
letter of the Covenant and the policy of the Allies is even more flagrant in the case of
the independent nation of Palestine than in that of the independent nation of Syria. For
in Palestine we do not propose even to go through the form of consulting the wishes of the
present inhabitants of the country, though the American Commission [the 1919 King-Crane
Commission] has been through the form of asking what they are. The four great powers are
committed to Zionism, and Zionism, be it right or wrong, good or bad, is rooted in
age-long tradition, in present needs, in future hopes of far profounder import than the
desires and prejudices [sic] of 700,000 Arabs who now inhabit that ancient land.... In
fact, so far as Palestine is concerned, the powers have made no statement of fact that is
not admittedly wrong, and no declaration of policy which, at least in the letter, they
have not always intended to violate. A rare and remarkable confession. Apart from
the Allies general pledges to set up national governments in the Middle East which
would derive their authority from the free exercise and choice of the indigenous
population, the British government had committed itself in two other ways. One was
in the correspondence in 1915 between Sir Henry McMahon, the British High Commissioner in
Cairo, and the Sherif Hussain of Mecca, the leader of the Arab revolt against the Turks,
and the other was the so-called Sykes-Picot agreement, an Anglo-French understanding on
the partition of the Middle East into great-power spheres of influence, which was
published by the Russians, to the acute embarrassment of the Allies, after October 1917.
Fountains of ink have flowed in the discussion of how far the British government was to
blame for making these pledges which, though couched in ambiguous and evasive language,
were undeniably incompatible with each other. Evidence which has recently come to light
proves fairly condo. sively that at least the Foreign Office believed that the Sherif
Hussain had been promised that Palestine should be an independent Arab state....What the
Arabs remember is that out of this small beginning - a brief letter from the British
Foreign Secretary to a prominent English Jew a 9-percent minority in Palestine grew
in 30 years to establish its own exclusive and powerful nation-state on land which had
been theirs for 1,500 years."
Did we double-cross the Arabs?
New
Statesman, 27 November 2007
Oil And Religion - The Middle East's Deadly Cocktail
'Britain and the Struggle for the
Holy Land' "This lucid film recounts the complicated history that led to the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians. In the words of the former British Ambassador to Egypt, it is a story of intrigue among rival empires and of misguided strategies. It is often claimed that the crisis originated with Jewish emigration to Palestine and the foundation of the State of Israel. Yet the roots of the conflict are to be found earlier. In 1915, when the Allies were besieged on the Western front, the British wanted to create a second front against Germany, Italy and the Ottoman Empire. Turkish nationalism had spread to the rest of the Ottoman Empire and the British exploited this feeling. They promised Arab groups their own independent states, including Palestine. Secretly, the Allies planned to carve up the Ottoman Empire: France would get 'Greater Syria;' Britain would get Iraq for its oil and ports, and Haifa, to distribute the oil; Palestine would be an international zone; Russia would get Constantinople. The next British government under Lloyd George believed that 'worldwide Jewry' was a powerful force, and that the Jews in the new Bolshevik government could prevent the Russian army from deserting the Allied side. This mistaken strategy, along with other factors including the persuasiveness of Chaim Weitzman, led to the Balfour Declaration in 1917, which endorsed a national home for the Jews in Palestine. At the same time, the Arab leader Shariff Hussein was promised that Palestine would be part of a new Arab state. This contradiction has contributed to the ongoing struggle for control in the Holy Land." |
"In April 1932, a British-dominated international consortium, British Oil Development Company (BODC), obtained a 75-year oil concession for territory lying west of Tigris and north of 33rd parallel. The consortium was intended to be a competitor to IPC in Iraq. Ten years later, before it would start production, BODC was bought out by Mosul Petroleum Company (MPC), a fully owned subsidiary of IPC. Likewise, in December 1938, Basra Petroleum Company (BPC), another subsidiary of IPC, obtained a 75-year concession for the rest of Iraq. Thus all of Iraq, with the exception of the 'transferred territory,' came under IPCs control. Competition was entirely eliminated. IPC was not meant to be a profit-making enterprise. It operated as a production and transport company that delivered oil to its shareholders at export terminals (initially
Haifa in Palestine and Tripoli in Lebanon) in proportion to participation interest. The partners were charged a nominal fee for the oil. Real profits were made by the partners which shipped, refined and sold the oil in foreign markets. (Until 1948 some of the crude was refined in Haifa). Until 1940 or so, IPC maintained a strategy to delay production in Iraq. The strategy was aimed at protecting the interests of the British, American and Dutch partners, who had crude production of their own in areas outside Iraq and wanted to shield such production from competition. CFP and Gulbenkian, who had production interests only in Iraq, opposed the delay strategy; but with their minority shareholding, they had limited success. For good reason, the policy of retarding production irritated the Iraqi government as well. During its operation IPC was frequently at loggerheads with the Iraqi government on a number of issues. The oil revenue structure, the pace of oil development, building refineries, participation in shareholding, and representation at companys board, were the chief areas of dispute. The disputes led to nationalization of Iraqs oil industry in 1972.... As destiny would have it, Iraqs oil development was affected not so much by internal conflicts but by external factors. Iraq significantly benefited from the Iran oil crisis in the early 1950s, but suffered during the Suez crisis. The biggest setbacks were during the Iraq-Iran war and the Gulf War. And now, the American-led Iraq War has brought a new era of destruction and uncertainty. The players in the big Mesopotamian oil game included an assortment of foreign countries and nationalistic oil companies that had a symbiotic and at times incestuous relationship with each other. What lip service was paid to free trade and competition, both in word and on paper, was soon discarded and forgotten when rhetoric clashed with self-interest. In many ways, these were not glorious days for the oil companies. Nor were the governments that knowingly supported the monopolistic designs and sometimes clandestine undertakings of these companies without blame..... Judging the players, the British played big poker and won. For Britain, oil was an instrument of imperial ambitions, and at times blood was the sacrifice that had to be accepted e.g., 2500 British lives lost during the internal uprising in Iraq in 1920. The British camouflaged their true intentions on oil through pretexts, e.g., their righteous claim of being the trustees of Iraqi peoples rights on oil. The Americans were more open in their intentions, although their tacit acceptance of the self-denial clause left them cold and dry on charges of hypocrisy. Lacking the colonial over-drive of the British, and having relinquished Mosul to British control in San Remo in return for the German share in TPC, the French were relegated to play second fiddle in the big Anglo-American grab for oil in the Middle East. The French never trusted the British, and later the Americans, but were reconciled to their dominance on matters of oil. As for the Dutch, they were the easiest winners. Thanks to 40 percent British share in RD Shell, the Dutch virtually got a free ride on the back of the British. At the beginning of WWI, RD Shell acquiesced to British control in order to operate freely on the high seas.....The Turks were the big losers in the oil game. The major reason for that, of course, was defeat during WWI and the headaches that the defeat brought. But Turks, the Ottoman Turks in particular, trailed the West in science and technology, which put them behind in appreciating the strategic value of oil. It is a poignant historical irony that at the time Admiral Slade expedition was surveying the Persian Gulf region for oil on instructions from Winston Churchill in 1913, Grand Vizier (Chief Minister) Mahmut Sevket Pasha, in blissful ignorance, was telling his cabinet in Istanbul that Qatar and Kuwait were 'unimportant desert' sheikdoms that were not worth creating conflict with Britain."'An intriguing look at how the British double-dealing during WWI ignited the conflict between Arab and Jew in the Middle East. A disturbing picture of a duplicitous wartime government' |
Promises & Betrayals "At the beginning of the 20 Century King Edward VII ruled over a vast empire with interests in every part of the world. India became increasingly important because it was the second pillar of British power in the world. Moving the Indian army about was extremely important in extending British interests and British influence across the globe and the Suez canal was of course the quick way to do that. It's very important for the British geopolicital position to ensure the Suez canal remains safe and secure. With this aim in mind Britain had become the only European power to establish a major foothold in the Middle East, in the principalities around the Persian Gulf, in Aden, and in Egypt. Britain had annexed Egypt from Turkey's Ottoman empire in 1882 and by the time it was made a protectorate in 1914 Cairo had become the centre of British power in the Middle East. The presence of imperial troops in the region was of vital strategic importance, for the Ottoman Empire under the Sultan, Mohamed IV, was in alliance with Britain's much feared rival Germany. Together with the Austro Hungarian empire these countries made up the central powers, and pitted against them were the three allies - Britain, France, and Russia ...... ... the fate of the Ottoman empire was to be sealed by the outbreak of the first world war in August 1914... Britian's Prime Minister Asquith felt, that with the [war's] stalemate in Europe it was essential to widen the conflict... Britain's secret plan involved on the one hand a military diversion, and on the other devious use of diplomacy through bribery, subversion and double dealing. All these devices focused on the enemy's weakest link, Turkey's Ottoman Empire ... Britain exploited a new movement sweeping through the [Ottoman] empire, nationalism ... By the start of the first world war the anatagonism between Arab and Turk had increased... By the summer of 1915 Brtish intelligence confirmed that the Arab nationalist movement was the breakthrough the government was looking for... Both the British and the French started seducing various Arab leaders [with the promise of independence if they sided with the allies]. The idea was to tempt the arabs into a revolt against their Ottoman overlords and create a diversioin which would tie down the central powers in the Middle East... The new [Arab] army was commanded by the young and carismatic [Arab leader] Feisal who had captured the imagination of the Arab masses in the quest for Arab independence. Yet even as Hussein and Feisal mobilised their troops, the British were preparing to sell them short. In London, in the spring of 1916, Britain was negotiating with France about the future shape of the Middle East. Behind close doors, Sir Mark Sykes of the British Foreign Office, had been meeting his French opposite number Francois George Picot.... Pouring over a map of the Lavant, Sykes and Picot personally drew in the areas they wished to see under their control. Their secret deal amounted to the virtual carve up of the Middle East.... [France was to have Greater Syria and] ... the area... known as Iraq with its strategic ports, railways, and oil... was to be under British rule. ... Palestine.... was envisaged as an international zone, except for Haiffa. What the British wanted was the oil of Iraq and they concentrated on getting Iraq and getting a way from Iraq to the Meditteranian in order to transport this oil. So they got Haiffa on the Palestinian coast and they got most of Iraq. ... Unaware of these secret dealings behind their backs Hussein and Feisal proclaimed independence and in June 1916 attacked the Turkish troops... The Turkish garrason at Mecca was soon overun and the sea port at Jiddha seized... In a pincer movement Britain had launched a campaign from the south west to ensure control of the Suez canal and the Lavant, and from the South East it was fighting to secure the oil wells of Iraq... By the spring of 1917 [the British] had reached the frontier of Palestine..... Although America had so far been neutral in the war, [the new Prime Minister] Lloyd George was convinced that could be changed. He believed there was one powerful group which might influence the American government. Lloyd George thought that the Amercian decision whether to joint or not would depend critically on public opinion, and that Jewish support could tilt the scales in one direction or the other... A new Jewish nationalist movement, Zionism, had also been able to establish its headquarters in Berlin. Zionism had orgininated in the 1880s, after Theodore Hertzel published a book espousing the virtues of a Jewish state... The end of the 19th century saw the rise of anti-semitism all over Europe in Austria, in German, in France, but particularly in Eastern Europe, in Poland and in Russia .... societies in a numer of Russian cities... started to promote, and to finance, and to sponsor, colonisation, emigration, to Palestine. Hertzel came to the conclusion that the Jews were not safe anywhere in Europe and the only solution was for the Jews to have a state of their own over which they could exercise sovereignty and where they would not be a minority... Scattered throughout the world since the destruction of the Jerusalem temple in the first century AD, many Jews had cherished the idea of returning one day to what their scriptures had told them was 'the promised land'.... the whole Jewish community [in Palestine] by 1914 constituted barely 8% of the population... By early 1917 Lloyd George's view of Jews as globally influential convinced him that Zionism was another nationalist movement which should be co-opted to the allied cause.... In October the British government recieved an intelligence report suggesting that Jews were a significant influence in the leadership of the Bolshivic party, the new revolutionary movement emerging as the dominant force in Russia. Lloyd George feared that these communists would take Russia out of the war. With the Americans still refusing to commit sufficient forces, he knew it was time to act. He instructed his foreign secretary Arthur Balfour to issue a pledge to capture the hearts and minds of the Jewish people: 'His Majesty's government would favour the establishment in Palestine of a national home for the Jewish people, and will use their best endevours to facilitate the achievements of this object.' The Balfour declaration was issued on November 2 1917, just as British forces were occupying Palestine.... Yet Sharif Hussein has understood that Palestine had been promised as part of his deal for Arab independence... In fact, the only treaty Britain had signed in regard to Palestine was with the French, the secret Sykes-Picot agreement. On November 7, within a few days of the Balfour declaration, the Bolshevicks took power in Russia.... [However, the British assessment was incorrect as most Jews in the Bolshevic leadership were internationalists]. There were fifteen to twenty Jews in the higher eschelons of the Bolshevic party. Most of them were anti-Zionist and soon after they came to power they issued a declaration to say that Zionism is a capitalist ploy... The wildly inaccurate intelligence report on which Lloyd George based his strategy was to have major implications for Britain. Within weeks Russia's new leaders did exactly the opposite of what he had expected. Not only did they pull out of the war, they opened up the archives of the Tzarist foreign office and published the secret treaties. The very treaties Britain had engineered with her allies to carve up the Ottoman Empire, and to which Russia had been privy. That of course is a very great embarrasment to the western allies because the allies had been doing all sorts of deals behind the scenes in which they have handed out to each other large sections of the world, meawhile openly preaching that they are fighting the war in defence of democracy and of course also telling, among others, the Arabs that they are supporters of self-determination for the peoples of the Ottoman empire... At that point, of course, the arabs realised that not only had the British got their own particular interests for example in the ports of Palestine or in Iraq, but that they had promised other things to the French.... The future of Palestine in the Middle East formed part of Britain's pledge to France in the Sykes-Picot carve up.... [Moreover, in a confidential post war memorandum regarding Zionism Balfour wrote] 'So far as Palestine is concerned the powers have made no declaration of policy which at least in letter they have not always intended to violate'.... The Versaille peace conference [at the end of the war] was concluded on June 28, 1919, with the creation of the League of Nations.... It's covenant provided that the Arab and other territories ceaded by the defeated Ottoman Empire should be administered by mandate, which meant in effect, that Britain and France, were given the authority to impose their rule over the Arab territories.... [part] became the British mandate for trans-Jordan and Palestine. In the east the Ottoman area of Messoptamia, which included the oil fields of Mossul, was given to Britain as the mandate for Iraq. ... this was basically the importance of the Sykes-Picot agreement, to divide what was called the fertile crescent between Iraq and Syria, and let Britain get access to the oil of the area and be able to exploit it in the future.... the Balfour declaration promising Jews a homeland in Palestine had been incorporated into the British mandate at Versaille. Palestine was thus to be open for new European Jewish immigration..." |
"The U.S. is playing today roughly the
same role with respect to Iraqs oil riches that Britain did early last century.
History has a habit of repeating itself, albeit with different nuances and different
actors. In this two-part series, we shall review the intricacies of oil-related events in
Iraq .... Discovery of oil in 1908 at Masjid-i Suleiman in Iran an event that
changed the fate of the Middle East gave impetus to quest for oil in Mesopotamia.
Oil pursuits in Mesopotamia were concentrated in Mosul, one of three provinces or
'vilayets' constituting Iraq under the Ottoman rule. Mosul was the northern province, the
other two being Baghdad (in the middle) and Basra (in the south) provinces. Foreign
geologists visited the area under the disguise of archeologists. For a good part of the
last century, interests of national governments were closely linked with the interests of
oil companies, so much so that oil companies were de facto extensions of foreign-office
establishments of the governments. The latter actively lobbied on behalf of the oil
companies owned by their respective nationals. The oil companies, in return, would
guarantee oil supply to respective governments preferably at a substantial
discount..... Among the foreign powers the British, seeing Iraq as a gateway to their
Indian colony and oil as lifeblood for their Imperial Navy, were most aggressive in their
pursuits in Mesopotamia, aspiring to gain physical control of the oil region. Winston
Churchill, soon after he became First Lord of the Admiralty in 1911, declared oil to be of
paramount importance for the supremacy of the Imperial Navy. Churchill was educated about
the virtues of oil by none other than Marcus Samuel, the founder of Shell. During the war,
Sir Maurice Hankey, secretary of the War Cabinet, advised Foreign Secretary Arthur Belfour
in writing that control of the Persian and Mesopotamian oil was a 'first-class British war
aim.' Britain captured the towns of Basra, Baghdad and Mosul, capitals of the provinces
bearing the same names, in November 1914, March 1917 and November 1918, respectively.
Mosul was captured 15 days after Britain and Turkey signed the Mudros Armistice ending
hostilities at the end of the war, an event that drew protests from the Turkish delegation
at the Lausanne Peace Conference four years later. In
1913 Churchill sent an expeditionary team to the Persian Gulf headed by Admiral Slade to
investigate oil possibilities in the region. More or
less coincident with Admiral Slade expedition, Britain signed a secret agreement with the
sheikh of Kuwait who, while ostensibly pledging allegiance to the Ottoman Sultan in
Istanbul, promised exclusive oil rights to the British. Kuwait became a British
protectorate in November 1914. The British were so concerned about the security of their
oil supply prior to the war that they wanted to have guaranteed British dominance in any
oil company exploiting Mesopotamian oil. The government favored Anglo-Persian Oil Company
(APOC, predecessor of BP) over Royal Dutch/Shell (RDS) in TPC. APOC, already holding oil
concession in Iran but not one of the original participants in TPC, was 100 percent
British while RDS, an original participant, was 40 percent British....World War I augured
another fundamental change in the oil scene in Mesopotamia: assertiveness on the part of
the American government for an 'open-door policy' on oil concessions. Forcefully advanced
by President Wilson, the policy meant equal access for American capital and interests. The
policy was in response to reluctance of European oil companies to welcome American
companies to the Mesopotamian oil scene....A rising demand for oil, fuel shortages and
price increases during the war, and rumors of depleting domestic resources soon after the
war rallied the American administration to give active support to American oil companies
in search of foreign oil. Mesopotamia would not be a preserve for the European oil
interests, Washington decided. The British initially tried to foil the American efforts by
stonewalling American requests and by refusing access to American geologists who wanted to
survey oil potential in the region. Britains tactics drew strong protest from
Washington. The American government withheld its recognition of the Draft Mandate for Iraq
on the grounds that it sanctioned discrimination against nationals of other countries. The
San Remo agreement, in particular, caused consternation in Washington and catapulted the
State Department and American oil companies into action. Walter Teagle, the head of Jersey
(later Exxon), became the spokesperson for American corporate oil interests.....The
Lausanne Peace Conference held in November 1922-February 1923 (1st session) in Switzerland
marked the height of political brinkmanship and skullduggery in oil politics. The 'Mosul
question,' i.e. whether Mosul belonged to Turkey or whether it would be included within
the borders of a newly created Iraq, was taken up by a special Council dealing with
territorial issues. The Turkish delegation, headed by Foreign Minister Ismet Pasha, came
to the Conference with explicit instructions from Ankara to keep Mosul within Turkey, in
accord with the National Pact ('Misak-i Milli') adopted by the last Ottoman parliament in
January 1920. The British had a totally different agenda..... Lord Curzon argued that the
policy of His Majestys Government on Mosul was not in any way related to oil, that
instead it was guided by the desire to protect interests of Iraqi people consistent with
its mandatory obligations, that he had never spoken to an oil magnate or an oil
concessionaire regarding Mosul oil, but that a company called TPC had obtained a
concession from the Ottoman government [in June 1914] before the war that his government
had concluded was valid, that his government and TPC had no monopolistic designs on Iraqi
oil, and that the Iraqis would be the chief beneficiaries of oil exploitation in Iraq.
He added that Turkey would benefit as well. Considering British
governments past knee-deep involvement in Mesopotamian oil, and TPCs monopolistic
charter (see below) and exclusionary tactics, it was almost surreal that Lord Curzon would
make such statements, including the intimation that he was unaware of oil-related
developments surrounding Mosul. At the time of the Lausanne Conference the British, Dutch,
French and American oil companies were negotiating the future of TPC in London, and Lord
Curzon was kept fully informed on the progress of these negotiations. The American
observer at the Conference was bemused at Lord Curzons high-principled claims. In a
vague, convoluted language, he remarked that the character of TPC concession should be
evaluated by an impartial tribunal and that his government had not given up on the
'open-door' policy. In a subsequent diplomatic note to Britain, the State Department
expressed its discomfort on some of the claims made by Lord Curzon at the Conference.
Lord Curzon also misled and appeased a war-weary British
public by making similar statements in British press. The British public was longing for peace and did not want a new military
conflict for the sake of oil. Similar attempts by
the government at the Parliament were less successful. Some members of the Parliament
expressed deep skepticism on Britains motivations on Mosul, including one MP who
complained about the 'vein of hypocrisy' running through Britains policy on Mosul.
The government repeatedly ignored requests from MPs to produce the so-called oil
concession agreement, or state clearly its terms.... in 1921, when Lord Curzon was already
the Foreign Minister, Whitehall was forced to admit that the TPC concession was on shaky
legal grounds. That did not deter Lord Curzon from making his preposterous claims a year
later at Lausanne. With no solution in sight, and after receiving veiled threats from Lord
Curzon on renewed hostilities in Iraq (which prompted a worried France to urge Turkey not
to turn down the British proposal), Ankara reluctantly agreed in March 1923 to British
proposal to refer the Mosul question to the League Nations for arbitration if direct
negotiations with Britain failed. These talks, indeed, bore no fruit, and Britain took the
Mosul question to the League of Nations. When the Lausanne Conference (2nd session) ended
in July 24, 1923, the communiqué issued officially recognized these developments. The
British, however, failed in their efforts to have inserted into the treaty a clause
indicating Ankaras acceptance of the so-called TPC concession. In January 1923,
Britain, as the mandatory power, pressured Iraq to forego its right to 20 percent
participation in TPC, voiding the provision that was included in the 1920 San Remo
Agreement signed with France....In March 1925, TPC concluded an oil concession agreement
with Iraq. The agreement, to be in effect for 75 years, stipulated that TPC would be and
remain a British company registered in Great Britain....Discovery of the Kirkuk field was
the second major oil-related event in the Middle East history after Masjid-i Suleiman in
Iran. The event marked the fulfillment of a long-hoped dream for the TPC partners and
shaped the destiny of Iraq, in fact the Middle East, until our times. The field, with
reserves of 16 billion barrels, or 2150 million tons, lived up to expectations as to its
immense size. In June 1929 TPC changed its name to Iraq Petroleum Company (IPC)."
Oil in Iraq: The Byzantine Beginnings
Global
Policy Forum April 25, 2003
Oil, Brtiain, And The Middle East
"In
1913, with war clouds gathering in Europe, the British admiralty - under Winston Churchill
- discarded coal in favour of oil
to power its battleships. To safeguard the decision,
the government bought a 51% stake in APOC. The importance of oil - and Iran - in British
imperial expansion was now explicit. It was a priority of which Churchill, for one, would
never lose sight."
A bitter legacy
Guardian, 30 March 2007
"[Gertrude Bell] was one of the world's most powerful women at the beginning of the 20th century, a key shaper of the version of the Middle East over which our soldiers are killing and dying, for us, right now.....In 1914, the British indeed brought war to Mesopotamia. From their long-held (since the 17th century) base in Basra, they sent an army north along the Euphrates River toward Baghdad. But here's where things stop looking like an old Imperial expedition and more like the nightmare battlefield of the 20th century. Over three months, the British lost 25,000 men during a siege at Kut. It was, at the height of British power, the nation's biggest military disaster to that time. Iraq was a battleground in the First World War for one reason. As Wallach describes the British position at the beginning of the war, their 'unrivaled navy delivered goods around the world and brought home three-quarters of (the country's) food supply.
To maintain its superiority, in 1911 the First Lord of the Admiralty, Winston Churchill, had ordered a major change, switching the nation's battleships from coal-burning engines to oil. Far superior to the traditional ships, these new oil-burning vessels could travel faster, cover a greater range, and be refueled at sea; what's more, their crews would not be exhausted by having to refuel, and would require less manpower.' Wallach continues, 'Britain had been the world's leading provider of coal, but she had no oil of her own. In 1912, Churchill signed an agreement for a major share in the Anglo-Persian oil company, with its oil wells in southern Persia and refineries at Abadan, close to Basra. It was essential for Britain to protect that vital area...the British either wouldn't or couldn't put together an Iraqi government. In truth, they weren't totally convinced they wanted to sponsor an Iraqi state at all. Churchill favored letting most of Iraq go, fortifying only the oil fields near Basra.... Many officials wanted to pull out of Mesopotamia altogether, except for the Persian Gulf. Bell and a few others, like T.E. Lawrence, argued for making and backing an Arab kingdom in Iraq. Bell's party eventually persuaded Churchill that Arab monarchies with British power behind them would make for a more stable region, cheaper in the long run as a provider of oil.... Carefully drawing a red line across the face of it, [Sir Percy Cox] assigned a chunk of the Nejd to Iraq; then to placate Ibn Saud, he took almost two thirds of the territory of Kuwait and gave it to Arabia. Last, drawing two zones, and declaring that they should be neutral, he called one the Kuwait neutral zone and the other the Iraq neutral zone. When a representative of Ibn Saud pressed Cox not to make a Kuwait neutral zone, Sir Percy asked him why. 'Quite candidly,' the man answered, 'because we think oil exists there.' 'That,' replied the High Commissioner, 'is exactly why I have made it a neutral zone. Each side shall have a half-share.' The agreement, signed by all three sides at the beginning of December 1922, confirmed the boundary lines drawn so carefully by Gertrude Bell. But for seventy years, up until and including the 1990 Gulf War involving Iraq and Kuwait, the dispute over the borders would continue.' With the creation of Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Iraq, the map of the modern Middle East was complete. The British managed to keep their royal surrogates in Iraq until 1958, when military officers shot the young king (Faisal's grandson), his regent and prime minister.""Fuel is our economic lifeblood. The
price of oil can be the difference between recession and recovery. The western world is
import dependent. ....So: who develops oil and gas, what the new potential sources of
supply are, is a vital strategic question...The
Middle East, we focus on naturally."
Prime Minister's speech at the George Bush Senior Presidential
Library, Texas
10
Downing St, Press Release, 7 April 2002
Oil, Israel, And The 2003 Iraq War
"Israel stands to benefit greatly
from the US led war on Iraq, primarily by getting rid of an implacable foe in President
Saddam Hussein and the threat from the weapons of mass destruction he was alleged to
possess. But it seems the Israelis have
other things in mind. An intriguing pointer
to one potentially significant benefit was a report by Haaretz on 31 March that minister
for national infrastructures Joseph Paritzky was considering the possibility of reopening
the long-defunct oil pipeline from Mosul to
the Mediterranean port of Haifa. With Israel lacking
energy resources of its own and depending on highly expensive oil from Russia, reopening
the pipeline would transform its economy....
All of this lends weight to the theory that Bush's war is part of a masterplan to reshape
the Middle East to serve Israel's interests. Haaretz quoted Paritzky as saying that the
pipeline project is economically justifiable because it would dramatically reduce Israel's
energy bill. US efforts to get Iraqi oil to Israel are not surprising. Under a 1975
Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), the US guaranteed all Israel's oil needs in the event
of a crisis. The MoU, which has been quietly renewed every five years, also committed the
USA to construct and stock a supplementary strategic reserve for Israel, equivalent to
some US$3bn in 2002. Special legislation was enacted to exempt Israel from restrictions on
oil exports from the USA. Moreover, the USA agreed to divert oil from its home market,
even if that entailed domestic shortages, and guaranteed delivery of the promised oil in
its own tankers if commercial shippers were unwilling or not available to carry the crude
to Israel. All of this adds up to a potentially massive financial commitment. The USA has another reason for supporting Paritzky's
project: a land route for Iraqi oil direct to the Mediterranean would lessen US dependence
on Gulf oil supplies. Direct access to the world's second-largest oil reserves (with the
possibility of expansion through so-far untapped deposits) is an important strategic
objective."
Oil from Iraq : An Israeli pipedream?
Jane's
Foreign Report, 16 April 2003
"
The United States has asked Israel to check the possibility of pumping oil from Iraq to the oil refineries in Haifa. The request came in a telegram last week from a senior Pentagon official to a top Foreign Ministry official in Jerusalem. The Prime Minister's Office, which views the pipeline to Haifa as a 'bonus' the U.S. could give to Israel in return for its unequivocal support for the American-led campaign in Iraq, had asked the Americans for the official telegram. The new pipeline would take oil from the Kirkuk area, where some 40 percent of Iraqi oil is produced, and transport it via Mosul, and then across Jordan to Israel. The U.S. telegram included a request for a cost estimate for repairing the Mosul-Haifa pipeline that was in use prior to 1948. During the War of Independence, the Iraqis stopped the flow of oil to Haifa and the pipeline fell into disrepair over the years. The National Infrastructure Ministry has recently conducted research indicating that construction of a 42-inch diameter pipeline between Kirkuk and Haifa would cost about $400,000 per kilometer. The old Mosul-Haifa pipeline was only 8 inches in diameter. National Infrastructure Minister Yosef Paritzky said yesterday that the port of Haifa is an attractive destination for Iraqi oil and that he plans to discuss this matter with the U.S. secretary of energy during his planned visit to Washington next month. Paritzky added that the plan depends on Jordan's consent and that Jordan would receive a transit fee for allowing the oil to piped through its territory. The minister noted, however, that 'due to pan-Arab concerns, it will be hard for the Jordanians to agree to the flow of Iraqi oil via Jordan and Israel.' Sources in Jerusalem confirmed yesterday that the Americans are looking into the possibility of laying a new pipeline via Jordan and Israel. (There is also a pipeline running via Syria that has not been used in some three decades.) Iraqi oil is now being transported via Turkey to a small Mediterranean port near the Syrian border."The Importance Of Syria, Jordan, Lebanon, And Israel As Potential Transit Routes For Iraqi Oil
"If Iraqi
production does not rise exponentially by
2015, we have a very big problem, even if Saudi Arabia fulfills all its promises. The
numbers are very simple, there's no need to be an expert.... Within 5 to 10 years,
non-OPEP production will reach a peak and
begin to decline, as reserves run out. There are new proofs of that fact every day. At the
same we'll see the peak of China's economic growth. The two
events will coincide: the explosion of Chinese growth, and the fall in non-OPEP oil
production. Will the oil world manage to face that twin shock is an open
question.... I really hope that consuming nations will understand the
gravity of the situation and put in place radical and extremely tough policies to curb oil demand growth."
Fatir Birol, Chief Economist, International Energy Agency
Le Monde, 27 June 2007
<<<---- To USA and Europe |
Blue
= Pre-War Iraqi Oil Transit Route To Meditteranian Via Arabian Peninsula
And Suez Canal (Suez Cannot Take Largest Tankers) |
Avoiding Abrahamic Mayhem
In The Middle East
A Time For Cool Heads
"A British intellectual told me that
the issue today is not about reaching an agreement with the Hamas movement which does not
recognize the rights of Jews and Christians to exist in Palestine; the issue is that there are Palestinians being killed
daily, and the Israelis are living in fear of rocket attacks, and the Christians are
migrating."
- Theyre
All With Gaza
Who is With Hamas?
Asharq Alawsat, 17
January 2009
A Time For Cool Heads This is a hugely tense time for the Middle East. A new US president is taking office and Israeli elections may bring a more hard-line government. Both sides of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict have their ideological extremists that stand in the way of a settlement to the 60 year dispute. Bitter accusations and counter-accusations have accompanied the renewed fight between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza strip which exploded at the end of 2008 with a ferocity not seen in decades. Yet an address with a surprisingly moderate, albeit partly barbed, tone had come from the maverick President of Iran broadcast on British television just two days before. The UK Government rebuked Channel 4 for broadcasting the 'alternative' Christmas day message from President Ahmadinejad in which he criticised the west for diverting from the teachings of Jesus Christ. Not surprisingly many found this unpalatable, perhaps not so much for the message (much of which is an echo of self-evident truths which have already been articulated by the Archbishop of Canterbury), but for who was delivering it. However, to focus on the broadcast's reception amongst primarily Anglo-Saxon audiences watching Channel 4, rather than Middle Eastern or Asian ones learning about it through their own media or other outlets like YouTube, may be to miss its fleeting significance (one since heavily undermined by subsequent events involving Gaza) at a time when the United States is changing President. In this respect the conciliatory element was striking, whether Ahmadinejad believed his own words or not: "We believe, Jesus Christ will return, together with one of the children of the revered Messenger of Islam and will lead the world to love, brotherhood and justice. The responsibility of all followers of Christ and Abrahamic faiths is to prepare the way for the fulfilment of this divine promise and the arrival of that joyful, shining and wonderful age. I hope that the collective will of nations will unite in the not too distant future and with the grace of the Almighty Lord, that shining age will come to rule the earth." Yet, apparently this message proved unacceptable in many quarters. By contrast, however, the British Government has had no qualms about the media citing other eyebrow-raising utterances from Ahmadinejad, provided they have served to intensify western fears of Iranian hostility, even though Ahmadinejad does not hold the necessary power within Iran to convert hostile words into action (he is not in charge of the army, nor does he make any foreign policy decisions). When it comes to who does have power to instigate war in Iran (the Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei), it is worth asking when was the last time Iran unilaterally invaded another country ? Around 200 years ago (in the Iran-Iraq war Iran was attacked by Saddam Hussein). So Iran's track record in this area is considerably better than that of Britain, America, or Israel, for example. Iran's principle transgression in the eyes of the west, however, is its support for Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza. Both are hostile towards Israel. Less conveniently for the purposes of a black and white narrative, however, both Hezbollah and Hamas have made political gains in recent years through elections, proving something of an ironically unwelcome result for the Bush administration's stated aim of encouraging democracy in the Middle East. Iran's support for the Palestinian cause is unreserved and sometimes provocatively expressed. The most readily cited 'Ahmadinejadism' from its not very powerful Prime Minister is the reported claim that "Israel must be wiped off the map". Ahmadinejad has denied that he was advocating Iran should use force against Israel when questioned about this remark in an Iranian media interview in the autumn. The official position of Iran is that it objects to Israel as a Jewish state and considers that there should be a referendum relating to a single state in which all Israelis and Palestinians would vote on the matter, including returning Palestinian refugees. Approximately 3 million Palestenians live in Jordan alone, with others mainly in Lebanon and Syria. But even without them it is estimated that across Israel and the Palestinian territories combined Arabs will greatly outnumber Jews by 2020 (8.4 million against 6.4 million, compared with 5.5 against 5.4 in 2008) due to differing birth rates, according to the European print edition of TIME magazine 19 January 2009 (p16). In text accompanying a map graphic, TIME reports that "Palestinians say millions of displaced Arabs have the right to return to Israeli territory. Such a return would negate Israel's existence as a Jewish state. A compromise might involve allowing a token number to return and giving others compensation." One of the provisions of the 2002 Saudi peace plan calls for, "Achievement of a just solution to the Palestinian Refugee problem to be agreed upon in accordance with UN General Assembly Resolution 194." Resolution 194, which was passed in 1948, states that "the refugees wishing to return to their homes and live at peace with their neighbors should be permitted to do so at the earliest practicable date. The degree to which the 2002 Saudi formula would therefore necessitate an insistence on Palestinian refugees having an undiluted 'right of return' is a matter of intense debate. However, despite the original resolution, the phrase 'to be agreed upon' in the 2002 Saudi proposal is considered by some to leave scope for negotiation. Meanwhile there have been many arguments over whether the English translation of the original Farsi text for the reported 'wiped off the map' remark from Ahmadinejad correctly reflected what was actually said, rather than a 'mere' call for regime change in Israel (Israel has similar aspirations in respect of Hamas in Gaza, which it now seeks through openly violent means). Whichever it was, either interpretation is going to make Ahmadinejad reviled to a greater or less degree in Tel Aviv and Washington (according to the German magazine Der Spiegel Armahdinejad said that the Israeli regime must be "eliminated from the pages of history."). Yet, in the truly incompetent style of the Bush administration, Ahmadinejad's own domestic rise to political prominence was itself a result of the use of hamfistedly provocative propaganda broadcast into Iran by the United States during the country's 2004 national election campaign which played directly into the hands of his hard-line rhetoric. Amongst all this chaos it is clear that the Abrahamics (Jews, Christians, and Muslims) badly need to sort themselves out. All spiritually descended from the same prophet (Abraham), and all worshipping the same God, their fractious relationships have been a source of great chaos over the centuries, including through the violent use of crusades and jihad to achieve 'religious' goals. God can be no more impressed with this behaviour, than with that of the opposing Christian sects in Northern Ireland. Whilst such conflicts may be largely political and territorial in basic nature the sectarian distinctions involved are frequently defined in 'them and us' religious terms (especially so in some struggles, such as the contest for control of Jerusalem and the associated access to its religious sites, and also the pursuit of Israel as a Jewish state). Many warriors recruited for the killing deployed in this process are garnered in the name of (the same) God. No settlement in the Middle East will ever satisfy everyone. The Palestinian cause is itself fractured between Fatah and Hamas (amongst other things the former blame the latter for the renewed Israeli assaults on Gaza). The ideological commitment to the destruction of Israel by Hamas is an even greater obstacle, even if this reflects only aspiration and not ability. However, the traditionally conservative Saudi Arabia, the custodian of Islam's two most holy places Mecca and Medina, is prepared to accept a two state political settlement in the Middle East if Israel returns to its pre-June 1967 borders (i.e. allowing Israel other territorial gains made beyond the original UN boundary proposal of 1947 for separate Jewish and Arab states). Moreover, aides of President-elect Obama had let it be known after his election victory in November that he intended to pursue the same Saudi sponsored plan. The Saudi proposal is also commended by Israeli President Shimon Peres. Outgoing Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has said Israel should give up East Jerusalem, the Golan Heights, and most of the West Bank in return for the formal recognition of Israel as a Jewish state by the Arab world. Yet astonishingly, millions of American fundamentalist Christians believe that this recognition of the state of Israel is not enough. More strongly associated with the Republican Party than with the Democrats, their political influence is expected to wane during the Obama presidency. However, they believe that the second coming of Christ will not happen until Israel has expanded its territory further. Remarkably, according to this set of 'Christian' beliefs, the establishment of a 'Greater Israel' will precipitate the Apocalypse, to be followed by Christ descending on earth and his slaughtering of all those belonging to other faiths - including Jews and Roman Catholics. This ultimately anti-semitic (and, indeed, anti-everybody else) philosophy stands in strong contrast to the endorsement of an Abrahamic joint spiritual endeavour as recently proclaimed from Tehran and broadcast on Channel 4 on Christmas day, whether sincerely meant or not. The Christian fundamentalist approach is one which actively desires more war in the Middle East. For this constituency the renewed fighting since Christmas is not bad news. Perversely, nor is it for some of the more moderate members of the incumbent Israeli government who have been seeking to burnish their 'national security' credentials, as they try to prevent the country falling into the hands of more hard-line candidates in the upcoming elections. When tensions are rising language does matter. Many believe that Ahmadinejad's Christmas address to Great Britain was an entirely bogus propaganda device used by a regime commonly regarded as anti-semitic but which claims to be 'merely' anti-Zionist (whilst Tehran opposes the creation of the state of Israel, Jews are allowed to live peacefully in Iran where they are the largest Jewish community in the Middle East outside of Israel being an officially recognised religious minority under Iran's 1979 Islamic Constitution - with 23 synagogues in Tehran). However, it says a lot that the British Government objected (it could have said nothing) to the airing of the Iranian President's message of Abrahamic unity at a time when tensions amongst the three Abrahamic religions within Britain itself have rarely been higher. Nobody interested in world peace wants Iran to get a nuclear bomb. But how do you justify a policy which says Christians and Jews can have nuclear weapons, but Muslims shouldn't? And especially how do you justify this when Iran is willing to be a member of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, but Israel is not? What happened to the nuclear disarmament process initiated in the Reagan-Gorbachev era, but since steadily eroded? In reality none of these religious communities (and the atom bomb armed Hindus in India have no reason to feel self-righteous about this either) would have nuclear weapons at all if they really believed in the honourable teachings of their shared prophets. Whether it is Iran or Israel, it is time for the Middle East to abandon both nuclear weapons and nuclear power, with all the proliferation problems that go with the latter. Yet the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Oman are all considering developing nuclear power programmes, supported in this by France. More responsibly the United Arab Emirates and Oman have also begun investing in new solar technology, whilst Israel itself is leading the way with a nation-wide electric car scheme which can also be expected to one day harness plentiful sources of solar power (Israel is at the centre of some of the most exciting developments in solar technology). The west should do the same. With reduced dependence on imported oil and gas, the Anglo-American axis in particular would have much less cause to continue its long history of damaging foreign policy actions in the Middle East. Those actions include the foolhardy supply of weapons of mass destruction technology to Saddam Hussein's Iraq, and the shameful MI6-CIA sponsored toppling of Iran's first democratically elected government in 1953. The latter was conducted in an orchestrated coup d'etat code named 'Operation Ajax' on behalf of the Anglo-Iranian oil company (now known as BP). This was followed by the installation of the dictatorship of the Shah, the ultimate reaction to which was the Iranian Islamic Revolution of 1979. However, if Obama began a reconciliation process with Iran, Tehran would also be likely to soften its hostile attitude towards Israel, the pre-eminent US ally in the region regarded by Iran as an American proxy (in an interview with Der Spiegel on 13 January the Iranian foreign minister described Israel as a "retainer" regime which "carries out the business of the United States"). At any level of life repairing badly damaged relations is always a challenging thing. But try to imagine, for example, the western uproar that would occur if Iran, even by mistake, were to shoot down an American civilian airliner going legitimately about it own business. Yet how many people outside the Middle East remember that Iran Air Flight 655 (an Airbus A300 passenger jet) was shot down over the Persian Gulf during a routine flight to Dubai in July 1988 by the USS Vincennes in which all 290 people on board, including 66 children, were killed? The Iranian government described the incident as a 'barbaric massacre' and vowed to 'avenge the blood of our martyrs' (Iran and Syria were subsequently accused of conducting the bombing of Pan Am flight 103 over Lockerbie in Scotland later that year, although ultimately this was blamed on Libya despite the use of questionable evidence against it - some believe Libya was framed through evidence thought to have been manipulated by MI6 and the CIA due to broader western strategic objectives in the Middle East at the time of the first Gulf war). Somehow the US navy had identified the commercial airliner crossing the Gulf as an Iranian F14 fighter jet. This was followed by, in the words of the BBC, "a full investigation into how a passenger jet came to be mistaken for a fighter jet, which is two-thirds smaller". Only parts of the resulting official report were released. However, those in the public domain confirm that the flight "was on a normal commercial air flight plan profile, in the assigned airway, squawking Mode III 6760, on a continuous ascent in altitude from take-off at Bandar Abbas to shoot-down." At the time America was protecting oil shipments in the Gulf during the Iran-Iraq war, a conflict in which Vice President George Bush Snr (who also defended the United States at the United Nations over the Vincennes incident) had been secretly supporting Saddam Hussein with the supply of materials for the manufacture of weapons of mass destruction. In August 1988 Bush was quoted in relation to the incident by Newsweek magazine as saying: "I'll never apologize for the United States of America. Ever, I don't care what the facts are." In an article entitled 'Sea of Lies' published in 1992, Newsweek later accused the US government of both a cover-up, and a secret war against Iran during the Iran-Iraq conflict. It took four years for Washington to admit that the Vincennes was in Iranian waters when the shooting down took place. The airliner itself was in Iranian air space. Although it agreed to pay compensation in 1996, the US government has never admitted responsibility or apologised for the incident. In short, from 1953 to 1988 and beyond, America's political reputation in Iran has been atrocious, and most of the time moves against Iran have been driven by concerns over maintaining access to Gulf oil, a motivator re-confirmed by Vice President Dick Cheney in an Australian press interview in 2007. Given Iran's current support for Hezzbolah and Hamas, a key element to peace in the Middle East must also rest with America restoring its relations with Tehran. To say nothing of the act's criminality, history has demonstrated that the Anglo-American toppling of the democratically elected Mossadeq government in 1953 was a huge strategic blunder by London and Washington where the price is still being paid. The time to repair the damage is long over due. In Iran today there still remain unpleasant authoritarian hangovers fostered by the long trail of events seeded by the 1953 Anglo-American run coup d'etat. These are much criticised. But the west remains more than happy to support regimes in the region that are worse, particularly where oil interests are at stake. In Saudi Arabia, unlike in Iran, a woman cannot vote, serve in parliament, or even drive a car. Yet in 2007 the Bush administration authorised $400 million to be spent on increased covert activities to destabilise Iran. Who knows what Jesus Christ might have said about all of that? What we do know, however, is that the British government is unlikely to have objected had Channel 4 chosen the western-partnering Saudi King for the delivery of an alternative Christmas address instead of Mr Ahmadinejad. During 2008 the British Prime Minister flew out to the Saudis firstly begging for oil, and then begging for money (the difference being whether the trip was before or after the global economic reversal that followed the collapse of Wall St investment bank Lehman Bros in September). Meanwhile, the incoming President of America says he aims to wean his country off its dependence on imported oil. He has also said he is willing to enter into negotiations with Tehran and has prepared the American people for such a move during his election campaign. Iran needs to prepare its own people, and the wider Muslim world, for that too. In that context it is churlish to automatically dismiss Channel 4's broadcast of the Ahmadinejad British Christmas address as a disservice, even though any value that might have been gained from it is now eroded by subsequent events in Gaza. Before any progress can be made both Washington and Tehran have to soften up their own populations if an accommodation is to be reached without loss of face by their respective political leaderships. Few, besides the extremists, believe it is anyone's interest that there should be a war between the two, or with Israel. The question now is whether or not the latest fight between Israel and Hamas means a permanent, or only temporary, undermining of the new American President's stated support for a return to the Arab-Israeli situation prior to the 1967 six day war. All the time heads are hot the possibility of a settlement will remain impossible. So who is going to cool the temperature with a different approach? Peace Be With You. As-Salamu `Alaykum. Shalom Aleichem. Solh Dar Zamin. |
"The Anglican Bishop of Jerusalem has
called for an immediate cease-fire in the Gaza Strip, warning that health services there
are failing to cope with the injuries sustained in the Israeli attacks. The Rt Rev Suheil
Dawani, said that the three Abrahamic Faiths have observed their Holy Seasons with a sense of peace and goodwill,
'therefore, we are greatly grieved by the severity of the ongoing military operations in
Gaza that are occurring in heavily populated areas and impacting the civilian population.'
The Diocese of Jerusalem runs the al-Ahli Arab Hospital in Gaza, which he said was
struggling to cope. 'The immensity of providing care for the injured and wounded is
overwhelming a healthcare system struggling to provide essential healthcare services for
1.5 million Palestinians, most of who live in refugee camps.' The Bishop added: 'The
gravity of the situation threatens to engulf this entire region and we ask the
Palestinians and Israelis to return to active negotiations for the well being and safety
of both communities.'
Jerusalem bishop warns Gaza health services 'overwhelmed'
Religious Intelligence,
30 December 2008
How Likely Is It That A Change Of US President
Will Produce A Change In Approach To The Middle East?
"Robert
Baer, a former CIA spy who
presents a television documentary on the history of suicide bombing, says he knew the practice would come to the UK. And its
not the Wests values, but its foreign policies, that are to blame.... 'The other one
thing is, they hate us, which is just total bullsh**.' [he says] Is it? 'Yes,'
he says, 'it is.' In a school run by Hezbollah, he asked a class dominated by the
daughters of 'martyrs' if they watched US television. 'Everybody raised their hand. And
what did they watch? Oprah. I said, How can you watch this cr**? And they
said, No, shes great. We love Oprah...... So, it wasnt our values.
It wasnt Western values. Its Western presence. They want us to get
out.'..... There is, however, a three-letter reason why the US will not impose a peace plan on Israel and leave the region. Baer, the author of Sleeping With The Devil: How Washington
Sold Our Soul for Saudi Crude, well knows what it is. 'I dont think any American
politician, however at fault we are in Iraq or anywhere else, can say, All right,
let the crazies have the oil fields, because oil at $200 a barrel would put us into a depression.' So
because the American economy is at stake, we cant get out even to save our skins?
'That, I believe, is your classic paradox.' "
Suicide bombing is a virus thats here to stay
London Times,
2 August 2005
"In the 21st century, we know that
the future of our economy and national security is
inextricably linked with one challenge: energy. In the next few years, the choices that we make will help
determine the kind of country and world that we will leave to our children and our
grandchildren. All of us know the problems
that are rooted in our addiction to foreign oil. It constrains our economy, shifts wealth to hostile regimes, and leaves us
dependent on unstable regions.... For over three decades, we've listened to a growing chorus
of warnings about our energy dependence. We've heard president after president promise to
chart a new course. We've heard Congress talk about energy independence, only to pull up
short in the face of opposition from special interests. We've seen Washington launch
policy after policy, yet our dependence on foreign oil has only grown, even as the world's resources are disappearing. This time has to be different. This time we cannot fail, nor
can we be lulled into complacency simply because the price at the pump has for now gone
down from $4 a gallon."
Transcript of Barack Obamas Energy and
Environment Team Announcement
New York Times,
15 December 2008
"Obama does not support the return of Palestinian refugees to Israel, but
believes that the need to solve the refugee problem must be recognized. He supports Israel
as the state of the Jews, and does not accept the view, which has struck roots in the
global left, that Israel should be a state of all its citizens, from the Jordan River to
the Mediterranean Sea."
Obama and the Jewish question
Haaretz (Israel), 1 February
2008
"Barack
Obama's campaign promise to consider talks to end 30 years of hostility [with Iran] is astute...
Mr Obama should simultaneously entertain overtures to Syria with the aim of breaking the
Iranian axis. There will be no swift breakthrough. But just as Richard Nixon's secret
diplomacy paved the way for his coup in China, so Mr
Obama now has a chance to end one of the region's longest and most destructive quarrels."
Thirty years on
London
Times, 3 January 2009
And With Whom Would His Team
Negotiate?
The Divided Holy Land - Divisions Within Divsions
"Hamas, the militant Islamic group that the U.S. State Department has designated
a terrorist organization, won an overwhelming majority in Palestinian parliamentary
elections. The election results announced Thursday
put the future of the Middle East peace process in question. The election shocker ended a
40-year political reign by Fatah, the party of the late Yasser Arafat....Hamas' win comes
amid political uncertainty in Israel. Prime Minister Ariel Sharon had a stroke this month
and is in a coma. Olmert has assumed Sharon's powers until elections March 28. Hamas has
an extensive network of charities and social services. Its candidates swept to wins in West Bank municipal elections last month. Hamas' parliamentary campaign focused on
ridding the Palestinian Authority of Fatah corruption and boosting living standards. Its platform made no mention of suicide bombers or the destruction of
Israel, but the group's charter calls for Israel to be made an Islamic state for
Palestinians. Thursday, Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Ahmed Qureia and his Cabinet resigned before final results
were released. Hamas leader Khaled Mashal, based in Syria, asked Palestinian President
Mahmoud Abbas, Arafat's successor, to join a Hamas-led government. Under Palestinian law,
the biggest party in parliament can shape the Cabinet. Abbas, elected separately a year ago, remains
president. He said Thursday that he is committed to
peace talks but sidestepped questions about how closely he would work with Hamas."
Palestinians choose avowed enemy of Israel
USA Today, 26
January 2006
"U.S. Senator Barack Obama on Wednesday
criticized former U.S. President Jimmy Carter for meeting with leaders of the Islamic
terrorist group Hamas as he tried to reassure Jewish voters that his presidential candidacy is
not a threat to them or U.S. support for Israel. The Democratic presidential candidate's
comments, made to a group of Jewish leaders in Philadelphia, were his first on Carter's
controversial meeting scheduled this week in Egypt. Republican presidential
nominee-in-waiting John McCain called on Obama to repudiate Carter in a speech
Monday....'We must not negotiate with a terrorist group intent on Israel's destruction,' '
Obama said. 'We should only sit down with Hamas if they renounce terrorism, recognize
Israel's right to exist, and abide by past agreements,' he added. Obama has been working
to reassure Jewish voters nervous about his candidacy in the wake of publicity about
anti-Israel sentiments expressed
by his pastor, the Reverend Jeremiah Wright....Obama
has stepped up his outreach to the Jewish community in recent weeks after videos of
Wright's speeches surfaced where he criticized Israel and expressed sympathy for the
Palestinian cause.....Obama also said at the meeting that he is willing to make
diplomatic overtures to Iran even thought it has funded Hamas and other militant groups."
Obama slams Carter for meeting Hamas, tries to reassure Jewish voters
Haaretz (Israel), 16 April 2008
"Largely ignored by the local
antagonists, and by most international analysts, meanwhile, is the fact that if Olmert is
a lame duck, his Palestinian interlocutor, Abbas, is a veritable political amputee. As
of January 9, he will cease to be the democratically empowered president of the
Palestinian Authority. His term in office will have expired. Hamas has long been
indicating that it will not regard him as a credible authority after that date. Arab media
sources are already starting to cast doubt on his post-January 9 legitimacy. Arab
governments and the wider public will certainly do the same. 'Palestinians are asking by
what virtue will Abbas claim to be leading the Palestinians,' reports a West Bank-based
journalist. 'They scoff that 'he'll be Bush's president or Rice's president, but certainly
not our president.' Indeed, this reporter pointed out to me, after January 9, there'll be
only one elected Palestinian leadership in the West Bank and Gaza: Hamas.
While Ariel Sharon and subsequently Ehud Olmert, firmly supported by the Bush
administration, have consistently depicted Abbas as a well-intentioned moderate and as
embodying the best hope of an Israeli-Palestinian accommodation, Abbas's standing among
his own people has gradually ebbed away since he succeeded Yasser Arafat four years ago.
Two months after Arafat's death in November 2004, Abbas was overwhelmingly elected to
presidential office (with 62.5 percent of the vote) on a promise to clean up Fatah and the governance of
the Palestinians, to root out corruption and institute reform. He failed so signally that
Hamas, after winning a series of local council elections over Fatah as the perceived
exemplar of honest authority, cemented its elected hold on the Palestinian polity by
gaining a majority of seats in elections for the quasi-parliament, the Palestinian
Legislative Council, a year later, on January 25, 2006. Despite the violence it
employed against its own people in seizing undisputed power in Gaza in June of 2007, and
the dire reality of daily life in the Strip today, many Palestinian analysts believe that
Abbas would lose to Hamas's Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh if
he were to succumb to the legal timetable and submit himself to a presidential vote...
So, today, Mahmoud Abbas shuttles rather pointlessly from Ramallah to Washington, Cairo
and beyond in the dying days of his legitimate presidency, having lost Gaza utterly and
barely retaining a hold on the West Bank."
Editor's Notes: The lame duck and the amputee
Jerusalem
Post, 27 December 2008
"Once it was possible for Gazans to
pass with relative ease in and out of the Strip to work in Israel. In recent years, the
noose around the 1.5 million people living there has been tightening incrementally, until
a whole population in the most densely settled urban area upon the planet
has been locked in behind walls and fences....Ironically,
one of Israel's experiments involved assisting in the creation of Hamas, which had its roots in Egypt's Muslim
Brotherhood, to counter the power of Yasser Arafat's Palestine Liberation Organisation. Israel has been determined to push Hamas ever closer to all-out war since
insisting that even though it won free and fair Palestinian legislative elections in 2006,
its right to govern could not be treated as legitimate.... the economic blockade began a
year and a half ago....What Israel hopes to achieve with the present military offensive
beyond influencing the coming Israeli elections is not clear. For if a
long-anticipated ground operation, leading to a partial reoccupation on the ground, is to
follow these air strikes as it did in the war in Lebanon in 2006 it will
have to achieve what neither Hamas nor its rival Fatah can: unifying Palestinian society
once more against a common enemy, as Gaza was once united against Israeli settlements
inside its boundaries."
To be in Gaza is to be trapped
Guardian,
28 December 2008
"Mahmoud
Abbas, the Palestinian president, has blamed Hamas for
triggering Israel's deadly raids on Gaza, by not
extending a six-month truce with the Jewish state.....Hamas argues that Israel violated
the truce by failing to ease its 18-month blockade on the Gaza Strip....Odeh said two
lines were being taken on the Palestinian-Israeli issue with Arab states divided between
those supporting the Hamas line of armed resistance and not recognising Israel, and those
that preferred non-confrontational options."
Abbas blames Hamas for bloodshed
Al-Jazeera,
28 December 2008
"Hamas on Sunday threatened to respond
to an ongoing Israel Defense Forces assault on the Gaza Strip by assassinating senior
Israeli officials. Senior Hamas official Fatah Hamad specifically threatened Livni and
Defense Minister Ehud Barak. He also threatened that
Hamas would go after senior Palestinian Authority officials in the West Bank, as well as 'those in the Arab world who have
conspired against us,' - an apparent reference to Egypt."
In response to Gaza raids, Hamas threatens to assassinate Livni, Barak
Haaretz (Israel), 29 December
2008
"In August 2005, when Israel
unilaterally withdrew from the narrow coastal territory [Gaza], then-Israeli Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon promised it would make Israel safer. Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice hailed the move as 'historic.' Israel had left behind a political vacuum, however.
That, along with decisions by Israel, the U.S. and Palestinian rivals inadvertently
boosted the militant Islamic group Hamas into power. Hamas is stronger than ever, and Israel's air strikes risk
bolstering it further, according to current and former U.S. officials, diplomats and
analysts.... Sharon, who suffered a stroke in January 2006 that left him in a coma, had
argued that disengagement from Gaza would improve Israel's strategic position and bolster
'moderate forces' among the Palestinians 'who want to make the right choice.' Palestinian
leaders, however, were never able, or willing, to begin building their state in Gaza. Even
without its troops or the 9,000 Jewish settlers in place, Israel retained a chokehold over
the strip, controlling major land crossings into Israel, Gaza's airspace and the waters
off its Mediterranean seacoast. Then, in January 2006, the Palestinians, with strong
backing from the Bush administration, held legislative elections. Over Israeli misgivings,
Hamas which has questioned Israel's right to exist and which the U.S. and Israel
consider terrorist group was allowed to participate. Hamas won a majority of seats, benefiting
from the perceived corruption and incompetence of Abbas's Fatah faction....In June 2007, after
months of factional fighting, Hamas forces overran Gaza, ousting Fatah's foreign-armed and
trained security forces. The U.S. rounded up diplomatic and financial support for Abbas,
and Israel responded by clamping down harder on Gaza. An uneasy, Egyptian-mediated truce
expired this month and Hamas began intensifying its rocket attacks from Gaza into
Israel... The violence appears all but certain to
complicate President-elect Barack Obama's hopes of vigorous mediation in the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict after he takes office Jan. 20."
What helped the rise of Hamas? U.S., Israel policies, turns out
McClatchy Newspapers, 31
December 2008
"As the IDF offensive concluded its
fourth day on Tuesday, Hamas accused the Palestinian
Authority of planning to return to the Gaza Strip
with the help of Israel. According to a report published by the Hamas-affiliated Palestine
Information Center Web site, PA President Mahmoud Abbas has ordered his officials in
Ramallah to set up an 'emergency room' to prepare for reassuming control over the Gaza
Strip after the Hamas government is toppled by Israel. It said the emergency room consisted of commanders of the PA security forces and the interior minister. The
report claimed that Abbas was coordinating his moves with the Egyptians and the
Saudis."
Hamas - PA conspiring with Israel
Jerusalem
Post, 31 December 2008
"...in a bind is Mahmoud Abbas, the moderate Palestinian President viewed by Israel and the U.S. as a
credible partner in peace. Many Palestinians now regard him as an irrelevancy or worse, a collaborator. Abbas 'has staked his political legacy
and his vision of the Palestinians finally achieving their rights on negotiation with the
Israelis,' says Steven Cook, a Middle East expert at the Council on Foreign Relations.
'And it's hard to negotiate with the Israelis as they are bombing the Gaza Strip.' The
very basis of Abbas' negotiations with Israel may be moot. The Bush Administration's peace
plan, based on a Palestinian state and Israel's living side by side, is moribund. For all practical purposes, there are two Palestinian states. Abbas, who
rules the West Bank, has no leverage in Gaza, where Hamas reigns supreme. Neither Israel nor the U.S. has been prepared to deal
directly with Hamas, which doesn't recognize Israel's right to exist. But without a seat
at the negotiating table, the militants have little to lose by escalating violence. In
Gaza, most Palestinians blame Israel and not Hamas whom they view as legitimately
elected representatives for the current bloodshed. So even without the latest flare-up, Gaza was poised to be a confounding
problem for Obama. But now, warns Aaron David Miller, a Middle East expert at the Woodrow
Wilson Center in Washington, the new President is 'going to inherit a crisis with horrible
pictures, reduced and diminished American credibility, without the capacity and the means
to actually influence the situation.'"
The Battle over Gaza
TIME, 31 December 2008
"Israeli officials said that they were
not entirely closed to a truce but it had to be a lasting one to which Hamas was properly
committed. Such a truce will be difficult for mediators, led by Egypt, to arrange as both
sides attach peripheral conditions. Hamas wants the border crossings to be opened, which Israel will only agree to
if they are manned on the Palestinian side by Fatah, Hamass bitter rival, with whom Israel is in slow-moving peace
talks. Israel, on the other hand, considers Hamass weapons smuggling a breach of any
truce. An emergency meeting of the Arab League in Cairo called on Hamas and Fatah to overcome their rift
and form a unity government."
Israel rejects truce with Hamas as rockets rain deeper
London
Times, 1 January 2009
Adding To The
Abrahamic Mayhem
'Christians' Cheering For War In The Middle East
"It was only 25 years ago when there
began to be a melding of the Republican Party with fundamentalist
Christianity, particularly with the Southern Baptist
Convention. This is a fairly new development, and I think it was brought about by the abandonment of some of the basic principles of Christianity. First of all, we worship the prince of peace, not war. And those of us
who have advocated for the resolution of international conflict in a peaceful fashion are
looked upon as being unpatriotic, branded that way by right-wing religious groups, the
Bush administration, and other Republicans.... what do Christians stand for, based
exclusively on the words and actions of Jesus Christ? We worship him as a prince of peace.
And I think almost all Christians would conclude that whenever there is an inevitable
altercation -- say, between a husband and a wife, or a father and a child, or within a
given community, or between two nations (including our own) -- we should make every effort
to resolve those differences which arise in life through peaceful means. Therein, we
should not resort to war as a way to exalt the president as the commander in chief. A
commitment to peace is certainly a Christian principle that even ultraconservatives would
endorse, at least by worshipping the prince of peace... The alleviation of suffering was a
philosophy that was enhanced and emphasized by the life of Christ. Today the ultra-right wing, in both religion and politics, has
abandoned that principle of Jesus Christs ministry. Those are the two principal
things in the practical sense that starkly separate the ultra-right Christian community
from the rest of the Christian world: Do we endorse and support peace and support the
alleviation of suffering among the poor and the outcast?"
Jimmy Carter [America's first evangelical
Christian president and a southern Baptist]
explains how the Christian right isn't Christian at all
The
American Prospect, 5 April 2004
"In the
United States, several million people have succumbed to an extraordinary delusion. In the 19th century, two immigrant preachers cobbled together a series
of unrelated passages from the Bible to create what appears to be a consistent narrative:
Jesus will return to Earth when certain preconditions have been met. The first of these
was the establishment of a state of Israel. The next
involves Israel's occupation of the rest of its 'biblical
lands' (most of the Middle East), and the rebuilding of the Third Temple on the site now occupied by the
Dome of the Rock and al-Aqsa mosques. The legions of the antichrist will then be deployed
against Israel, and their war will lead to a final
showdown in the valley of Armageddon. The Jews will either burn or convert to Christianity, and the Messiah will return to Earth..... American pollsters believe
that 15-18% of US voters belong to churches or movements which subscribe to these teachings. A survey in 1999 suggested that this figure included 33% of Republicans...... So
here we have a major political constituency - representing
much of the current president's core vote - in the most powerful nation on Earth, which is actively seeking to provoke a new world war. Its members see the invasion of Iraq as a warm-up act, as Revelation
(9:14-15) maintains that four angels 'which are bound in the great river Euphrates' will be released 'to slay the third part of men'. They batter down the doors of the White House as soon as its support for
Israel wavers: when Bush asked Ariel Sharon to pull his tanks out of Jenin in 2002, he
received 100,000 angry emails from Christian fundamentalists, and never mentioned the
matter again..... For 15% of the electorate, the
Middle East is not just a domestic matter, it's a personal one: if the president fails to
start a conflagration there, his core voters don't get to sit at the right hand of God."
Their beliefs are bonkers, but they are at the heart of power
Guardian, 20
April 2007
"Romney's Mormon
faith is raising questions with some. But what is Huckabee's
relationship with 'Left Behind' author
Timothy LaHaye? ...... Huckabee, whose
advertisements proclaim that he is a 'Christian leader,' trails Romney by a mere 4
percentage points in the latest Iowa poll. His
campaign received a boost from LaHaye, coauthor of best-selling novels, who sent a letter inviting selected
pastors to all-expenses-paid conferences in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. The
only presidential candidate speaking at each event will be Huckabee. So it's perfectly fair to ask whether Huckabee sees eye to eye with LaHaye. If he does, Huckabee - an affable, guitar-playing ex-minister - is a
whole lot scarier than many of us have suspected. LaHaye believes that Christians will rise into heaven in The Rapture. The rest of us will be Left Behind - get it? - to
face nasty tribulations: plagues, earthquakes, hailstorms and more. During this time of
torment, the Book of Revelations predicts, the Antichrist will reign. But in LaHaye's 16 novels, which have sold more than
65 million copies, the Anti-christ is . . . the
secretary-general of the United Nations! That's right: The U.N. is itself a kind of
deviltry, because it prefigures the rule of Satan....Therefore, the first question for
Huckabee should be: What do you think of the United Nations? And if you're elected
president, will you reduce or change America's commitment to the U.N. and to other
international organizations? The next set of
questions should surround Israel.
According to LaHaye, the final
return of Christ - and the defeat of Satan - will be preceded by the establishment of 'Greater Israel.' That's one big reason why many
evangelical Christians are Israel hawks, rejecting a two-state solution and supporting the expansion of Jewish
settlements on the West Bank. Again, somebody should
ask Huckabee: Do you favor two states, for the Israelis and Palestinians, or just one? And
why? Then there's the war in Iraq. LaHaye has suggested that Saddam Hussein was a 'forerunner of the Antichrist' -
and that the Iraq war might itself represent the final, epic battle between Satan and
Jesus. "
Scrutinize candidates evenly
The
Philadelphia Inquirer, 3 December 2007
"Huckabee is pro-Israel: He has
visited the Jewish state nine times, and told the crowd at the Bedrick house party that he favored the
establishment of a Palestinian state - in Egypt or Saudi Arabia. Bedrick may see Huckabee as the perfect fit for the White House, but for
many American Jews the thought of a staunchly pro-life, ordained Baptist minister as
president is a major cause for alarm....Chafets, the American-born Israeli government spokesman turned
journalist, told JTA that 'there's no doubt that Huckabee is a Christian conservative in
the mold of Falwell or Pat Robertson, speaking politically.' 'He believes in the inerrancy of the Bible,'
Chafetz said. 'In other words, he's a fundamentalist. He believes that the Bible could not be mistaken. He's a
pre-millennialist Christian. He believes in Armageddon.'..."
Can Huckabee ever win over Jewish voters?
Jerusalem
Post, 24 December 2007
"[There are] a range of factors that
keep politicians on the straight and narrow with regard to the Middle East. Some of these
reasons are to do with internal political developments long in the making. The rise of evangelical Christianity as a political force, especially within the Republican Party, has something to do with it. The
belief that the Jews must be returned to the Biblical lands of Judaea and Samaria before
the world can end has driven up support for an aggressive Israeli approach to its
neighbours in the Holy Land. Those of us who are not
evangelical Zionists will feel a little queasy about that idea."
Israel right or wrong is not a grown-up debate
London
Times, 30 March 2007
"'The
sleeping giant of Christian Zionism has awakened. There are 50 million Christians
standing up and applauding the State of Israel.' So began a speech by Pastor John Hagee, founder
of Christians United For Israel, before an AIPAC Policy Conference plenary earlier this
week. ..... The AIPAC audience granted Hagee multiple standing ovations. The Jewish
people, some surely thought, has been waiting two millennia to hear such unalloyed words
of contrition and support, and they could not have come at a more propitious time.
Understandably, offers of Christian assistance will
continue to be met with a considerable degree of wariness. History aside, Jews and evangelical Christians are perhaps the ultimate
'Odd Couple' -- culturally, religiously, politically and even geographically. If all these
obstacles are not enough, there is also Jewish
concern regarding Christian motives.....there is the
suspicion that evangelicals, as their name implies, are out to convert Jews. Second, that their support is colored by doctrines of 'rapture' and the apocalypse, in which a catastrophic global war plays an important
part. ' What is going to happen when Jesus comes
back?' Hagee said, touching on the second sensitive point. 'I say to my rabbi friends:
'You don't believe it; I do believe it. When we're standing in Jerusalem, and the Messiah
is coming down the street, one of us is going to have a major theological adjustment to
make. But until that time, let's walk together in support of Israel and in defense of the
Jewish people.' .... It is natural, given history, that Jews are wary even of a hand outstretched in friendship, and caution is justified."
Christians For Israel
Jerusalem
Post, 14 March 2007
"The Rev. John
Hagee, who founded Christians
United for Israel....[said].... 'Christians United
for Israel is opposed to America pressuring Israel to give up more land to anyone for any
reason..... And to say that Palestinians have a right to that land historically is an
historical fraud.' Christians United for Israel held a conference with 4,500 attendees in
Washington this month......Hagee and others are dispensationalists, Weber said, who interpret the Bible as
predicting that in order for Christ to return, the Jews must gather in Israel, the third
temple must be built in Jerusalem and the Battle of
Armageddon must be fought.Weber said, 'The
dispensationalists have parlayed what is a distinctly minority position theologically
within evangelicalism into a major political voice.'"
Coalition of American evangelicals issues a letter in support of a Palestinian state
International
Herald Tribune, 28 July 2007
"Hagee is even opposed to the Road Map for Peace and a two-state concept, favors
the continued colonization of the West Bank, and is against
any concessions being given to the Palestinians."
Praying for Armageddon
Moscow News, 6 December
2007
"...John
Hagee, [is] an Armageddon prophesier who insists
that military confrontation with Iran is foretold in the Bible as a
necessary precondition for the Second Coming. Using his best-selling book, 'Jerusalem
Countdown,' his internationally broadcast television program, and the viral marketing
offered by a network of mega-churches whose pastors have signed on to his new lobbying
effort, Christians United for Israel (CUFI), Hagee
has spent the past six months mobilizing popular support for
a war with Iran. Based on his end-times prophecy, a supposed love of the Jewish people
and the state of Israel and false claims that Iran is just months away from a viable
nuclear weapon, Hagee maintains that confrontation
with Iran is necessary to fulfill Gods plan for the future of the world.....Preachers like Hagee seem easy to ignore because we think their
audiences, while vast, consists of rank-and-file religious extremists who have no real
sway over American policy-makers. But Benny Elon's statement shows that Hagee does have
such influence. Gingrich and McCain may or may not believe the Second Coming is imminent,
but they do know that a GOP primary presidential campaign is coming soon enough and
they know where the votes are."
Holy War, Unholy Alliance
CBS News, 20
July 2006
"The final
instalment of an evangelical Christian publishing phenomenon which has spawned 16
novels and sold 64 million copies arrived in shops across the United States yesterday..... The Left Behind
series appeared to chime with the sense of the impending Apocalypse among many
Americans, reinforced by the election of
President Bush on a faith-based platform and global events which in some eyes confirm biblical prophecy. .... The Left Behind series begins with all born-again Christians
being summoned to heaven in the Rapture, as predicted by the Book of Revelation...... Jesus then
returns for the Second Coming and slaughters nonbelievers including Hindus, Muslims, Jews, atheists, as well as many Catholics and mainstream Protestants."
Revelations of the last battle as US Bible thriller series comes to end
London Times,
4 April 2007
"Pastor
Hagee espouses an
end of days theology in which our Jewish people don't fare
well at the end of the story unless we convert to
Christianity."
Rabbi Barry Block, head of the liberal Reform Jewish community in
San Antonio
Pro-Israel Christians Lobby in Washington
National Public Radio (USA), 17 July 2006
"[Rod] Liddle, 48, has enraged
sections of the liberal intelligentsia with his repeated and outspoken attacks on Islam,
both in the Sunday Times and his weekly columns for The Spectator....The criticisms from
the 'golden milieu of columnists' had begun a couple of years earlier after Liddle had
attacked Islam in print. He also produced a speech under the heading 'Islamophobia: count
me in.' His beef is with the ideology itself, which he sees as oppressive, rather than
those who practise it and he was livid at suggestions that he had been controversial just
for the sake of it. 'I've never had a go at Muslims, I've always had a go at Islam,' he
says. 'I believe absolutely in the right of Sheikh Abu Hamza al-Masri and Hizb ut-Tahrir
to believe what they believe and to proselytise without being persecuted by the state. I
think there has been the most appalling persecution of individual Muslims because they
subscribe to a particular form of Islam, as if the Government were Koranic experts.' His
writing, he says, does not outrage Muslims like it does sections of the commentariat or
indeed some Christians. 'When I write things about Islam I get letters and emails from
Muslims, which with great politeness and erudition explain why they think I'm wrong and
wish me the best. When I write about evangelical Christianity I get death threats, I get
told that I'm going to burn in hell for all eternity and so are all my children.'
Nonetheless, he is currently working on a documentary on the
links between Zionism and evangelical Christianity,
one of a series of projects with Juniper television that he is discussing with BBC Two and
channel Five. It follows previous religious documentaries Liddle has made for Channel 4 on
Christian fundamentalism, atheism, the Bible, and the Middle East."
Rod Liddle: 'I've never had a go at Muslims, only Islam'
Independent,
5 January 2009
'Nothing Is Sacred'
"Israel
said it had bombed a mosque in Gaza City on Saturday because it was used for 'terrorist activities.'
Palestinian medical workers said two Palestinians were killed in the attack, one of a
series of Israeli air strikes on Gaza that killed 227 Palestinians in a 12-hour period. An
Israeli military spokesman said Israel had sought to avoid attacking religious
institutions but 'anyone responsible for attacks (on Israel) will not find refuge in any
facility.' The spokesman said the mosque was situated in the city's Rimal district. He
said Hamas rockets had struck Israeli houses of worship, and that one fired on Saturday
had damaged a synagogue." |
'Fight Smart' - Easter Sunday, 11 April 2004 |
Wishful Thinking - Did Clinton Produce Peace?
"Former senior US
diplomat and president of the Foundation of Middle East Peace, Philip Wilcox, told
Adnkronos International (AKI) that the outcome of the elections was too difficult to
predict, due to volatile public opinion until there was a clear outcome to the military
offensive..... Wilcox pointed out that if Netanyahu won the election, it could make it
easier for the new Barack Obama administration to pressure Israel to make peace with the
Palestinians. 'There is a theory at least, that if you have a radical, intransigent Israeli government
that seems unwilling to compromise, (and) does not genuinely support a two-state solution,
that is somehow easier for the US government to deal with,' Wilcox said. Wilcox also
pointed out that Netanyahu had quickly developed an
adversarial relation with the former Clinton administration during his tenure as prime minister in the 1990's.' 'In a way, that made
it easier for (President) Bill Clinton to put pressure on the Israeli government and
support Palestinian positions.'"
Israel: Gaza impact on elections unclear, analysts say
AKI, 16 January
2009
Israel's Last Chance?
"Whatever
faint hope President-elect Barack Obama's national security team may have held of pushing
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict to the back burner went up in smoke in recent days. As ever, 'the conflict,' now focused on Gaza, is squarely front and
center on a new American president's plate....What better step for a president looking to
define a new role for the United States in the 21st century than to lead Arabs and
Israelis toward settling their long-running conflict peacefully and
comprehensively....What would a bold move by the new president look like? With talk of a
first 100-days presidential visit to a Muslim nation, why not use that forum to extend a welcoming American hand to the Arab
League Peace Initiative, which offers Israel acceptance from 22 nations in the region in
return for a land-for-peace resolution of its conflicts with its neighbors? Following that gesture, why not take Air Force One straight to
Israel and use the full weight of the presidency to coax a new Israeli government to
accept the invitation to explore the initiative, too. In twin speeches to Muslim and
Jewish audiences, outline the clear concessions each
side will need to make, and commit to do what it
takes personally to make that agreement happen together with key international partners.
Imagine the impact in the Middle East and throughout the world on the dismal public
perception of the United States. Imagine the impact on Iran if a lower level of
anti-American sentiment began to erode its position as leader of the opposition to the
U.S. and Israel - or if Syria could be lured from its grasp. Imagine an Israel accepted,
finally, by all its neighbors, freed by diplomacy from rockets and terror. Imagine
extremist groups deprived of the conflicts that fuel the fires of terror. It's hard
to argue how such a move would not serve U.S. interests. Washington hands and Jewish
communal leaders may shake their heads - believing no president would ever risk the
domestic political fallout they think such an effort might bring. But a
transformational president - if that is indeed what Obama intends to be - will recognize
not only that the world needs such an initiative but that the American Jewish community is
ready for it as are the people of Israel and of Palestine - if not their leaders. A bold Obama-led initiative is perhaps Israel's
last chance to find a peaceful way out of a downward spiral
caused by a conflict that its own prime minister has now said publicly threatens Israel's
viability as a Jewish, democratic state."
Obama Must Seize Opportunity From Crisis
The
Jewish Week, 7 January 2008
With Obama Peace Ambitions Already
Under Threat
If There's No Plan B, Then What About Plan C?
What Are Obama's Chances After The Israeli Elections
Is This All Leading Nowhere?
"David Miliband, the Foreign
Secretary, who, now that his boss is courting a new president, has discovered (according
to yesterday's Times) that the War on Terror was always a category mistake. 'Terrorism is
a deadly tactic,' he said this week, 'not an institution or an ideology.' But how much
more useful it would have been for this intelligent and respected Labour MP (since 2001)
to have added his support earlier to lonely critics of that view..... It sometimes seems that we all trudge down a long road we suspect
is leading nowhere, nursing our private doubts and
keeping our mouths tight shut. Who really believes that Barack
Obama can turn America round? So why the elaborate
ritual of affecting raised hopes and high excitement as his inauguration approaches?
Let those who think this brouhaha optimistic kindly raise their hands now. From the
rest, would it be too much to ask for a vow of silence later? No 'I told you so' please.
You didn't."
Matthew Paris - Speak out now, or forever hold your peace
London Times, 17 January
2009
The 'No Vision' Stalemate
"As Israel clamps down on the Gaza
Strip and prepares for the possibility of sending thousands of soldiers into the
Palestinian area controlled by the militant Islamic group Hamas, its leaders are facing a
diplomatic conundrum: They have clear military goals but no political vision for how to end the
confrontation. 'I don't see how this ends well, even
if, in two weeks time, it looks like it ends well,' said Daniel Levy, a political analyst
who once served as an adviser to Ehud Barak, the former Israeli prime minister who's now
leading the military campaign against Hamas as Israel's defense minister... 'What we want
to do is significantly reduce the rocket fire,' said Miri Eisin, a reserve colonel in the
Israeli Army and spokeswoman for the Israeli government. 'If Hamas says no more rocket
fire, then we'll see where that goes.' Olmert and his government, however, refuse to negotiate directly with Hamas until the group, which is
supported by Iran and Syria, renounces its goal of destroying Israel. The standoff
worsened last year when, after winning 2006 democratic elections that were backed by the
Bush administration, Hamas seized military control of Gaza in a humiliating rout of forces
loyal to pragmatic Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas....Since then, Israel and the U.S. have been trying to
provide political support to Abbas by trying to revive stagnant peace talks and helping to
rebuild his security forces in the West Bank, between Israel and Jordan. The goal is to
show the Palestinian voters who propelled Hamas to
political power in 2006 that Abbas and his
pro-Western government are a better alternative. 'We have a dialogue with the Palestinian
Authority,' said Eisin. 'You don't have an alternative to that at the end of the day.' If
anything, however, the U.S.-Israeli effort has pushed
Abbas and Hamas farther apart and made re-uniting the rival Palestinian factions more
difficult. That leaves Israel, the United States and
Abbas with few diplomatic options: Hamas refuses to
abandon its pledge to destroy Israel while Israel and the U.S. refuse to talk to Hamas
until the group does. Abbas, meanwhile, refuses to reconcile with Hamas until the group
surrenders control of Gaza."
Analysis: 'I Don't See How This Ends Well' in Gaza
McClatchy Newspapers, 28
December 2008
"Even if Israel wins on the
battlefield or in the diplomatic corridors it is already paying the price of its Gaza
onslaught in intensified hatred in the hearts of its
Palestinian neighbours in the West Bank. The campaign also appears to be increasing public
scepticism about the Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas's chosen path of
negotiations as the way to establish an independent state alongside Israel. The diplomacy championed by Mr Abbas has for years been difficult to sell
to Palestinians because it has brought little or no relief from occupation or improvement
in their daily lives, only the expansion of Israeli settlements. This existing frustration
which helped Hamas defeat Mr Abbas's Fatah movement in the 2006 elections is
now combined with popular anger and dismay at the carnage among fellow Palestinians in
Gaza."
The West Bank: We're all Hamas now - supporters of Fatah unite behind enemy
Independent,
9 January 2008
"Aaron David Miller explained the
depth of the problem, that the Palestinians are divided; the peace process cannot move
forward until there is only one Palestinian authority, and one negotiating delegation.
Until Palestinian politics is united there can be no solution to the Palestinian-Israeli
problem. 'I am not sure that anyone in London or
Washington or Cairo or Tel Aviv or Gaza has an answer now,' he added."
- Theyre All
With Gaza
Who is With Hamas?
Asharq Alawsat, 17
January 2009
No Plan B
"The [Middle East Peace] talks spawned by Annapolis will be flawed and difficult. But no-one has a plan B, except for more of the same misery they been inflicting on each other for more than 60 years."
Analysis: After Annapolis
BBC Online, 4 December 2007
"It was Shimon Peres, the Israeli President, who said that, far from there being no light at the end of the Middle East tunnel, there was indeed light. The trouble was that there was no tunnel."
That's enough pointless outrage about Gaza
London Times, 30 December 2008
The 'Plan C' Alternative Peace Process Proposal
For Those Interested In Cooling The Temperature In The Middle East And Abandoning The Repeatedly Failed Methods Of The Past 60 Years
"It's like a giant
protection, a giant flack jacket." "'We have an important message for the people of the Middle East,' said Dr. John Hagelin, a quantum physicist and author, and recipient of the prestigious Kilby Award for scientific research.... 'This practical approach, known as Invincible Defense Technology, applies cutting-edge discoveries in quantum mechanics, neuroscience, and human consciousness to diffuse stress, effectively disarming aggressors,' he said. 'It targets the root cause of violence acute stress resulting from religious and ethnic tensions. Just as anger can spread through a population, so can calm.....' he claimed, pointing to 19 published research studies."Transcendental Meditation: The solution to terrorism? Jerusalem Post, 2 July 2002 "By applying this human resource-based
technology, which is non-lethal and non-destructive, the military could reduce tensions
and control terrorism. In this way, the military becomes invincible because the country
takes out the enmity of the enemies. With no enmity between them, former enemies become
friends and the nation becomes invincible because there are no enemies to
fight....According to extensive scientific research, the size of the group needed to
reduce social stress depends on the size of the population. The group size needs to be at
least the square root of one percent of the population....Over 50 studies have shown that
Invincible Defense Technology works. Mozambique used IDT to end its civil war in the 1990s." |
|||
What Happened In Mozambique? - Click Here |
"...[part of the problem is] the fearful consciousness of Israelis who still see the world
more through the frame of the Holocaust and previous persecutions than through the frame
of their actual present power in the world. It breaks my heart to see the terrible
suffering in Gaza and in Israel. As a religious Jew I find it all the worse, because it
confirms to me how easy it is to pervert the loving
message of Judaism into a message of hatred and
domination. I remain in mourning for the Jewish people, for Israel and for the
world."
Rabbi Michael Lerner, editor of Tikkun magazine
It breaks my heart to see Israel's stupidity
London
Times, 5 January 2009
How Israel Can Bypass Its Fear-Based Model Of National
Defense
Consciousness Based Defense - Israel's Tikkun magazine, May/June 2000 - Click Here
NLPWESSEX,
natural law publishing |